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SC Poll: Romney Rises, Hillary Leads (Fred leading)
Time blog ^ | November 1, 2007 | TOM BEVAN

Posted on 11/01/2007 7:41:08 PM PDT by tompster76

New Winthrop /ETV poll in South Carolina (Oct 7-28, 522 likely GOP primary voters, MoE 4.29%, and 534 likely Democratic primary voters, MoE 4.24%). The big news in the poll comes on the Republican side, where Romney, Giuliani and Thompson are in a statistical tie for the lead, with nearly 1 in 3 likely primary voters still undecided:

Republicans:
Thompson 17.9
Giuliani 16.5
Romney 16.5
McCain 9.2
Huckabee 5.4
Paul 2.1
Undecided 29.9

(Excerpt) Read more at time-blog.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008; elections; fred; fredthompson; mittromney; romney; rudy; southcarolina; stoprudy2008
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Other SC poll numbers are here:
South Carolina Republican Primary

RCP averages:
Romney: 19.3%
Guliani: 19%
Thompson: 18.3%
1 posted on 11/01/2007 7:41:10 PM PDT by tompster76
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To: tompster76

The title you created “SC Poll (Fred leading)” is not the title at the source and has to be changed.

Please just use published titles only.

Thanks.


2 posted on 11/01/2007 7:43:44 PM PDT by Admin Moderator
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To: tompster76

Since the ARG poll is so discredited, that yields a 3.5 margin for Thompson. Not doing as well as I expected, but not terrible.


3 posted on 11/01/2007 7:45:09 PM PDT by Ingtar (The LDS problem that Romney is facing is not his religion, but his Lacking Decisive Stands.)
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To: tompster76


Here's hoping DeMint pulls some strings... I have no doubt having his backing has helped Romney. Definitely one of our most solid conservatives in the Senate.
4 posted on 11/01/2007 7:52:14 PM PDT by CheyennePress (Non Abbiamo Bisogno)
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To: tompster76

With the MOE wider than the gap, the race in South Carolina is wide open.

Good news for Romney, as he still leads Iowa and NH.

Also interesting that Huckabee and McCain are both in single digits, indicating that the 3 candidates that matter at this point are Thompson, Romney and Guiliani.


5 posted on 11/01/2007 7:52:34 PM PDT by WOSG (Pro-life, pro-family, pro-freedom, pro-national sovereignty, pro-strong national defense, PRO-troops)
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To: tompster76

With the MOE wider than the gap, the race in South Carolina is wide open.

Good news for Romney, as he still leads Iowa and NH.

Also interesting that Huckabee and McCain are both in single digits, indicating that the 3 candidates that matter at this point are Thompson, Romney and Guiliani.


6 posted on 11/01/2007 7:52:36 PM PDT by WOSG (Pro-life, pro-family, pro-freedom, pro-national sovereignty, pro-strong national defense, PRO-troops)
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To: Ingtar

RCP is a composite of several polls.

If ARG is bad, then it’s more than balanced by the others.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/sc/south_carolina_republican_primary-233.html


7 posted on 11/01/2007 7:53:56 PM PDT by SteveMcKing
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To: Ingtar
Since the ARG poll is so discredited...

By whom? You?
Feeling a little self important are you?

If American Research Group were "discredited" Real Clear Politics would not use them.

Besides, part of the reason Fred's numbers are as high as they are is earlier high ARG poll numbers.
8 posted on 11/01/2007 8:00:31 PM PDT by elizabetty ("Nothing great was ever achieved without enthusiasm." .Ralph Waldo Emerson)
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To: elizabetty
John McIntyre puts it much better than I.

ARG released a rather bizarre poll in South Carolina yesterday. The poll shows Mitt Romney essentially tripling his support from 9% a month ago to 26% and Fred Thompson losing half of his support going from 21% to 10%. To put the ARG poll in perspective, no other poll going back to 2007 has shown Romney in second place let alone first in South Carolina. And no poll since June has had Fred Thompson in anything but first or second, yet this poll lists Thompson as 4th, five points behind McCain. Put simply this ARG poll looks to be a clear outlier.

9 posted on 11/01/2007 8:23:29 PM PDT by Ingtar (The LDS problem that Romney is facing is not his religion, but his Lacking Decisive Stands.)
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To: Ingtar

Let’s be fair. The poll that McIntyre mentions is from September. There has been a second ARG poll in October reflecting similar numbers. Other polling out of SC is now showing the same trends.

Let’s debate our points with current data.


10 posted on 11/01/2007 8:30:23 PM PDT by coca-cola kid
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To: tompster76
Interesting internals in the poll. More Dems in favor of immediate deportation than amnesty.

Free Image Hosting at allyoucanupload.com

11 posted on 11/01/2007 8:33:06 PM PDT by Plutarch
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To: WOSG

Let’s hope that Fred wins SC . No more RINO’s .


12 posted on 11/01/2007 8:33:28 PM PDT by Neu Pragmatist (Unite against Rudy ! - Vote Thompson ! - It's the only way to beat Hillary !)
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To: Ingtar

Face the facts. Thompson’s support is falling, Romney’s is surging. Thompson must be mortified. This is South Carolina, after all.


13 posted on 11/01/2007 8:34:13 PM PDT by JCEccles
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To: Neu Pragmatist
Let’s hope that Fred wins SC

His numbers are tending the wrong direction. Given his apparent distaste for vigorous campaigning, you may be entertaining a vain hope.

14 posted on 11/01/2007 8:37:23 PM PDT by JCEccles
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To: JCEccles; 2ndDivisionVet; perfect_rovian_storm; Petronski

Nonsense. Romney has been pumping resources into SC for a year now and this is all he has ?


15 posted on 11/01/2007 8:38:53 PM PDT by Neu Pragmatist (Unite against Rudy ! - Vote Thompson ! - It's the only way to beat Hillary !)
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To: CheyennePress
Definitely one of our most solid conservatives in the Senate.

Who in what senate??

16 posted on 11/01/2007 8:39:23 PM PDT by org.whodat (What's the difference between a Democrat and a republican????)
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To: Neu Pragmatist

My 24 year old daughter was home last weekend visiting from out of town where she now works, so I have not talked to her about politics lately.

Anyway she actually watched the Republican debate, and said she liked Fred best!

I was shocked, I thought she would like Rudy or Romney, who seem most approachable for young people.

But she said she liked the way Fred talked, short and simple.

I’m quite proud of her!


17 posted on 11/01/2007 8:40:49 PM PDT by roses of sharon
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To: Neu Pragmatist
Nonsense. Romney has been pumping resources into SC for a year now and this is all he has ?

BTTT

18 posted on 11/01/2007 8:45:01 PM PDT by org.whodat (What's the difference between a Democrat and a republican????)
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To: Ingtar

It may be an outlyer poll, but other polls are showing that Fred’s support has sagged in the past 2 months, while Romney is solidifying in the early states.
The only real poll is on election day, but these are early indicators of what may happen.

5 months from now, arguing over an early poll will look silly.


19 posted on 11/01/2007 8:47:45 PM PDT by WOSG (Pro-life, pro-family, pro-freedom, pro-national sovereignty, pro-strong national defense, PRO-troops)
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To: tompster76
Image and video hosting by TinyPic Image and video hosting by TinyPic
20 posted on 11/01/2007 8:48:59 PM PDT by JCEccles
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