Posted on 11/01/2007 7:41:08 PM PDT by tompster76
New Winthrop /ETV poll in South Carolina (Oct 7-28, 522 likely GOP primary voters, MoE 4.29%, and 534 likely Democratic primary voters, MoE 4.24%). The big news in the poll comes on the Republican side, where Romney, Giuliani and Thompson are in a statistical tie for the lead, with nearly 1 in 3 likely primary voters still undecided:
Republicans:
Thompson 17.9
Giuliani 16.5
Romney 16.5
McCain 9.2
Huckabee 5.4
Paul 2.1
Undecided 29.9
(Excerpt) Read more at time-blog.com ...
The title you created “SC Poll (Fred leading)” is not the title at the source and has to be changed.
Please just use published titles only.
Thanks.
Since the ARG poll is so discredited, that yields a 3.5 margin for Thompson. Not doing as well as I expected, but not terrible.
With the MOE wider than the gap, the race in South Carolina is wide open.
Good news for Romney, as he still leads Iowa and NH.
Also interesting that Huckabee and McCain are both in single digits, indicating that the 3 candidates that matter at this point are Thompson, Romney and Guiliani.
With the MOE wider than the gap, the race in South Carolina is wide open.
Good news for Romney, as he still leads Iowa and NH.
Also interesting that Huckabee and McCain are both in single digits, indicating that the 3 candidates that matter at this point are Thompson, Romney and Guiliani.
RCP is a composite of several polls.
If ARG is bad, then it’s more than balanced by the others.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/sc/south_carolina_republican_primary-233.html
ARG released a rather bizarre poll in South Carolina yesterday. The poll shows Mitt Romney essentially tripling his support from 9% a month ago to 26% and Fred Thompson losing half of his support going from 21% to 10%. To put the ARG poll in perspective, no other poll going back to 2007 has shown Romney in second place let alone first in South Carolina. And no poll since June has had Fred Thompson in anything but first or second, yet this poll lists Thompson as 4th, five points behind McCain. Put simply this ARG poll looks to be a clear outlier.
Let’s be fair. The poll that McIntyre mentions is from September. There has been a second ARG poll in October reflecting similar numbers. Other polling out of SC is now showing the same trends.
Let’s debate our points with current data.
Let’s hope that Fred wins SC . No more RINO’s .
Face the facts. Thompson’s support is falling, Romney’s is surging. Thompson must be mortified. This is South Carolina, after all.
His numbers are tending the wrong direction. Given his apparent distaste for vigorous campaigning, you may be entertaining a vain hope.
Nonsense. Romney has been pumping resources into SC for a year now and this is all he has ?
Who in what senate??
My 24 year old daughter was home last weekend visiting from out of town where she now works, so I have not talked to her about politics lately.
Anyway she actually watched the Republican debate, and said she liked Fred best!
I was shocked, I thought she would like Rudy or Romney, who seem most approachable for young people.
But she said she liked the way Fred talked, short and simple.
I’m quite proud of her!
BTTT
It may be an outlyer poll, but other polls are showing that Fred’s support has sagged in the past 2 months, while Romney is solidifying in the early states.
The only real poll is on election day, but these are early indicators of what may happen.
5 months from now, arguing over an early poll will look silly.
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