Kevmo and AuntB, I’m not sure you both understand what is taking place here. I certainly haven’t left the Hunter camp. He is my first choice. I will have to tell you though, that voting for a guy with perhaps 1% to 3% of the vote right now really concerns me.
If we do get to the primary and the polls show Hunter at 5% and Thompson at 30%, do we take a chance splitting the vote between the two of them so that a Giuliani or Romney victory is certain?
This is a very important year. We have to get one of two conservatives nominated. If we don’t, we may spend another eight years languishing in the wilderness.
It’s not with a lot of happiness that I see Hunter at 1 to 3%. I wish he we in the 30-35% range right now. And I give it a lot of thought daily as to how best to get his numbers up.
I hope you folks realize these thoughts are going through many of our minds as we all look forward to the primaries and caucuses this year.
Earlier this week I saw evidence that Hunter was at 5% on Intrade, which was why I posted the vanity below. The Bid prices were above 3% and there were no Ask prices, it looked like he could climb above 6% but things have changed since then. It is actually a huge opportunity to make money by buying Hunter futures cheap (he’s at 2% in the play market, 0.1% in the real market), but I’m broke.
As far as I can tell, the Intrade market is the most unbiased indicator of where a candidate stands. It’s not perfect, but it’s not biased.
Duncan Hunter is at 5%. Vanity.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1917686/posts