Posted on 10/23/2007 9:28:32 AM PDT by TLI
Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
Rasmussen Reports, Tuesday, October 23, 2007
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday continues to show a muddled race for the Republican Presidential Nomination. Rudy Giuliani is now supported by 23% of Likely Republican Primary Voters while Fred Thompson is the top choice for 19%. Mitt Romney is the favorite for 15% while John McCain is at 14% and Mike Huckabee has 9% support. (see recent daily numbers). No other candidates attracted more than 2% of the vote.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
Yeah, the strangest thing about ALL the national polls is that the two guys at the top, Rudy and Fred, are not competitive in the early primary states. Mitt is pretty much a lock for IA and NH, and is surging in SC. He will likely win MI, too. Fred’s ONLY shot for an early win is SC. If he gets to Super Tuesday without a couple of wins, he’s finished, because Rudy’s national campaign (NY, CA, NJ, PA, CT, and so on) will swamp anyone else who doesn’t have a big lead.
“Mitt is pretty much a lock for IA and NH, and is surging in SC. He will likely win MI, too” Game, set, match. Rudy can take NY and CA. Republicans won’t carry them anyways.
Let’s hope for Fred in SC, then
I am so disgusted with RINOs, I would be just shy of sending Hillary Clinton $2,300 for the general election if Rudy McRomney got the nod.
The nation deserves what it gets if we send up a RINO; we might as well help it on to Hell faster.
If it comes down to Thompson and Rudy I would expect the following.
Thompson
19% his present share
9% almost all of Huckabee’s share
7% half of McCains share
7% half of Rommneys share
Total of 42%
Rudy
23% his present share
10% most of Rommneys share
7% half of McCains share
0% None of Huckabees share
Total 40%
It is going to be a very interesting convention for the Republicans.
Fred needs a bit of nationwide stumping. Did Rush ever comment on Fred?
He did on the day after dingy Harry's letter. He thanked Fred for his support and ...uh... noted Mitt's attempt to throw him under the bus.
Most of the 2nd tier candidates are VERY conservative and if they will drop from the race soon those supporters / numbers should go to Fred. Then he will pull out in front of Rudith and get the nomination locked in.
Last I checked it was a 6 point spread for Rudy, now 4.
After Freds’ announcement on the illegals, I’d expect “Sanctuary City” Mayor Rudy to be looking up once again in this poll at the surging Fred Thompson.
Folks need to remind Rush that good news bears repeating.
When the race is this divided, it is common for pollsters to ask respondents to name their first and second choices. I remember seeing such a poll early this summer and it showed Giuliani was the first or second choice of a majority of Republicans. I think this contributed a great deal to Giuliani being perceived as the front-runner. Of course, those are dated poll results and pre-Fred, so I don’t know what it would look like now. How anyone seen a recent poll which asks this information? It could be very insightful.
“Game Set Match” then crackup of the Republican party as evangelicals walk and Hillary wins.
Take Huckabee’s 9% and give it to Thompson and Thompson would be the nominee. In point of fact, the Huckster is a Nanny-state non-fiscal-conservative ‘compassionate conservative’ Big Govt populist... who is serving no purpose except to split the SoCon vote so Rudy can win.
Egads, I hate saying this since I get so annoyed by the Mitt-bashing FredHeads... but this media-primping of Huckabee (they are building up Rudy’s VP) is getting almost as obvious as the media primping of Obama (the annointed Hillary VP).
I’m not supporting the nanny, but merely pointing out that he has several chances, especially in SC.
Most Romney supporters would gravite to Thompson.
Most Romney supporters cannot abide Rudy or would have supported him already, but want the uber-competence of Romney over the laid-back-small-govt-conservativenss of Thompson.
Oh I agree ... and all I’m saying is that if Huckabee does well, it ultimately helps Rudy.
HUH? We’re not talking national election, we talking primaries, and CA, NY, PA, NJ, CT absolutely bury NH, SC, and IA. You’re reading this entirely wrong. What I’m saying is the ONLY hope anyone has is to prevent Rudy from winning even second in the first four, because after that, Mitt won’t win anything, and Fred won’t have much of a chance except in the south.
You might be right. McCain scares me. See the SURVEY USA poll I have today on McCain.
Yep, that comment really hurt him. Probably erased all the gain he had from the anti-Moveon.org ad.
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