Posted on 09/21/2007 1:10:26 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
Recent Rasmussen polling provides important insights into why Fred Thompson has a real chance to win the Republican nomination for President.
The most recent Rasmussen polling shows Thompson leading the field with 28% of likely primary voters followed by Rudy Guiliani (19%) and John McCain (13%). Mitt Romney is in 4th position with 11%.
Thompson is doing so well with likely Republican primary voters because he is perceived as the most conservative candidate in the race. The Republican primary electorate is made up predominantly of ideological conservatives, with better than half of likely voters characterizing themselves in this way.
So with 48% calling Thompson a conservative and only 25% viewing Giuliani this way, the Tennessee Senator would seem to have a decided advantage.
By contrast, 42% called Romney a conservative and 33% called McCain a conservative.
Also, Thompson's favorability at 64% is almost the equal of Giuliani (68%) and is virtually identical to McCain's and Romney’s (63% each).
Complicating Thompson's advance is Romney's early state strategy. Despite his relatively low national numbers, Romney leads in Iowa, New Hampshire, Michigan, and Nevada, according to the Real Clear Politics averages. The latest Rasmussen Reports polling in New Hampshire shows Romney’s lead declining, but he is still on top.
Given that Romney is already seen as the 2nd most conservative candidate in the race, any momentum that he generates by dint of success in early state primaries will only make Thompson's job more difficult. The former Tennessee Senator now only leads in one state, South Carolina, which is now slated to hold its nominating contest after the first three or four ballots are conducted.
Rasmussen Reports releases a daily Presidential Tracking Poll to provide the latest updates on Election 2008.
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Douglas Schoen is a founding and former partner of Penn Schoen & Berland, and a Fox News Contributor.
I think Sen. Thompson rated the numbers quoted here on 9/18ish. Their daily tracking poll has shows a slight drop for Sen. Thompson and a slight gain for Giuliani. Not sure why. Maybe the Moveon situation?
Guessing....China holding our jet?
money can’t buy you love...
“And with Thompson running against Hillary, he could run her right off any debate stage by simply mentioning Huang, Trie, Chung, Raidy - and now Hsu:
Chinagate: The Movie
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/1814236/posts “
Whoever is the nominee should be reminded by FReepers to do this, just in case the nominee doesn’t realize how important it is to the general public.
And I’m afraid Mitt Romney wants a parternship with Red China, as if the $275 BILLION EACH YEAR trade imbalance isn’t bad enough, I don’t know what else he wants. Romney said that a couple of times on Laura Ingraham’s show.
While I like Thompson more than Rudy McRomney, Thompson
voted YES on permanent normal trade relations with China, which is one of the reasons why I’m supporting Duncan Hunter, who voted NO on permanent normal trade relations with China.
Yes, but not just holding our spy plane with sophisticated encryption/decryption equipment...downing the spy plane to begin with while it was in international waters. Hardly anyone remembers this nor do they remember other important details.
bttt
I like the story, but it is a little dated.
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