Updated NWS: Tropical Storm Humberto now Hurricane Humberto and Over Texas Coast (0210 CDT)

NOAA/NHC ^ | September 12, 2007 | NOAA/NHC

[NautiNurse]

Tropical Disturbance has formed in the NW Gulf of Mexico. Radar indicates a defined surface circulation. The system may strengthen into a tropical depression later today, with the possibility of further strengthening into a tropicalstorm prior to landfall. Houston and Galveston are under flash flood watches.

Buoy Data NW GOM

Storm Model Tracks

Storm Surge graphic

Radar/Satellite Images

Long Range Houston/Galveston Radar

Visible Satellite Still Image

IR Image

WV Image

Additional Resources:

Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City

Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

[NautiNurse]

I prefer the SWFWMD models graphic—but their site appears to be down at the moment.

[NautiNurse]

I was really surprised to see the NHC PA state, “...Hurricane Humberto just inland over southeastern Texas...”

[Uncle Ike]

” NHC PA state, “...Hurricane Humberto just inland over southeastern Texas...” “

FNC has repeatedly said that “HH” made landfall over ‘southeastern Texas’.....

Evidently, map-reading is a rare skill in this day-and-age.....

[nwctwx]

thanks. :)

[NautiNurse]

[trillabodilla]

Thanks, NN. Expecting a lot of rain here today in the greater Baton Rouge area.

[NautiNurse]

[NautiNurse]

Statement as of 6:13 AM CDT on September 13, 2007

The National Weather Service in Lake Charles has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
Orange County in southeast Texas...
this includes the cities of... West Orange... Vidor... Orange...
Mauriceville... Bridge City...
Calcasieu Parish in southwest Louisiana...
this includes the cities of... Westlake... Vinton... Sulphur...
Starks... Moss Bluff... Lake Charles... Iowa... Hayes... de Quincy...
Jefferson Davis Parish in southwest Louisiana...
this includes the cities of... Welsh... Jennings... Fenton... Elton...

* until 1015 am CDT

* at 607 am CDT... National Weather Service Doppler radar indicated
flash flooding from a thunderstorm over the warned area.

* Locations in the warning include but are not limited to Gillis

6 to 7 inches of rain has fallen across the warned area. Additional
rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches are possible in the warned area.

[NautiNurse]

Statement as of 7:00 am CDT on September 13, 2007

...Hurricane Humberto entering southwestern Louisiana...

a Hurricane Warning remains in effect from east of High Island Texas
to Cameron Louisiana.

A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect from east of Cameron to
Intracoastal City Louisiana.

These coastal warnings will likely be lowered later this morning.

For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.

At 700 am CDT...the center of Hurricane Humberto was located near
latitude 30.3 north...longitude 93.6 west or along the Texas-
Louisiana border about 25 miles... 35 km...west-northwest of Lake
Charles Louisiana.

Humberto is moving toward the northeast near 12 mph...19 km/hr
...And this motion is expected to continue over the next 24
hours...bringing the center of Humberto across central Louisiana
today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph...130 km/hr...with higher
gusts...confined to a very small area near the center. Humberto is
a category one hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Humberto is
expected to weaken during the day today as it moves farther inland.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 15 miles...30
km...northeast of the center...and tropical storm force winds
extend outward up to 60 miles...95 km.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 987 mb...29.15 inches.

Rainfall amounts of 5 to 10 inches are expected across much of
Louisiana and Mississippi...as well as extreme southeastern
Arkansas...with isolated maximum accumulations of 15 inches
possible.

Coastal storm surge flooding will be subsiding today.

Isolated tornadoes are possible in southern Louisiana through this
afternoon.

Repeating the 700 am CDT position...30.3 N...93.6 W. Movement
toward...northeast near 12 mph. Maximum sustained winds...80
mph. Minimum central pressure...987 mb.

The next advisory will be issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 1000 am CDT.

$$
Forecaster Franklin/Brown

[prairiebreeze]

I wonder if Kathleen Blanco asked for federal assistance well in advance like she did with Dean...

thanks for the updates and pings

[NautiNurse]

[NautiNurse]

Blanco’s days in the Governor’s mansion are drawing to a close. Thank goodness.

[NautiNurse]

My mistake. Folks along the NW Gulf coast consider themselves in SE TX.

[RDTF]

this ‘little storm that could’ really was impressive last night. When the 1100pm advisory came out and said 65mph winds I almost fell off my chair.

[NautiNurse]

Scary to imagine if this little bugger had another few hours prior to landfall.

[SouthTexas]

She can site the GFS model and demand more assistance.

We have SUNSHINE this morning!

[Uncle Ike]

” Blanco’s days in the Governor’s mansion are drawing to a close. Thank goodness. “

They just said on FNC that the entire state of Louisiana (or Lousy-anna) has been placed in ‘state of emergency’...

Governor to be interviewed shortly.....

[sweet_diane]

Hubby was up in Tuscaloosa AL last month for a scrimage and said the grass crunched underfoot. His cousin in Prattville AL said trees are dying.

Really hoping some of this rain makes it to central Alabama.

[fatnotlazy]

Just hoping and praying that everyone in the storm’s path stays safe.

And for gawd sakes, if you’re told to evacuate, evacuate. Don’t pretend to be from New Orleans, k? (kidding)

[twntaipan]

btt