Posted on 08/31/2007 5:41:48 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
Fred Thompson has been acting like he has all the time in the world to get his campaign going, with his aides and advisers saying they wanted to get a first-class organization humming before the “Law & Order” actor steps out for his close-up.
One adviser, seeking to calm down an excitable reporter, even pointed out that “there will be two World Series” before the 2008 election.
But in fact Thompson – who plans to travel the country with his family in a luxury bus emblazoned with the words “Security, Unity, Prosperity” -- is in a race against time that even some of his core advisers admit he has a chance of losing.
Thompson had raised only a moderate amount of money – below his advisers’ expectations – when he finally filed his first financial statement with the Internal Revenue Service at the end of July.
The excuse was that donors were staying on the sidelines till he made it official.
Now Thompson needs the cash spigot to begin gushing as soon as he appears Thursday at Des Moines’ Polk County Convention Center. He needs to swiftly validate the premise of his campaign, which is that there’s pent-up demand among Republican donors and activists for some alternative to Mitt Romney and Rudy Giuliani.
So Thompson’s deadline is not Election Day 2008, or even the January nominating contests.
The make-or-break date for his campaign is Sept. 30 – the Federal Election Commission cut-off for the next financial report. That document, which must be filed by Oct. 15, will determine Thompson’s fate. If he looks weak, he is unlikely to get the money, endorsements and grass-roots support that he’ll need to pull off his Houdini act, insiders say.
It amounts to a three-week, do-or-die sprint, and even Thompson does not claim to be a sprinter.
Critics in both parties had suggested that Thompson might try to game the system by not formally launching till Oct. 1 in order to avoid the third-quarter disclosure requirement.
But a Thompson official tells Politico: “The Thompson committee will file a disclosure report with the FEC on Oct. 15 covering all money raised and spent through Sept. 30.”
'We're prepared'
Thompson’s challenge is all the greater because he’s dallied for so long that he won’t get a honeymoon.
His advisers are convinced the press will unleash a blizzard of skeptical and hostile coverage to punish him for taking a nontraditional route to his candidacy.
People close to the campaign say a critical question is whether it was really necessary to begin campaigning two years before the election.
“Look, history could be written, and we got in too late,” said one close Thompson adviser. “We’re prepared for that. Or history could be written and we blew the whistle on this two-year project, and we can do it shorter and faster, and be the guys that end this madness.”
Rep. Zach Wamp (R-Tenn.), who was among the leaders in the House to push Thompson into the race, said Thompson's announcement of an announcement Thursday will provide a needed spark.
"It allows us to go ahead and firm up all these commitments from people who have said, 'If he runs I'm with him,'" Wamp said in a telephone interview from Tennessee after getting off a conference call with Thompson supporters on Thursday.
Wamp, who took a turn firing up supporters on the call, dismissed questions that Thompson's wait had harmed his prospects, but acknowledged that some Republicans had held back this summer.
"[The delay] caused certain people in grass roots and fundraising to say, 'I want a commitment,'" he said. "Well, now a commitment has taken place."
The pressure's on
Still, Thompson’s late money start, and his seeming acknowledgment in an interview with Politico.com last weekend that his summer cash haul had been disappointing, puts intense pressure on him to shake the money tree ferociously in September.
Thompson will hold a fundraiser in Chattanooga on Sept. 10, but other events are in the early states have yet to materialize. Thompson won’t raise cash in Iowa and the chairmen of the New Hampshire and South Carolina GOP said they had yet to hear any word about fundraising in their states.
Thompson is still interviewing consultants and aides and does not yet have a fundraising infrastructure in the early primary states.
“There is nobody here to do it,” said South Carolina GOP Chairman Katon Dawson. “And a good fundraiser will cost you 10 grand a month.”
Thompson’s need to ramp up his money machine is urgent, Dawson said. “When you come in with $3.5 million, you’ve opened yourself up to get pounded,” he observed, referring to the amount of money Thompson raised in June.
But Dawson emphasized that Palmetto State GOP voters were still undecided on a presidential pick.
“Hillary just scares the hell out of them down here. ‘Who can beat her’ is the question I get asked at every gas pump. Who can throw the Hail Mary and wield the veto pen.”
Thompson will underscore his independence from the rest of the field by appearing next Wednesday on “The Tonight Show with Jay Leno” on the same night that the other GOP candidates are appearing on a Fox News debate moderated by Chris Wallace in New Hampshire.
On a conference call for reporters yesterday, Thompson political director Randy Enwright sketched the rest of the roll-out plans, which include “a grass-roots-oriented tour that will go to Iowa and New Hampshire and South Carolina.
“There will be a second tour that will be the tail end of next week, the 13th through the 15th. We’ll spend several days in Florida and end up in Tennessee for a welcome home party for the senator in his hometown of Lawrenceburg, Tenn., on the 15th.”
Jim Mills, the spokesman for Friends of Fred Thompson, said the organization has “great confidence that once the American people truly get to know Fred Thompson, they will be quite impressed with his life story and his intellect and his passion, and his seriousness for solving some of the big problems.
“This is a mature adult who has a sense of humor and can be self-effacing and truly loves to mix it up with real people,” Mills said. “Fred Thompson is going to surprise some people how engaged he is on some very serious issues.”
FDT has to put up or shut up in a few days. My money is on Fred to stomp on the competition. He’ll get a donation from me when he declares to help him do just that.
That alone makes me not trust Thompson. If he is attracting McVain supporters I want no part of him.
Me too, tioga. I’m strongly pro-Thompson, but I haven’t donated yet. I’ll take the step when he declares.
Wow. That’s deep. Did you think of this all by yourself?
My ‘so called political opinion has zero merit’, yet you were somehow compelled to post and tell me so.
I’m glad that you’re ‘proud’ to be supporting a medicine socializing, gun grabbing liberal. I’m glad that you’re ‘proud’ to be supporting the kind of baseless attacks that Mitt Romney supporters are constantly attempting to disseminate at Free Republic.
I’m sure you’ll have a fantastic time at your pride parade.
YAWN
YAWN
Exactly. Mitt Liars are a YAWN.
Yet another shining example of the dizzying intellectual prowess of our beloved MittHeads.
zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
SOP = Standard Operating Procedure
thank you
Yes. Absolutely true. Judith Exner, JFK’s lover, recounted taking a manilia envelope back and forth between JFK and her “other” lover, Giancana. She said she never looked inside-—which was why she lived so long. But this is believed to be the deal between JFK and the mob in which they gave him votes and he would “call off” Bobby from his Attorney General attacks on the Mafia. But Bobby didn’t, which was why the mob had it out for the Kennedys after the 1960 election.
“Do you know if the stealth candidate Thompson plans to attend the GOP debate on Fox News Sept 5th?”
No, he will avoid both the debate and public scrutiny of his campaign funds, by announcing the day AFTER the debates. While the other serious candidates are debating Wednesday night, Thompson will be doing the Hollywierd thing on Jay Leno.
“I do not understand you people. Thompson is waiting until the normal, traditional time to announce. But you people continue this silly “I don’t believe it” routine—even though there’s a announcement of a declaration date.”
You must realize that the first primaries are probably going to be in December of this year? Everything is accelerated, and sadly those that can’t keep up will be left behind. Let’s hope that doesn’t happen, any more than it already has, to Fred... I would love to see a viable conservative candidate. My choices can’t seem to get out of the 1% range.
They ain’t Mittheads. They’re Mittwits!
Nav_Mom wrote: “zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz”
Hey, now THERE’S a post worthy of Daily Kos or even DU DU. Mittwits are hypocrites.
snore
Gee, where have I heard that before?
Oh yeah, it was on FR before the 2006 elections!
"Don't worry"....."Polls don't vote, people do.....
“”“Keep your powder dry” is standard hold your water with Fred. Fredheads have amazing bladders! :)””
Nah.. the PISSant belongs to you guys.
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