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Global warming will step up after 2009: scientists
Reuters via Yahoo ^ | 2007 Aug 09 | Deborah Zabarenko

Posted on 08/09/2007 1:52:23 PM PDT by Brujo

Global warming is forecast to set in with a vengeance after 2009, with at least half of the five following years expected to be hotter than 1998, the warmest year on record, scientists reported on Thursday.

Climate experts have long predicted a general warming trend over the 21st century spurred by the greenhouse effect, but this new study gets more specific about what is likely to happen in the decade that started in 2005.

To make this kind of prediction, researchers at Britain's Met Office -- which deals with meteorology -- made a computer model that takes into account such natural phenomena as the El Nino pattern in the Pacific Ocean and other fluctuations in ocean circulation and heat content.

A forecast of the next decade is particularly useful, because climate could be dominated over this period by these natural changes, rather than human-caused global warming, study author Douglas Smith said by telephone.

In research published in the journal Science, Smith and his colleagues predicted that the next three or four years would show little warming despite an overall forecast that saw warming over the decade.

"There is ... particular interest in the coming decade, which represents a key planning horizon for infrastructure upgrades, insurance, energy policy and business development," Smith and his co-authors noted.

The real heat will start after 2009, they said.

...

(Excerpt) Read more at news.yahoo.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: agw; doomed; dooomed; doooomed
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To: finnman69

These ‘”scientists” obviously haven’t gotten the news that 1998 was NOT the hottest on record. NASA has just revised their figures due to a person pointing out they madea mistake in their calculations. Now 1934 is officially the hottest on record and FOUR of the TEN hottest years were in the 30’s...http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1878850/posts


21 posted on 08/09/2007 2:04:09 PM PDT by milwguy
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To: gridlock

Well that all depends who wins. If the commiecrats win then we will not hear about it or it will be proclaimed that we’re well on our way to recovery. (think how the homelss problem completely vanished during the 8 yrs of Clinton) If a Republican wins I think we will non-stop doomsday propoganda daily. And you can count on news alerts and breaking news everytime it rains, snows, floods hurricaines, tornados, dry, wet, hot, cold, you name it, it will be the fault of the President and the evil corporations that he is beholden to.


22 posted on 08/09/2007 2:04:23 PM PDT by marlon
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To: pogo101

Well it’s certainly caused by male humans.


23 posted on 08/09/2007 2:04:43 PM PDT by SolidWood (UN delenda est.)
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To: dirtboy
... made a computer model ...

Making computer models is fun. Wall Street is littered with the pathetic remains of those who thought they had a good model of stock market fluctuations.

It reminds me of a bit from Shakespeare's Henry IV, Part I, Act III:

GLENDOWER 
I can call spirits from the vasty deep.

HOTSPUR 
Why, so can I, or so can any man;
But will they come when you do call for them?

I can make a computer model, or so can anyone, but does it bear any correspondence to reality? There's the rub!

24 posted on 08/09/2007 2:06:16 PM PDT by Brujo (Quod volunt, credunt.)
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To: marlon

If this prediction came from a US source, it would have been roundly derided as an obvious lie, designed to preserve the Global Warming swindle through the US election cycle. It is a measure of the importance of the US in the World that the report is no more credible coming from a foreign source.

The election of a US President is more important to the people of the UK than the election of their own Parliament and Prime Minister.


25 posted on 08/09/2007 2:07:04 PM PDT by gridlock (You cannot coexist with somebody who wants you dead.)
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To: Brujo
Climate experts have long predicted a general warming trend over the 21st century spurred by the greenhouse effect, but this new study gets more specific about what is likely to happen in the decade that started in 2005.

Are these the same scientests that predicted the worst hurricane season ever in 2006 - because Bush was President?

Any guesses on the spin machine response when they are (AGAIN) proven to be wrong?

26 posted on 08/09/2007 2:07:07 PM PDT by NorCoGOP (Visit my blog! http://shawnsblogroom.blogspot.com)
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To: Brujo
Can they forecast Texas weather? No.
27 posted on 08/09/2007 2:08:43 PM PDT by evets (beer)
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To: Brujo
These guys have really drunk the Kool-Aid, jumped the shark, whatever metaphor you want. It’s not possible to forecast the weather one year out, much less ten. Unless you’re an Algoreian true believer, that is.
28 posted on 08/09/2007 2:09:44 PM PDT by colorado tanker (I'm unmoderated - just ask Bill O'Reilly)
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To: Brujo

NASA did not recant, they were exposed involuntarily.

(next we find out they put the sensors inside ovens for protection)

Of course the left has a perfect way to change the climate, increase taxes and outlaw private property. That mere paperwork will instantly make climate change go away and the climate will never change again.


29 posted on 08/09/2007 2:09:51 PM PDT by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
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To: NorCoGOP
Any guesses on the spin machine response when they are (AGAIN) proven to be wrong?

Sure.

If the temperature rises as they claim they will say it is because we, as a nation, failed to act. If the temperature doesn't rise as they claim they will say it is only because we acted it time and need to continue to act.

Their asses are covered.

30 posted on 08/09/2007 2:12:43 PM PDT by GSWarrior
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To: P-40

Any theory can appear to explain anything given enough parameters.


31 posted on 08/09/2007 2:14:15 PM PDT by ari-freedom (Never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity.)
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To: Brujo

A flying phalanx of climate “experts”, and “objective” high priests of science can study, model, theorize, Powerpoint, pontificate and publish on the Global Warming hoax for decades.

Good old reliable common sense says it is a steaming pile of Socialist manure.

I guarantee it.


32 posted on 08/09/2007 2:14:42 PM PDT by EyeGuy
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To: Brujo
Well at least they are on record with a specific prediction, if less than two of the 5 years following 2009 are not as hot as 1998 we will know what they can do with their models and predictions. Although some of us arn’t willing to wait until 2014 to call them charlatans. They certainly arn’t waiting for their predictions to be borne out before moving forward their agenda to destroy Capitalism....ERRRRR I mean protect the earth! ;)
33 posted on 08/09/2007 2:14:45 PM PDT by allmendream (A Lyger is pretty much my favorite animal.)
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To: milwguy
It will be like how homelessness all of a sudden became an issue again when W became President. Prez Hillary would usher in global warming all of the time

http://www.mediaresearch.org/press/2001/press20010215.asp


With The Return Of A Conservative President …

MEDIA REDISCOVER HOMELESSNESS

Tell a friend about this site

"ABC News Has Signaled The Networks Will Continue To Push An Anti-Conservative Agenda During The Bush Years"

ALEXANDRIA, Va. --- During the more conservative Reagan and Bush presidencies through the '80s and early '90s the media played up the issue of homelessness and blamed those administrations for the problem. Then, during the liberal Clinton presidency, the media pushed the issue to the back burner. Now with the return of a conservative president, barely three weeks into President George W. Bush's new administration, the media are trying to make homelessness a top issue once again. ABC News ran the first story earlier this week after eight years of a homeless hiatus. Below are contrasted the number of network news homeless stories run during the first Bush Administration and the Clinton Administration.

Bush Administration Homeless Stories
(Total for 4 years: 212 stories)

Clinton Administration Homeless Stories
(Total for 8 years: 132 stories)

1989
1990
1991
1992
44
71
54
43
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
35
32
  9
  8
10
  4
20
14

   "The numbers clearly demonstrate the networks have a definite anti-conservative agenda in pushing the homeless story. ABC News has signaled the networks will continue to push this anti-conservative agenda during the Bush years," said Media Research Center President Brent Bozell.


34 posted on 08/09/2007 2:15:43 PM PDT by finnman69 (cum puella incedit minore medio corpore sub quo manifestu s globus, inflammare animos)
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To: finnman69

His Goreness has been checkin’ the Solar thermostat!


35 posted on 08/09/2007 2:15:49 PM PDT by Young Werther ( and Julius Caesar said, "quae cum ita sunt." (or since these things are so!))
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To: Brujo

So they’re predicting a republican administration?


36 posted on 08/09/2007 2:16:33 PM PDT by cripplecreek (Greed is NOT a conservative ideal.)
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To: Brujo

Al Gore isn’t making enough money fast enough. At first he said we have ten years. That meant, he had to make his money on carbon credits within five years. Now, since people are figuring this out, they come out with 2009. He wants his money now.


37 posted on 08/09/2007 2:20:26 PM PDT by RC2
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To: Brujo

It’s too late to worry about it, we are all gonna die.
So tonight I’m gonna party like it’s 2009.

http://environment.newscientist.com/article/dn12146


38 posted on 08/09/2007 2:21:45 PM PDT by TornadoAlley3 ( “An appeaser is one who feeds a crocodile, hoping that it will eat him last.”)
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To: Brujo

What’s even more entertaining - is that 1998 was reported today not to have been THAT hot, but rather 1934 was the real brightspot.

HeHe...


39 posted on 08/09/2007 2:21:57 PM PDT by fremont_steve (Milpitas - a great place to be FROM!)
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To: Brujo
Global warming will step up after 2009: scientists

They are already predicting a Republican landslide?

40 posted on 08/09/2007 2:25:53 PM PDT by Larry Lucido (Hunter 2008)
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