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2008 Republican Presidential Primary [Thompson 27% Giuliani 24%]
Rasmussen ^ | July 3, 2007 | Rasmussen poll

Posted on 07/03/2007 6:46:34 AM PDT by RobFromGa

2008 Republican Presidential Primary Thompson 27% Giuliani 24%

After weeks of turmoil and change, the race for the Republican Presidential nomination has stabilized.

Former Tennessee Senator Fred Thompson remains on top in Rasmussen Reports national polling with 27% support. That’s unchanged from a week ago. Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani is three points behind at 24%.

Thompson has a 16-point advantage over Giuliani among conservatives while Giuliani holds an even larger edge among moderate voters. However, in the race for the Republican Presidential nomination, there are always more conservative voters than moderates.

A separate survey found that Thompson is currently viewed as the most conservative of all GOP candidates. Giuliani remains the best liked candidate. Seventy-four percent (74%) of Republicans now have a favorable opinion of America’s Mayor. Thompson’s numbers among the GOP faithful have been moving in the opposite direction. Sixty-four percent (64%) of GOP voters have a favorable opinion of the actor while just 12% have an unfavorable view.

This week’s national GOP poll also finds former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney with a one-point edge over Arizona Senator John McCain for the fourth time in six weeks. Romney and McCain were tied during the other two weeks. Now, the numbers are 13% for Romney and 12% for McCain.

Romney is viewed favorably by 58% of Republican voters while 30% have a less flattering opinion. McCain is viewed favorably by 55% and unfavorably by 40% of Republicans.

Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee is atop the second tier at 3%. Six other candidates--Senator Sam Brownback, Congressman Ron Paul, Congressman Tom Tancredo, former Governor Tommy Thompson, Congressman Duncan Hunter, and former Governor Jim Gilmore—split 4% of the vote. Eighteen percent (18%) are not sure.

The current survey is based upon national telephone interviews with 624 Likely Republican Primary Voters conducted June 25-28, 2007. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. The Rasmussen Reports sample includes not only Republicans, but also independents who say they are likely to vote in a Republican Primary.

Romney has not been able to gain traction in national polling, but he is on top in New Hampshire. The first Rasmussen Reports poll in that state finds the former Massachusetts Governor with a nine-point lead in his neighboring state.

McCain’s campaign is in serious trouble. The man once considered the dominant frontrunner had struggled for months. Over the past six weeks, his fervent support for the unpopular immigration reform bill may have been the final straw that doomed his campaign. His poll numbers are now closer to Huckabee and Brownback rather than Thompson and Giuliani. Media reports say the Arizona Senator is running very low on cash and has dramatically reduced his campaign staff. Last week, the Senator himself had to deny reports that he’d be out of the race by September.

While the Senate immigration bill hurt McCain and drove President Bush’s Job Approval to new lows, the number of people identifying themselves as Republicans increased last month. That’s the first monthly increase in Republican identification this year. Democrats continue to be trusted more than Republicans on most key issues, but the GOP has regained parity on national security. Among unaffiliated voters, Republicans are preferred on both national security and immigration.

Senator Hillary Clinton is the frontrunner for the Democratic Presidential nomination. She leads both the national and New Hampshire polls.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; electionpresident; fredthompson; giuliani; poll; rasmussen
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1 posted on 07/03/2007 6:46:36 AM PDT by RobFromGa
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To: Politicalmom; jellybean

for your reading pleasure


2 posted on 07/03/2007 6:47:25 AM PDT by RobFromGa (FDT/TBD in 2008!)
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To: RobFromGa

A ping to remind me to continue reading your most excellent profile page.


3 posted on 07/03/2007 6:57:40 AM PDT by ConservativeMind
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To: RobFromGa
McCain’s campaign is in serious trouble. The man once considered the dominant frontrunner had struggled for months.

Only the liberal press considered McVain a dominant front-runner. the man needs to retire and get a life.

4 posted on 07/03/2007 7:04:35 AM PDT by org.whodat (What's the difference between a Democrat and a republican????)
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To: RobFromGa

The Ron Paul supporters who were championing his 2% as the beginnings of a blowout will be here shortly to tell us that at this stage polls don’t mean a thing!


5 posted on 07/03/2007 7:05:19 AM PDT by ontap (Just another backstabbing conservative)
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To: org.whodat
The man needs to retire and get a life and take Rommey with him.

Small mistake!

6 posted on 07/03/2007 7:07:16 AM PDT by org.whodat (What's the difference between a Democrat and a republican????)
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To: RobFromGa; kevkrom; n-tres-ted; Jaysun; konaice; Bones and Bones; Bigun; GPBurdell; PeteB570; ...
Although Fred hasn't declared his candidacy he has expressed interest in The Fair Tax. Will his followers also support The Fair Tax if Fred supports it? Fair Tax ping!




Well over a hundred FairTaxers came to Columbia, South Carolina yesterday to let former Senator Fred Thompson know that the FairTax is an extremely important issue facing potential presidential candidates.





Amazingly, 140 out of the 300 attendees were FairTax supporters! As a result of this strong showing, the former senator noted several times how he was impressed with the FairTax and also let it be known that the FairTax is an issue he is considering as he prepares for a possible bid for the presidency.





Thanks to all of our hardworking volunteers who made this event a huge success! Now we have to get ready to take our message to Ames, Iowa on August 11th!
7 posted on 07/03/2007 7:07:40 AM PDT by Man50D (Fair Tax , you earn it , you keep it!)
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To: Man50D

You came up with this right off the top of your head huh!


8 posted on 07/03/2007 7:09:48 AM PDT by ontap (Just another backstabbing conservative)
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To: RobFromGa

Fred Thompson's Latest "Poll Positions"

FReepmail me with updates...
State Rank Source Date
All 1st
2nd [Guiliani]
2nd [Guiliani]
Rasmussen
USA Today/Gallup
Harris
7/3
6/19
6/14
CA T-2nd [Guiliani, McCain]
2nd [Guiliani]
Survey USA
San Jose State University
7/2
6/25
FL 2nd [Guiliani]
2nd [Guiliani]
1st
Strategic Vision
Insider Advanatge
Datmar
6/21
6/11
5/23
GA 1st Strategic Vision 6/26
IA 2nd [Romney]
2nd [Romney]
2nd [Romney]
Strategic Vision
Mason Dixon
Public Policy Polling
6/26
6/19
6/4
NC 1st Public Policy Polling 6/7
NH T-2nd [Romney, Guiliani]
4th [Romney, McCain, Guiliani]
4th [Romney, McCain, Guiliani]
Rasmussen
University of New Hampshire Survey Center
Mason Dixon
7/3
6/12
6/8
NV 1st
3rd [Romney, Guiliani]
1st
Mason Dixon
American Research Group
Citizen Outreach/Battle Born News
6/23
6/21
6/19
SC 1st
1st
Mason Dixon
Public Policy Polling
6/17
6/4
WA 3rd [Guiliani, McCain] Survey USA 5/3
Note: I do not include polls from dubious sources (e.g., Quinnipiac), or ones that use poor methodology (e.g., ~300 adults as a sample size).
9 posted on 07/03/2007 7:14:28 AM PDT by kevkrom ("Government is too important to leave up to the government" - Fred Dalton Thompson)
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To: Man50D

Thanks for the FairTax spam on a thread that is not about the fraudulent FairTax.


10 posted on 07/03/2007 7:16:05 AM PDT by RobFromGa (FDT/TBD in 2008!)
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To: RobFromGa
Romney has not been able to gain traction in national polling, but he is on top in New Hampshire. The first Rasmussen Reports poll in that state finds the former Massachusetts Governor with a nine-point lead in his neighboring state.

True, but the trend has to be disturbing for Romney and his fans -- it's starting to replay Iowa all over again. In Iowa, Romney jumped to a big lead by being the only one out there buying ads. But as Thompson got to be viewed more seriously, Fred moved from 4th through McCain and Guiliani, and then into 2nd by himself. Once that happened, Romney's double-digit lead has shrunk to barely more than the margin of error.

In New Hampshire, again Romney has enjoyed a big early lead (close to home state, ad buys) with Thompson running a distant 4th. But all of a sudden, Thompson starts moving up the pack, passing McCain and tying Guiliani for 2nd. If this keeps up, he'll soon be 2nd by himself and starting to close in on Romney's lead.

11 posted on 07/03/2007 7:19:36 AM PDT by kevkrom ("Government is too important to leave up to the government" - Fred Dalton Thompson)
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Thompson.27% to 24%. Leading the pack. Hasn't spent a dime. The media calls this a "boomlet." He's also lazy. An Insider-Outsider.

If Hillary, Barak, or any of the other demmie also-rans, had accomplished what Fred D. Thompson has; they would be called brilliant.

12 posted on 07/03/2007 7:21:00 AM PDT by LEARNED FOREVER
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To: kevkrom
Romney has not been able to gain traction in national polling, but he is on top in New Hampshire. The first Rasmussen Reports poll in that state finds the former Massachusetts Governor with a nine-point lead in his neighboring state.

Howard Dean was well ahead of John Kerry in NH according to December 2003 polls.

13 posted on 07/03/2007 7:21:14 AM PDT by dirtboy (Impeach Chertoff and Gonzales. We can't wait until 2009 for them to be gone.)
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BTTT


14 posted on 07/03/2007 7:23:10 AM PDT by Doofer (Fred Dalton Thompson For President)
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To: LEARNED FOREVER

So, who’s your candidate, newbie? How do you know Fred Thompson is “lazy”? You must have some inside information. Tell us all about it. It’s good to source what you say.


15 posted on 07/03/2007 7:34:37 AM PDT by Clara Lou (Fred Thompson, '08-- imwithfred.com. Please note: Hillary is a hag.)
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To: Clara Lou

I believe you miss read his post. He’s trying to make the point that the media is reporting that.


16 posted on 07/03/2007 7:37:29 AM PDT by ontap (Just another backstabbing conservative)
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To: RobFromGa
Thanks for the FairTax spam on a thread that is not about the fraudulent FairTax Please give us the sources of some authenticated facts proving your contention that the RairTax proposal is fraudulent.
17 posted on 07/03/2007 7:37:52 AM PDT by Turret Gunner A20
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To: Turret Gunner A20
sPELLING CORRECTION -- FairTax
18 posted on 07/03/2007 7:39:48 AM PDT by Turret Gunner A20
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To: kevkrom

I don’t usually make predictions but I predict Tancredo will be moving up. The three most viable Republicans will be Fred Thompson, Romney and Tancredo.


19 posted on 07/03/2007 7:40:22 AM PDT by Conservativegreatgrandma
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To: Turret Gunner A20
The first major fabrication is the "keep 100% of your paycheck, and prices will stay the same" lie. (They've since abandoned that promise officially, but still use it to sell the plan to new converts). Then the plan goes downhill from there. For more info, see the links below and/or google "FairTax Fraud":

DEBUNKING THE FairTax:
A Fair Question about Fair Tax
OPEN LETTER TO BOORTZ/LINDER (FairTax)
JORGENSON EXPLODES FAIRTAX MYTH (FR Exclusive)
Fair Tax - Straightening Out Some Confusion
FAIR TAX BOOK- 2nd Ed. Revisions
A FAIRTAX PRIMER

20 posted on 07/03/2007 7:44:22 AM PDT by RobFromGa (FDT/TBD in 2008!)
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