Posted on 06/19/2007 5:10:02 AM PDT by SE Mom
Tuesday, June 19, 2007
There’s change at the top in the race for the Republican Presidential nomination.
The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds former Tennessee Senator Fred Thompson earning support from 28% of Likely Republican Primary Voters. Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani attracts support from 27%.
While Thompson’s one-point edge is statistically insignificant, it is the first time all year that anybody but Giuliani has been on top in Rasmussen Reports polling. A week ago, Thompson and Giuliani were tied at 24%
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
What a well thought out and reasoned post. Excellent.
Iowa will be tough. Romney's invested a lot of time and money there. If Thompson wins there despite that, Romney's done, no matter how New Hampshire turns out. I agree that Thompson runs away with the Carolinas; the margin of victory in Florida will depend on how much Guiliani has imploded by then.
If Guiliani is toast (i.e., 0-for-the-season) by Florida, he maybe still gets a couple of northeast states on Super Tuesday, but that makes California and Washington more likely to be Thompson country.
I think Fred Thompson will be able to hold his own in any debate or interview. I am using the same policy for Fred Thompson as I did for Newt Gingrich, who by the way I fully supported early on. Give ‘em the stage and lets see how they do. We’ll know the right person when he or she comes along!
I like the sound of Fred Thompson/J.C. Watts ticket!
Yes, indeed!
Giuliani’s success in Florida depends on how much he can draw from the affluent midwestern retirees that make up much of the party’s base on the west coast. The transplanted NYers on the Gold Coast are largely registered Dems, so even if they support him, its doubtful that they would support him enough to change registration before the primary.
Giuliani remains the most well-liked candidate in either party. He is viewed favorably by 82% of Republicans nationwide and unfavorably by 15%. Thompson, not as well known, is the only other candidate with so few Republicans holding an unfavorable opinion of him. The actor turned Senator turned actor again is viewed favorably by 59% of Republicans and unfavorably by 14%.
Among Republicans, Romney and McCain both have lower favorables and higher unfavorables than the frontrunners. For Romney, those GOP numbers are 56% favorable and 28% unfavorable. McCain, among the nation’s best known political figures, is viewed favorably by 55% of Republicans and unfavorably by 40%.
While Giuliani is well liked, only 21% of Republicans view him as politically conservative. Twice as many, 42%, believe that Thompson is politically conservative.
Does Rasmussen show a complete break down of the polling to include the other 25% that isn’t acknowledged in the top 4?.... I know it would be split between the other candidates and unsure/don’t know, but it would be interesting to see that breakout, imo.
From the article:
Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee and Kansas Senator Sam Brownback are each the top choice for 2% of the likely voters.The combined total for five other candidates in the race is just under 3%. Those candidates are Congressman Ron Paul, Congressman Tom Tancredo, former Governor Tommy Thompson, Congressman Duncan Hunter, and former Governor Jim Gilmore. Eighteen percent (18%) say they’re not sure how they will vote.
" Darn it, guess I'll have to wear this to campaign events, instead of my pink gown."
From the article:
7% divided among the other 7 candidates is very telling about their import with the voters [they aren’t going to fly and it’s just a matter of time before they pitch in the white towel].
Are you going to make an argument, or just spew moronic personal attacks?
Fred takes the lead without even running! Excellent news! :)
Take that Sean Hannity!
“We need to not just get a victory in 2008, but we need to look beyond Bush and focus on the long term vision of the Conservative movement. Each of the candidates running have good attributes, and maybe just maybe a few of them have what it takes to beat Hillary, but where will they take the party?”
Well said!!! That is exactly what I have been thinking as well.
Fred has no track record except being a typical senate bureaucrat. I will always remember how he was steamrolled by Glenn during the senate hearings during xlinton's 90's nightmare.
We need a major upheaval at the federal level in so many areas and right now Romney is the best one to accomplish that goal.
No one person is going to accomplish that. It will only be accomplished by the American electorate. Once accomplished, arguments can be made for a handful of Republican candidates who'd best serve our country (I'm for Fred, myself). But to argue that Romney is the man to clean up this mess is putting faith in something that won't happen; regardless of the 'individual'.
I'm not trying to incite an argument with you. I'm not trying to dis Romney. I'm simply stating the facts of the situation.
I think people are starting to see past the charades put out by Rudy McRomney!!!! Wooohooooo! Go, Fred! Now is the time!!! :-)
HA! ROFL!!!! [wipes eyes while chuckling]
:-)
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