[Edward Watson]

Can you include a summary paragraph in plain English? What exactly is your conclusion as to who will win the conflict given current forces in the region?

[Jeff Head]

Without US intervention, the PLAN naval force will overcome and defeat the ROCN naval forces. The number disparity, and growing numbers of brand new, high tech vessels on the PRC side are just too great. They would win a war of attrition, but not without significant loss.

The same thing is occurring regarding the Air force side of the equation.

Both sea dominance and air dominance would be required by the PRC before they could attempt to cross the straits and invade and install their own government.

I hope and pray that does not happen...and should it do so, I also believe the US would intervene.

The numbers also indicate that a US Carrier Strike Group (CSG) supported by 4-6 Los Angeles Class submarines, would completely turn the conflict in favor of the ROCN.