[Jeff Head]

Without US intervention, the PLAN naval force will overcome and defeat the ROCN naval forces. The number disparity, and growing numbers of brand new, high tech vessels on the PRC side are just too great. They would win a war of attrition, but not without significant loss.

The same thing is occurring regarding the Air force side of the equation.

Both sea dominance and air dominance would be required by the PRC before they could attempt to cross the straits and invade and install their own government.

I hope and pray that does not happen...and should it do so, I also believe the US would intervene.

The numbers also indicate that a US Carrier Strike Group (CSG) supported by 4-6 Los Angeles Class submarines, would completely turn the conflict in favor of the ROCN.

[stefanbatory]

Did someone in the PLAN finally read Mahan’s book?

Or perhaps The Bear and the Dragon?

[InMemoriam]

The numbers also indicate that a US Carrier Strike Group (CSG) supported by 4-6 Los Angeles Class submarines, would completely turn the conflict in favor of the ROCN.

Funny that you should mention Los Angeles in the context of turning the tide in such a conflict.

The Chinese military does, too, as you know.

[texas booster]

I see a lot of discussion regarding Chinese vessels and their combat rating.

Even a small ship could take modern missiles and attempt to overwhelm defenses with sheer numbers. Modern missiles are also much harder to kill.

How does your analysis account for small vessels that pack a wallop?

[BnBlFlag]

Why don’t the Taiwanese develop a sense of urgency and start a crash program to bolster their Armed Forces to acceptable or greater levels? They’ve got plenty of money.

[grey_whiskers]

The US won't intervene. Most Favored Nation, etc.

Taiwan is TOAST.

(Unless we slip a couple of nukes to Japan, for them to use. Wink, nudge.)

Cheers!