Posted on 05/18/2007 12:20:32 PM PDT by Sub-Driver
New Zealand Weatherman on Global Warming: 'It's All Going to be a Joke in 5 Years' Posted by Noel Sheppard on May 18, 2007 - 15:03.
The air continues to seep out of the global warming consensus balloon, ladies and gentlemen.
Meet Augie Auer, the former University of Wyoming professor of atmospheric science turned New Zealand meteorologist who isn’t buying what soon-to-be-Dr. Al Gore and his band of not so merry global warming alarmists are selling.
As reported by the New Zealand Timaru Herald (emphasis added throughout):
Man's contribution to the greenhouse gases was so small we couldn't change the climate if we tried, [Auer] maintained.
"We're all going to survive this. It's all going to be a joke in five years," he said.
A combination of misinterpreted and misguided science, media hype, and political spin had created the current hysteria and it was time to put a stop to it.
"It is time to attack the myth of global warming," he said.
Unlike folks such as Gore, Sheryl Crow, Laurie David, and Leonardo DiCaprio, Auer has actually studied and taught this science. As such, he walks the walks AND talks the talk:
Water vapour was responsible for 95 per cent of the greenhouse effect, an effect which was vital to keep the world warm, he explained.
"If we didn't have the greenhouse effect the planet would be at minus 18 deg C but because we do have the greenhouse effect it is plus 15 deg C, all the time."
The other greenhouse gases: carbon dioxide, methane, nitrogen dioxide, and various others including CFCs, contributed only five per cent of the effect, carbon dioxide being by far the greatest contributor at 3.6 per cent.
However, carbon dioxide as a result of man's activities was only 3.2 per cent of that, hence only 0.12 per cent of the greenhouse gases in total. Human-related methane, nitrogen dioxide and CFCs etc made similarly minuscule contributions to the effect: 0.066, 0.047 and 0.046 per cent respectively.
"That ought to be the end of the argument, there and then," he said.
"We couldn't do it (change the climate) even if we wanted to because water vapour dominates."
Auer correctly concluded: "It's become a witch-hunt; a Salem witch-hunt."
Yes it has, Doctor. Unfortunately in this instance, the hunt is more serious because there are a lot more people involved, and the consequences far more dire.
That's not true. Natural warming warms the oceans and a warmed ocean holds less CO2, just like a warmer soda is fizzier than a cold one because it holds less CO2.
Natural warming -> warmer oceans -> oceans release CO2 -> trend in increased CO2.
That's a credible explanation that does not involve human activity.
What else has changed to account for the change in the trend?
Mankind has increased the CO2 levels. But it's not a problem.
When the facts support your position you hurt your argument by making up numbers as this guy did.
You nailed it!! That's a keeper.
Peer review works. Has for centuries.
It doesn't?
Every living thing from Whales to termites contribute; volume-wise, termites outnumber humans by orders of magnitude.
Volcanic activity is not nothing.
Are you serious?
No credible explanation?
I remember the Ozone Layer Theory. What happened to it? We don’t hear about it anymore?
The ongoing measurements began as a crusade in the early 50s; see http://www.aip.org/history/climate/Revelle.htm
Need any 7 year old Spam? ;~))
Tell it to Bruce Ames; when peer review becomes peer ostracizing, it is career-ruining.
Support your claim, it was independently measured by many scientists world wide prior to global warming being a concern.
BTW we have much longer baseline data from ice cores (again validated by multiple researchers). There is a clear trend starting at the industrial revolution.
That doesn't make it a problem. Fudging data is what the other side does, we don't need to.
Hey! They rode GW to the tune of 4 to 5 billion dollars a year in grant and research money.
Not too shabby. The Mafia is taking notes.
It's not a closed system. Oceans absord much of the increase in CO2.
Doesn't sound all that carrier ending to me.
I repeat peer review works.
I had a science professor who dismantled the hype with scientific facts and statistics. It was great to watch the ignorant young liberals squirm and say nothing.
The ozone layer debate and coercive lobbying was done on behalf of those who would benefit the most, either financially or ideologically by the elimination of the most prevalent industrial gases containing chlorine compounds, mostly refrigerants.
Once this was accomplished the lobbying died down and now all we hear or see are annual reports on the Antarctic “hole” that shows up on schedule every year while varying in size but remaining pretty much the same as when all the hype was going on.
Since it is being more or less ignored it isn’t part of the daily conversation.
In a previous post you said the oceans were releasing CO2 due to warming? Which is it?
I never said that.
Today 61 and cloudy in Athens Greece and 66 and raining in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia today.
Global cooling here we come!
Try telling that to Gore's backers and the frauds at realClimate.
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