Posted on 05/09/2007 7:05:07 PM PDT by Neville72
Giuliani Still Leads by Ten
Here in this new Marist poll. Giuliani has slipped some in polls, but not as much as you might expect given the rotten two months of free media he's had and his own questionable performance lately. Probably a sign of his enduring strengths and the weakness of the rest of the field so far. This is the Marist analysis:
Former Mayor Rudy Giuliani outdistances John McCain, his closest competitor, by a margin of ten percentage points among Republicans and Republican leaning independents nationwide. Giuliani has the support of 28% compared with John McCain who has 18%. Former Senator Fred Thompson, who is considering a run, is now in third with 13%. Newt Gingrich and Mitt Romney follow with 8% and 7%, respectively. However, when supporters of Rudy Giuliani are asked how committed they are to his candidacy, only 30% of Giuliani backers are firmly committed to voting for him.
Republicans want a presidential nominee who shares their values and is a strong leader. A large proportion of Republicans who support Rudy Giuliani are interested in his leadership abilities. 42% of Giuliani’s backers want someone who is a strong leader, and 22% want someone who shares their values. 34% of McCain’s supporters want someone who is a strong leader, and 25% are looking for someone who shares their values.
When informed about Rudy Giuliani’s positions on social issues like abortion, gun control, and gay rights, most Republicans see this as a factor in whether or not they will support his candidacy. A majority of Republicans say this makes them less likely to vote for him.
Among registered voters, enthusiasm for Rudy Giuliani has mollified. Although 58% still say they will consider voting for him for president, 39% say they definitely will not do so. This is an increase from 30% of registered voters who said in February they would not consider voting for him. For the first time, fewer than half of the national electorate views Rudy Giuliani as ideologically about right. 60% of Republicans still view him as ideologically acceptable although almost one in four view him as too liberal. In head to head matchups against the top tier Democrats, Giuliani narrowly loses to Hillary Clinton and John Edwards. He runs neck and neck with Barack Obama.
Give it up, Mitt and Rudy. Neither of you are authentic in the least and it's noticable.
Run, Fred, run.
Marist Poll - November 2, 2004
Kerry - 50%
Bush - 48%
http://www.maristpoll.marist.edu/usapolls/PZ041102.htm
Actual:
Bush-51%
Kerry-48%
ABC News:
Former governor Mitt Romney’s wife, Ann, gave a $150 donation to the abortion-rights group Planned Parenthood in 1994, at a time that Romney considered himself to be effectively “pro-choice,” the Romney campaign confirmed today.
The sum, $150, isn’t exactly a large amount, obviously, but this certainly won’t ease conservative fears that Romney’s pro-life stance isn’t much more than an act of political convenience.
http://www.abcnews.go.com/Politics/story?id=3157749&page=1
“The sum, $150, isn’t exactly a large amount, obviously, but this certainly won’t ease conservative fears that Romney’s pro-life stance isn’t much more than an act of political convenience.”
of course Mitt’s “pro-life” facade is a convenient election conversion. He’s a life-long hunter, don’t cha know?
Mitt’s the Republican Party’s Slick Willie.
How do you know Romney’s pro-choice stance wasn’t a ruse? Did it ever occur to you that Romney doesnt care one way or the other? Just like G Bush Sr, who also switched to conform to the platform. Bush Sr. never did anything pro choice as president, he was true to his word. Why isn’t that a sufficient model for Romney on this issue?
Particularly when you compare it to the $150,000 he gave to pro-life organizations in MA.
National polls mean absolutely nothing at all. Kerry was sitting at like 7% nationally then swept IA/NH and was all of a sudden at like 60%. The loaded Feb. 5 primaries will obviously impact things but a IA/NH sweep will still probably be enough for the win and Romney is best positioned to pull that off followed by McCain. Rudy doesn’t stand a chance. Fred has got to get an organization together and do it quick. Everybody thought Wesley Clark was going to run away with the Dem primaries but he got in too late, had no organization, and he got smoked.
Everybody thought Wesley Clark was going to run away with the Dem primaries but he got in too late, had no organization, was a total idiot, and he got smoked.
There...fixed it for you.
RUN FRED RUN
Thompson is really in great shape. The only real down side I see is if he can pull in enough money at this late date.
But look at this schedule, Fred T IMO wins every single southern and Southwest state on the sched.
I count 8 of the below states that are going to be virtual locks for Thompson IMO. Alabama, Arkansas, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina, W. Virginia, Tennesse and Louisiana. Spin all you want about McCain in SC and WVA being a tossup, but when they here this guy talk they will hear “one of us”. Giulliani and Romney will have no chance against FT’s style, speech,accent—and he just happens to be the most conservative by far. The only monkey wrench I see is perhaps McCain in S.Car and the military issue.
Thompson will play well in Iowa, Missouri, North Dakota and Utah and has a puncher’s chance.
I’d say without a big scandal, faux pas or total meltdown of money, Thompson is actually the favorite.
* January 21, 2008 - Iowa
* January 28, 2008 - New Hampshire
* February 5, 2008 - Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, Missouri, New Mexico, North Carolina, North Dakota, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Utah, West Virginia (which will nominate a candidate at a state nominating convention)
* February 5, 2008 (unofficial date) - Florida, Michigan
* February 12, 2008 - Tennessee
* February 9 or February 16, 2008 (date to be determined) - Louisiana
I'm very dubious about that particular result. Other polls have had him in front of Tubba for some time, and by healthy margins in some cases. Can't see the reason for this discrepency, when the general feeling is that HRC has been self-destructing and carries negative ratings in the 50+ range.
Perhaps they overpolled 'Rats, as polls run by 'Rats are apt to do.
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