Fredipedia v2.26: The Definitive Fred Thompson Reference
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Posted on 05/03/2007 7:42:33 AM PDT by AFPhys
Quinnipiac has a new poll out on the 2008 Presidential Race. Note that the survey began Wednesday, April 25, the day before the Democrats held their first debate in Orangeburg, SC, and finished on Tuesday, May 1. On the Democratic side, both Clinton and Obama have taken a bit of a slide but still lead the rest of the pack, while Edwards got a solid bump:
Democrats
Clinton 32 (-6 points versus last month's poll)
Obama 18 (-5)
Gore 14 (+3)
Edwards 12 (+6)
Richardson 3 (+1)
Biden 2 (+1)
Undecided 15 (+13)
For the Republicans, Giuliani took a pretty significant tumble which looks to have been almost entirely due to Fred Thompson's appearance, because the rest of the field remained pretty close to static:
Republicans
Giuliani 27 (-13 points versus last month's poll)
McCain 19 (+1)
F. Thompson 14 (first time polled)
Gingrich 8 (-2)
Romney 8 (+1)
Undecided 16 (+1)
Head-to-Head Match Ups
Giuliani 49 - Clinton 40
Giuliani 44 - Obama 41
Giuliani 48 - Gore 41
McCain 46 - Clinton 41
McCain 42 - Obama 42
McCain 47 - Gore 41
F. Thompson 39 - Clinton 46
F. Thompson 34 - Obama 47
F. Thompson 37 - Gore 47
Favorable/Unfavorable Ratings
Giuliani 53/24 (+29)
Obama 46/18 (+28)
McCain 49/26 (+23)
Edwards 46/25 (+21)
F. Thompson 26/9 (+17)
Gore 49/41 (+8)
Romney 17/16 (+1)
Clinton 44/46 (-2)
Other numbers from the poll worth a mention: Democrats lead the generic ballot question by 9 points (43/34); 57% responded that Iraq is the "most important issue for the next President to deal with;" President Bush's job approval is at 35%; Congress' job approval is slightly higher at 39%; and the Supreme Court's job approval is at 58%.
Do you know exactly how QP measures responses when someone says they “don’t know one of those persons” ... I sure don’t. If they only are including in the head-to-heads people who know the candidates, it IS a troubling situation.
Remember how you win the nomination - DELEGATES at the convention.
You have to have the organization to carry the delegates.
This is not a pure democracy.
Fred can be the most popular candidate in history - but you have to be able to organize the delegates.
Thompson will easily obtain both the small amount of cash he needs and the organization whenever he announces. There is no reason for him to rush his announcement.
Fredipedia v2.26: The Definitive Fred Thompson Reference
Please FReepmail jellybean if you want on/off this list. WARNING: This ping list can often be extremely active.
Giuliani is crushing the Democratic front-runners.
That tells me all I have to know.
Wonder why Fred does so poorly against all three Dems though.
Again, there are realities to campaigning in the 21st century. We are in May, now, and the first primaries are seven months away. As we saw with Kerry, WHOEVER wins the first few gains so much momentum as to be almost unbeatable. These are the facts of life, and Fred supporters (of which I am one) cannot pretend they don’t exist.
I think that’s downright silly. I don’t think he has more than a window of another month or two at best.
Although he had hopped in earlier, Kerry had kept his powder dry, also, waiting for Dean to exhaust himself, and then riding in as the experienced, competent candidate. (Hard to imagine...)
I believe dangus is referring to the primaries.
Meanwhile I'm on the TOMMY Thompson bandwagon, who I think has demonstrated far better that he's 100% committed to this race and has the ablity to win the "swing states" (Iowa, Minnesota, Wisconsin, etc.) we need.
“even if FredT announces in JANUARY, he will easily obtain the Republican nomination”
so what’s the big deal about announcing? McCain only announced a few weeks ago and his numbers have been sinking like a stone.
It seems to me that once you announce you become a target.
Look I like Fred - I would support his as the GOP nominee 100% But you are dangerously wrong if you think he can wait and wait - and then throw a team together. It's not that simple.
Just heard Roger Hedgecock say CA’s prmiary is Feb. You cannot hope to use “mass media” and the Internet to campaign both there and in Iowa and New Hampshire. I’m sure Fred’s people are telling him this.
Even if they did do that, which is highly unlikely, the general election is NEXT NOVEMBER. I think Fred’s likable enough to make up 10-12 points in that amount of time. Doesn’t trouble me in the least.
You choose to agree with Morris and some other analysts.
I choose to agree with Gingrich and some others who have done analysis of this election cycle.
If Thompson chooses to wait until much later in the year, we’ll get to see which analysis is correct. I have a strong belief that there is going to be a great deal of candidate fatigue that sets in, and will work against those who have been campaigning for far too long.
In any event, we aren’t going to know the true answer any time soon, so we might as well both hold our fire on this argument. You have my express permission to say, “I told you so” if in the future I’m shown to be wrong.
I should have pinged you to my #37, too.
I hope, and I think you might be right.
We (the GOP) need Hillary to win the Dems nomination.
She is predictable.
Do you live in CA.? If so - where abouts?
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