Posted on 05/01/2007 7:33:24 PM PDT by Josh Painter
If the 'inside the Beltway' conventional wisdom is to be believed, actor and former Tennessee Sen. Fred Thompson will jump into the Republican presidential nomination fight before too long, filling a vacuum that many have long sensed in the GOP race.
So if Thompson does enter the race, who would it hurt? Two recent polls -- one by Peter Hart and Neil Newhouse for NBC News and the Wall Street Journal and the other by RT Strategies for the Cook Political Report -- indicate that Thompson's candidacy would draw most from former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani, perhaps about 4 to 6 points. He would draw minimally, if at all, from Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney. Thompson would start out behind Giuliani and McCain and about even with Romney...
Considering that the margin of error for the Republican primary sample is more than 5 points in each poll, it is clear that Thompson's 12 percent doesn't come at the expense of any one candidate but might come from front-runner Giuliani more than the others. This might be an affirmation of the view of many analysts that Giuliani's lead is inflated by his 9/11 performance and is less durable than the support of other candidates in the race...
If you assume that Thompson enters the GOP race and that Gore stays out on the Democratic side, the data would suggest that both contests will continue to flatten, that the gap between the front-runner and the third-, fourth- or fifth-place candidate will diminish, creating more of a contest. Clinton and Giuliani are still on top of their respective fields, but their leads are somewhat more precarious than they appeared a couple of months ago...
(Excerpt) Read more at nationaljournal.com ...
Thanks for the video.
I love this guy!
He’s a bit ramblimg, but very centered.
Reminiscent of Reagan. A true Statesman
Thanks for the video.
I love this guy!
He’s a bit ramblimg, but very centered.
Reminiscent of Reagan. A true Statesman
Nice strawman. No one has been tougher on the border than Presisent Bush.
?!?
You missing the /sarc tag?
Well, okay, perhaps, compared to efforts of his predecessors, which was basically nothing, he's done more, but that ain't saying a whole lot.
That, and he supports shamnesty.
Fred's got the right idea: Lock the border down, go after people hiring illegals, and let the attrition of self imposed deportation take care of most of them.
Those who want to "aspire to citizenship", will follow the legal process. Those that don't can stay the hell out.
utter nonsense from your first word to your last
*I* believe! :-)
I think Fred has the guts to follow through though, and that’s the kind of man we need in the White House. A *real* man. Not
a manly woman (Hillary), a half and half man (Obama), or a girly man (Edwards). Someone who will be strong for the strongest among us (our troops) and strong for the weakest among us (unborn babies)...after reviewing the articles/interviews/videos that I’ve found here at FR, I honestly believe that Fred Dalton Thompson may be that man.
Apparently, you’re wrong.
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