Posted on 04/23/2007 10:01:49 AM PDT by John Cena
April 23, 2007 For the fourth straight week, Illinois Senator Barack Obama (D) has gained ground and he has finally caught New York Senator Hillary Clinton in the race for the Democratic Presidential nomination. Its now Obama 32% Clinton 32% and former North Carolina Senator John Edwards holding steady at 17%. New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson is a distant fourth at 3%. Senators Chris Dodd and Joe Biden each attract 1% support. So does General Wesley Clark.
Obama has been steadily gaining ground during April. Last week, Clinton had a two-point lead. Two weeks ago, it was Clinton by five. The week before that, the former First Lady was up by seven. Our last release in March found Clinton enjoying a double digit lead. Clinton now holds a narrow edge among white voters while Obama leads by 16% among African-Americans.
A separate survey showed that Obama has the highest level of core support among all Presidential candidates33% of voters say theyd definitely vote for him if hes on the ballot in November 2008.
Rasmussen Reports releases national polling data on the Democratic nomination process every Monday and on the Republican race each Tuesday. The current survey of 579 Likely Democratic Primary Voters was conducted April 16-19, 2007. The margin of sampling error is +/-4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
Among all voters, Clinton is viewed favorably by 50% and unfavorably by 49%. Obamas numbers are a bit stronger59% favorable and 34% unfavorable. The two candidates are essentially even among DemocratsClinton is viewed favorably by 74% in her party while Obama is viewed favorably by 72%. Among unaffiliated voters, Clinton is viewed favorably by 50%, Obama by 67%.
All Democratic candidates issued statements last week opposing the Supreme Court ruling on partial-birth abortion. That ruling was little noticed due to the tragedy at Virginia Tech. Just 40% of Americans knew how the Court ruled on the issue. Most who knew agreed with the ruling.
The Democrats were cautious in their statements about gun control following the Virginia Tech shootings. While there has been an increase in support for stricter gun control laws in the aftermath of that horrific event, less than half of Americans want stricter gun control laws.
Iraq remains the Democrats most potent issuejust 33% of voters now believe history will judge the U.S. mission in Iraq a success.
Yesterday was Earth Day and 45% of American voters see Global Warming as a Very Serious problem. Another 28% say it is Somewhat Serious. There is a significant divide over whether the human activity is the cause or if the Warming is simply part of a long-term planetary trend. (More Below)
Advertisment While Obama and Clinton are the frontrunners among Democrats, Edwards does best in general election match-ups. He leads all GOP hopefuls and is the only Democrat to lead the Republican frontrunner, former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani. New results in the Obama-Giuliani match-up will be released on Wednesday. Clinton and Giuliani are essentially tied.
Rasmussen Reports continuously updates favorability ratings and general election match-ups for all Democratic and Republican candidates. Also available are ratings for Members of Congress, Other Political Figures, and Journalists.
Rasmussen Reports also monitors underlying party identification trends and has found a substantial shift away from the GOP over the past six months.
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Rasmussen Reports is an electronic publishing firm specializing in the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information.
The Rasmussen Reports ElectionEdge Premium Service for Election 2008 offers the most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a Presidential election.
Rasmussen Reports Election 2006 coverage has been praised for its accuracy and reliability. Michael Barone, Senior Writer for U.S. News & World Report and co-author of The Almanac of American Politics, mentions, One clear lesson from the Republican victory of 2004 and the Democratic victory of 2006 is that the best place to look for polls that are spot on is RasmussenReports.com." And University of Virginia Professor Larry Sabato states, In election campaigns, Ive learned to look for the Rasmussen results. In my experience, they are right on the money. There is no question Rasmussen produces some of the most accurate and reliable polls in the country today.
Rasmussen Reports was also the nation's most accurate polling firm during the 2004 Presidential election and the only one to project both Bush and Kerry's vote total within half a percentage point of the actual outcome.
During both Election 2004 and Election 2006, RasmussenReports.com was the top-ranked public opinion research site on the web. We had twice as many visitors as our nearest competitor and nearly as many as all competitors combined.
Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade.
That’s too bad because I would like to have her as an opponent in the General Election.
I'm convinced it's a part of Hillary's evil plan from the beginning.
After a recent trip to the Pac. Northwest, I’m really depressed about even the so-called “red states.” They were telling me that the county where Boise is has become 50/50 Dem Republican!! And my co-author in Washington says he can’t imagine another GOP sentator being elected there. Ohio continues to flounder. So, sadly, we may be entering an era where we are a definite minority.
Hillary sucks as a human being. Reports are that even her own DAUGHTER prefers Bill to her mother. Now THAT’S SAD.
And that even the Dimocrats have begun to notice this PHONEY may offer some glimmer of hope that they’ve come to their senses...
(Pregnant pause here...)
NAAAAHHHH
You’re assuming rationality on the part of the base, a fact not in evidence. I do not underestimate Hillary or her machine. She’ll go after Obama and conservatives. (IMO)
But even if true, I'd suggest that Dean never did have widespread support, but Hillary has had a 25-30% base that has been slavish to her for years. They won't get spooked if she loses the Iowa caucus. And Dean had the $$, but never had the organization she does.
this is Obamama’s to lose. BUT if it is true Gore is charging..........well Gore will win.
Sheryl Crow would be a more effective candidate than either Hillary Clinton or Al Gore. Sheryl Crow has an innovative program to limit global warming by restricting both men and women to one square of toilet paper per sitting.
This takes a lot of ingenuity and courage on her part, and I believe that she is amply qualified to be our next Democratic nominee for President of the United States!
Anyone who believes Hillary WON’T get the nomination is living in a dreamworld. She will personally stab anyone who get’s in her way if she has to. THe only question is... will she have to bring O’Bahama with her on the ticket.
If I was BaraCACA Hussein Osama, I’d be scared to death. The Clintons will do anything to get what they want.
Stay out of Marcy Park.
I love it - you’re right - this is where the left is headed....
INCREDIBLE
“The Clinton machine will cajole, intimidate, and otherwise coerce compliance.”
Ahhhhhh . . . true enough. But there is a whole different set of dynamics at play, here. This would be the Hitlary politics of personal destruction launced against another DIM! A black one at that. The media won’t play lap dog in this instance like it does when she attacks repuglicans. Not only will it be highly entertaining, she might just step on her d!ck and get caught in her own evilness.
never thought i’d see the day that a man named Barrack HUSSEIN OBAMA would come close to being President of the United States. pitiful..
In the end. There can be only one.
It will be Hildabeast.
“We shouldnt underestimate Edwards. “
How do you underestimate zero?
Let’s hope you guys are right. Me? I foresee a Clinton/Obama ticket.
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