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Global warming? Do the math
National Post ^ | 2007-04-09 | Lorne Gunter

Posted on 04/09/2007 12:52:59 PM PDT by Clive

"UN Report Proves Canada Must Act Now On Climate Change," trumpeted the headline of a Liberal party press release on Friday, timed to correspond with the release of yet another alarmist UN summary on climate change.

"Canada must act aggressively now to avert the destructive consequences of climate change," the Liberals insisted.

"Canada must be ready for a carbon-constrained future," said party leader Stephane Dion. "Human beings can't continue to use the atmosphere as an unlimited and free dump ? It is within our power to prevent the worst of the effects of climate change."

This, of course, marks the second alarmist release by the UN this year, both coming before its own scientific report on global warming is even out.

Just why would the UN release these teaser summaries before its actual scientific findings are available? It could it be that the science is becoming less alarming as scientists learn more, so the UN wants to maximize the public hysteria before its catastrophic forecasts for the future can be checked against the more moderate scientific truth.

We already know that the coming report -- the fourth by the UN in 15 years -- will say that maximum projected temperatures over the next century will not be nearly as high as projected in the last report in 2001; that man has contributed less to carbon dioxide in the atmosphere than originally thought; and that sea level rise will be only a few inches, rather than the several feet once thought.

Yet the so-called "summaries for policy makers" are becoming more shrill each time: Species will be wiped out, crime will rise, starvation will kill hundreds of millions, disease will become rampant, islands will disappear beneath the waves, deserts will consume entire continents.

Science goes down, UN hysteria goes up. Curious, isn't it, how that plays into the UN's desire to be at the centre of a global effort to plan human activity?

But let's look at just what the global-warming theory implies and at Mr. Dion's charge that humans, Canadians included, are dumping massive amounts of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere.

Think of the atmosphere as 100 cases of 24 one-litre bottles of water -- 2,400 litres in all.

According to the global warming theory, rising levels of human-produced carbon dioxide are trapping more of the sun's reflected heat in the atmosphere and dangerously warming the planet.

But 99 of our cases would be nitrogen (78%) and oxygen (21%), neither of which are greenhouse gases. Only one case -- just 24 bottles out of 2,400 -- would contain greenhouse gases.

Of the bottles in the greenhouse gas case, 23 would be water vapour.

Water vapour is the most abundant greenhouse gas, yet scientists will admit they understand very little about its impact on global warming. (It may actually help cool the planet: As the earth heats up, water vapour may form into more clouds and reflect solar radiation before it reaches the surface. Maybe. We don't know.)

The very last bottle in that very last case would be carbon dioxide, one bottle out of 2,400.

Carbon dioxide makes up just 0.04% of the entire atmosphere, and most of that -- at least 95% -- is naturally occurring (decaying plants, forest fires, volcanoes, releases from the oceans).

At most, 5% of the carbon dioxide in the air comes from human sources such as power plants, cars, oilsands, etc.

So in our single bottle of carbon dioxide, just 50 ml is man-made carbon dioxide. Out of our model atmosphere of 2,400 litres of water, just about a shot glassful is carbon dioxide put their by humans. And of that miniscule amount, Canada's contribution is just 2% --about 1 ml.

If, as Mr. Dion demands, we honoured our Kyoto commitments and reduced our current CO2 emissions by one-third -- which would involve shutting down all the coal-fired power generating plants in Canada (and living with constant brownouts and blackouts); or taking all the cars or all the commercial vehicles off the roads; or shutting down the oilsands; or some combination of all these -- we would be saving one-third of 1 ml-- the tip of an eyedropper.

And somehow, that is supposed to save the planet from warming; the tip of one eyedropper out of 2,400 bottles of water.

That might be true if carbon dioxide were the most toxic substance ever discovered by man. But it is not. We each expel it every time we exhale.

It's hard to imagine how such a tiny amount of a benign substance could cause the end of the planet. Maybe Mr. Dion could explain that in his next press release.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Canada; Culture/Society; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: globalwarming; gorebalism; idiocy; kyoto; math
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1 posted on 04/09/2007 12:53:00 PM PDT by Clive
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To: Alberta's Child; albertabound; AntiKev; backhoe; Byron_the_Aussie; Cannoneer No. 4; ...

-


2 posted on 04/09/2007 12:53:58 PM PDT by Clive
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To: Clive
Isn’t the accepted rate of Global Warming a whopping 1 degree Celsius per 1000 yrs?
3 posted on 04/09/2007 12:55:50 PM PDT by TexasCajun
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To: Clive

Very nice!


4 posted on 04/09/2007 12:56:04 PM PDT by ClearCase_guy (Enoch Powell was right.)
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To: Clive

I love this analysis. It is like mental candy. lol This very simple analysis illustrates profoundly the silliness of the Global Warming hysterics.


5 posted on 04/09/2007 12:56:15 PM PDT by Maelstorm (A wise man develops a philosophy that drives his politics not the other way around.)
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To: Clive

“Human beings can’t continue to use the atmosphere as an unlimited and free dump ?

Then start building wall to wall nukes.

Oh, I forgot, this isn’t about solutions.


6 posted on 04/09/2007 12:57:21 PM PDT by saganite
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To: Clive
"Canada must act aggressively now to avert the destructive consequences of climate change," the Liberals insisted.

OK, so outlaw birth. Aggressive enough? What--aren't you committed? It's for the children planet.

7 posted on 04/09/2007 12:58:19 PM PDT by randog (What the...?!)
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To: Clive

“Species will be wiped out, crime will rise, starvation will kill hundreds of millions, disease will become rampant, islands will disappear beneath the waves, deserts will consume entire continents...”

...Therefore, WE, the government MUST take over MORE of your lives, freedoms and liberties. Sorry, we really hate to do this, but as Hillary says, it’s for YOUR own good!...


8 posted on 04/09/2007 12:59:20 PM PDT by KingRonnie9
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To: saganite
Then start building wall to wall nukes.

Cut down old growth forests and re-plant with CO2-sucking young trees; build hydroelectric power plants along with the nuke plants.

9 posted on 04/09/2007 1:00:03 PM PDT by randog (What the...?!)
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To: Clive
Photo Sharing and Video Hosting at Photobucket
10 posted on 04/09/2007 1:01:06 PM PDT by Dick Bachert
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To: Clive
Nice illustration...
11 posted on 04/09/2007 1:02:25 PM PDT by Edgerunner (I am here to learn...)
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To: Clive

12 posted on 04/09/2007 1:02:58 PM PDT by I see my hands (_8(|)
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To: Maelstorm

This very simple analysis illustrates profoundly the silliness of the Global Warming hysterics.


It is really opportunism. Create chaos than tell everyone YOU have the cure — of course you will be taxed to cover our efforts....there is the sham.


13 posted on 04/09/2007 1:03:42 PM PDT by EagleUSA
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To: Clive

....shuuuushhh...you’ll be silence for showing another side of the issue. You are not going along with the program.

Doogle


14 posted on 04/09/2007 1:04:34 PM PDT by Doogle (USAF.68-73..8th TFW Ubon Thailand..never store a threat you should have eliminated)
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To: Maelstorm

In simpler terms. CO2 makes up 0.036% of the atmmosphere, or about 1/27th of 1%.


15 posted on 04/09/2007 1:05:48 PM PDT by avacado
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To: Clive; OKSooner; Killing Time; Beowulf; Mr. Peabody; RW_Whacko; gruffwolf; BlessedBeGod; Lusis; ...

Click on POGW graphic for full GW rundown

FReepmail me to get on or off


New!!: Dr. John Ray’s
GREENIE WATCH

Please ping me if you find one I’ve missed.
OKSooner and I are doing the POGW
ping list while xcamel is on vacation.



16 posted on 04/09/2007 1:07:34 PM PDT by honolulugal
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To: TexasCajun
Isn’t the accepted rate of Global Warming a whopping 1 degree Celsius per 1000 yrs?

Actually, it is more like 0.6 degrees, but through the magic of compounding unrealistic assumptions, they are projecting much acceration in the increase so that we will see 2.5-10 degree warming in the next century. Of course they are virtually 100% certain of this.

17 posted on 04/09/2007 1:07:47 PM PDT by Always Right
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To: ClearCase_guy

Canada would have to remove every car and truck from their roads to almost make their Kyoto commitments.

Forty years ago, I accepted the simplistic assumptions of the Greenhouse effect. Our understanding is so much more detailed now that if such a hypothesis was put forth today, it would face a mountain of skepticism since it’s impossible to prove has so many other variables to consider rather than just human-produced CO2.


18 posted on 04/09/2007 1:09:17 PM PDT by DJtex
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To: Clive

bump for later


19 posted on 04/09/2007 1:10:04 PM PDT by D-Chivas
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To: Clive
Somebody needs to take this explanation, make a home video demonstrating with actual bottles, and send it Youtube and every blog they can think of.
20 posted on 04/09/2007 1:13:04 PM PDT by ryan71 (You can hear it on the coconut telegraph...)
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