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Serious Drought May Strike Western US
New Scientist ^ | 4-5-2007 | Michael Reilly

Posted on 04/05/2007 2:38:43 PM PDT by blam

Serious drought may strike western US

19:00 05 April 2007
From New Scientist Print Edition.
Michael Reilly

The western US may be heading towards a return to the dustbowl landscape that devastated the prairies of the 1930s, climatologists warn.

The horror of that period in the US was vividly described in John Steinbeck's novel The Grapes of Wrath: thousands of people migrated from the parched American prairie – a dustbowl – and travelled west towards the "promised land". But the once-greener pastures are heading towards a drought more severe than the one that created the dustbowl of the 1930s.

For the past seven years, states in the western US have been drying up. Rising temperatures, declines in annual precipitation, and an increasing population have combined to leave major water sources running perilously low.

Now, a new analysis by Richard Seager at Columbia University in New York, US, and colleagues suggests the region is in the early stages of a profound shift in climate that may last for decades.

The team employed 19 major climate models used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The models show that sea surface temperatures up to 40 degrees north and south of the equator will continue to rise. Storms will follow the warming waters into the higher latitudes, dragging behind them the dry air that currently settles over the world's deserts.

Big risks

The models predict prolonged drought conditions in western US, with rainfall reducing by about 3.6 centimetres each year until 2150. "We always think of drought as being an occasional thing, but it's not going to be like that in the future," says team member Ming Fang Ting. "It's going to be dry all the time."

(Excerpt) Read more at environment.newscientist.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Arizona; US: California
KEYWORDS: drought; serious; theskyisfalling; us; wester
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1 posted on 04/05/2007 2:38:44 PM PDT by blam
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To: blam

WE’RE DOOMED!!!!!!


2 posted on 04/05/2007 2:39:27 PM PDT by HOTTIEBOY (The more people I meet, the more I like my dog.)
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To: blam

The core of the Earth may blow up. The Sun is going to explode someday. We are all going to die. Gads!


3 posted on 04/05/2007 2:40:16 PM PDT by isthisnickcool (Hey mister, can you spare a carbon credit?)
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To: blam
I'm starting to get sick
of being on the verge
of death every single day!!!!

4 posted on 04/05/2007 2:40:38 PM PDT by Lazamataz (God: Always, In All Ways.)
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To: blam

This happens EVERY YEAR and has happened somewhere in the West every year since the West was settled. Parts of the West are arid regions. Would anyone think about putting out a press release announcing that the Gobi desert was going to experience a drought?


5 posted on 04/05/2007 2:42:10 PM PDT by 3AngelaD
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To: blam

... but not to worry. More government will save us.


6 posted on 04/05/2007 2:43:01 PM PDT by Lexington Green (Every American killed by a Mexican truck is a homicide committed by our leaders..)
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To: blam

How in the world is a dustbowl going to happen when we have tens of millions of illegal immigrants using the southwest as their own private urinal?


7 posted on 04/05/2007 2:43:29 PM PDT by anonsquared
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To: blam
"The team employed 19 major climate models used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change."

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change is most likely made up entirely of people who believe in climate change. These people then selected 19 climate models which have major embedded assumptions that climate change will occur. The models therefore predict rising ocean temperatures and storms moving north, leaving the West with less rainfall. This whole study is an exercise in circular reasoning that starts with the belief that climate change is happening and that we can actually predict climate change with some accuracy.

The conclusions of this study probably have little validity, but this subject should generate a few billion dollars in research grants for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

8 posted on 04/05/2007 2:48:12 PM PDT by Pub Linkser--80 (Seer, sage, soothsayer, and former second-string outfielder for the Oklahoma Sooners.)
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To: blam

Especially when those pesky Santa Anna winds prevail!

LLS


9 posted on 04/05/2007 2:48:26 PM PDT by LibLieSlayer (Preserve America... kill terrorists... destroy dims!)
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To: 3AngelaD

Exactly! The precise, same, story is run every single year about this time. Damn, the mainstream media is pathetic!


10 posted on 04/05/2007 2:48:31 PM PDT by JennysCool ("The urge to save humanity is almost always a false front for the urge to rule." -Mencken)
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To: Lazamataz

11 posted on 04/05/2007 2:48:35 PM PDT by HOTTIEBOY (The more people I meet, the more I like my dog.)
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To: blam

ping


12 posted on 04/05/2007 2:48:57 PM PDT by GoforBroke
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To: blam

I thought with all of that global warming that we would have more moisture content in the air. Such should increase rainfall.


13 posted on 04/05/2007 2:49:15 PM PDT by jonrick46
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To: Lazamataz

Hey, Life is a sexually-transmitted fatal disease — get used to it.....


14 posted on 04/05/2007 2:50:19 PM PDT by expatpat
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To: anonsquared

That’s a damn good question. I know that they are pissin’ in the flowerbeds in the parking lot at my local Home Depot.


15 posted on 04/05/2007 2:50:44 PM PDT by DigitalVideoDude (It's amazing what you can accomplish when you don't care who gets the credit. -Ronald Reagan)
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To: Lazamataz
I'm starting to get sick of being on the verge of death every single day!!!!

Get used to it. It is the only way to live. :^)

Congratulations on your pending nuptials BTW.

16 posted on 04/05/2007 2:52:10 PM PDT by Harmless Teddy Bear (Mobile phones kill more people than exploding cupboards, ironing boards and Godzilla.)
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To: blam

We got a fire warning here in Wake County today; I am really scared to death of fire.

And I am surrounded by trees.


17 posted on 04/05/2007 2:53:33 PM PDT by Howlin (Honk if you like Fred Thompson!!!)
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To: Lexington Green

Yes... And the solution is more money! Raise taxes! /s


18 posted on 04/05/2007 2:54:19 PM PDT by fatboynic
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To: Lazamataz

How does the line go in the movie “men in black”? something like “there is ALWAYS a something or other ship about to blow up earth, the way these people get on with their lives is they just dont know about it!!!


19 posted on 04/05/2007 2:54:19 PM PDT by jdub
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To: blam

Fine, they can have some of our rain and floods.


20 posted on 04/05/2007 2:54:22 PM PDT by mtbopfuyn (I think the border is kind of an artificial barrier - San Antonio councilwoman Patti Radle)
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