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2008 Republican Presidential Primary (Giuliani 26% McCain 16% Thompson 14%)
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 04/03/07 | Rasmussen Reports

Posted on 04/03/2007 7:41:00 AM PDT by SE Mom

The addition of former Tennessee Senator Fred Thompson (R) to the list of candidates shakes up the race for the GOP Presidential nomination.

Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R) remains on top, but his support dips below the 30% mark for the first time in seven weeks. With Thompson in the mix, Giuliani’s support tumbles to 26%, down nine points from a week ago. That’s the lowest level of support measured for Giuliani in any Rasmussen Reports poll this year.

Support for Arizona Senator John McCain remains steady at 16%, but McCain’s hold on second place is threatened by Thompson. The movie star turned Senator turned TV star weighs in with 14% support among those likely to vote in a GOP primary. Among Very Conservative voters, Giuliani attracts 20% support followed closely by Thompson at 19%, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich at 18% and McCain at 14%.

...In general election match-ups Thompson is tied with New York Senator Hillary Clinton (D) but trailing Illinois Senator Barack Obama (D)...

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: fred; fredthompson; giuliani; rasmussen; thompson
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To: RabidBartender

Easy, Thompson only has 19 percent and Rudy has 20. Therefore, Thompson clearly has no chance.


21 posted on 04/03/2007 8:02:49 AM PDT by perfect_rovian_storm
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To: SE Mom

Not bad for a guy who hasn’t even made up his mind whether or not he’s going to run.


22 posted on 04/03/2007 8:03:27 AM PDT by sitetest (If Roe is not overturned, no unborn child will ever be protected in law.)
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To: ElectricStrawberry
THIS far out, what matters is MONEY....

Which idiot political analyst are you parroting this time?

Money is #3 at BEST. What matters first, foremost, and at all times, is the Messenger and the Message.

Free media and the ease of fundraising via internet make the money issue moot.

23 posted on 04/03/2007 8:05:15 AM PDT by JohnnyZ ("I respect and will protect a woman's right to choose" -- Mitt Romney, April 2002)
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To: SE Mom

But but but I thought King Rudy had it all locked up, and only needed to pick out his dress for the coronation?


24 posted on 04/03/2007 8:08:44 AM PDT by Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus (A member of the Frederalist Party)
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To: zarf
Finally, FR will have a candidate we can all get excited about!!

Most of us at FR are already excited about the conservative candidates who are running or will be running. Only a small, albeit vocal and sometimes downright nasty, minority support Rudy the liberal.

25 posted on 04/03/2007 8:10:29 AM PDT by Prokopton
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To: Alberta's Child
McCain may not drop out, but I predict that he’ll be the 2008 version of Howard Dean — the guy who simply runs out of gas and never rises up to the level where he was predicted to be.

Here's an interesting thought question for everyone - what if McCain, seeing he isn't getting anywhere in the GOP primary, decided to make an independent bid, like Ross Perot did in 1992? Any thoughts?

26 posted on 04/03/2007 8:10:48 AM PDT by Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus (A member of the Frederalist Party)
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To: Always Right

Couldn’t be further from the truth. Money is EVERYTHING in national politics and it will be this time as well. Just as it was 3 years ago in “today’s world of information”....it took loads of money for Bush to win again. The voters will get their information from the same source as always....political ads during their favorite TV shows....and that takes wads of cash.

People don’t know Fred or any of his stances on any issue as much as you think....most people don’t pay attention to anything outside of their lives.

He better be close to $100 million to blow by 2/5/08 or he’s going nowhere.


27 posted on 04/03/2007 8:11:36 AM PDT by ElectricStrawberry (27th Infantry Regiment....cut in half during the Clinton years......WOLFHOUNDS!!!!)
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To: Prokopton
Only a small, albeit vocal and sometimes downright nasty, minority support Rudy the liberal.

About 10% of us, as it stands.

28 posted on 04/03/2007 8:12:34 AM PDT by Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus (A member of the Frederalist Party)
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To: ElectricStrawberry
Money is EVERYTHING in national politics and it will be this time as well.

Tell that to Howard Dean.

29 posted on 04/03/2007 8:13:11 AM PDT by JohnnyZ ("I respect and will protect a woman's right to choose" -- Mitt Romney, April 2002)
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To: Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus
what if McCain, seeing he isn't getting anywhere in the GOP primary, decided to make an independent bid, like Ross Perot did in 1992? Any thoughts?

Actually, the better analogy would be Buchanan in 2000, and likely with similar results.

30 posted on 04/03/2007 8:14:39 AM PDT by kevkrom (Tagline under construction -- please use alternate witticsims)
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To: SE Mom; B Knotts

Newt is still looking good :)


31 posted on 04/03/2007 8:15:52 AM PDT by RebekahT ("Government is not the solution to the problem, our government is the problem." -- Ronald Reagan)
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To: Brilliant

McCain trailing right now doesn’t mean he won’t be a finalist or the winner. If it’s McCain vs. Giuliani, McCain will win more likely. Giuliani is too liberal on social issues and is said to have a lot of baggage. If it’s McCain vs. Romney, it won’t be difficult for McCain to expose Romney as a flip-flopper. On the other hand, he has a big advantage: his position on Iraq.


32 posted on 04/03/2007 8:17:22 AM PDT by Reader of news
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To: Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus
Here's an interesting thought question for everyone - what if McCain, seeing he isn't getting anywhere in the GOP primary, decided to make an independent bid, like Ross Perot did in 1992? Any thoughts?

Call it the Gang of 14 Party?

The problem is, centrists are not a majority by themselves. A centrist movement worked in a closely-divided Senate, but it won't accomplish much in a presidential election. It sure could be a spoiler, however.

33 posted on 04/03/2007 8:19:06 AM PDT by dirtboy (Duncan Hunter 08/But Fred would also be great)
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To: Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus
McCain will not even bother doing that.

If you've seen any of his appearances in Iraq over the last few days, you see a man who looks like he's aged ten years in the last six months -- and who knows damn well that he tossed away all of his presidential aspirations by going so far out on a limb to be a "hawk" for a war in Iraq that ain't going so well.

To be honest with you, I don't think he was ever a serious presidential candidate. He's a mediocrity who was built up as a so-called "straight-talk maverick" only because he wasn't George W. Bush.

34 posted on 04/03/2007 8:19:32 AM PDT by Alberta's Child (Can money pay for all the days I lived awake but half asleep?)
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To: Dubya's fan

There’s no way I’d vote for McCain... Rudi, Romney, or Thompson, yes. McCain, no.


35 posted on 04/03/2007 8:20:13 AM PDT by Brilliant
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To: ElectricStrawberry
Based on your analysis, Giuliani will need to raise $85 million between now and next February. Since he posted only $15 million in the first quarter he's essentially going to have to double that for the next three quarters.

I guess he's going nowhere.

36 posted on 04/03/2007 8:21:07 AM PDT by garv (Conservatism in '08 www.draftnewt.org)
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To: Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus
Here's an interesting thought question for everyone - what if McCain, seeing he isn't getting anywhere in the GOP primary, decided to make an independent bid, like Ross Perot did in 1992? Any thoughts?

McCain could be a real spoiler for the Republicans (regardless of the nominee) if he ran as a third-party candidate. However, I don't think that he has the personal financial wealth to self-finance and none of the third parties have the financial resources to wage a viable campaign. Maybe McCain could have Bloomberg run as his VP, then finances wouldn't be an issue. If McCain doesn't get the nomination, I see him as being spiteful enough that he would love to be the skunk at the garden party.

37 posted on 04/03/2007 8:23:41 AM PDT by CommerceComet
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To: JohnnyZ

The first step in successful politics is getting the money, the second step is spending it intelligently. Dean fell apart on the second step, then came the great pirate yell and that was that.


38 posted on 04/03/2007 8:24:30 AM PDT by discostu (The fat lady laughs, gentlemen, start your trucks)
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To: CommerceComet
financial wealth

Oops. I think that I redundantly said the same thing twice. ;-)

39 posted on 04/03/2007 8:27:29 AM PDT by CommerceComet
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To: discostu
The first step in successful politics is getting the money, the second step is spending it intelligently.

Nope. Wrong and wrong.

Product comes first. Messenger and message, message and messenger. The messenger is a huge part of marketing the message. They go hand in hand.

Everything else, including money, and spending money, is tertiary at best.

40 posted on 04/03/2007 8:27:29 AM PDT by JohnnyZ ("I respect and will protect a woman's right to choose" -- Mitt Romney, April 2002)
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