[FairOpinion]

NOTE: The above is an excerpt -- I didn't click on "excerpt" because we don't need to excerpt Townhall, but I wanted to highlight the parts above: Rudy has proven to be effective in an "impossible situation" -- bringing down crime and he is the frontrunner, despite all the negative press about him.

You can read the entire article at the link.

The author's point is that his momentum is "too much" and he is going to crash. Well, some have been waiting for him to "crash" for months now and his lead is just increasing, as Republicans realize that he is not only an effective leader, which is what the country needs right now, but he is also the one, the only who can beat Hillary and keep the Dems for taking full control of all three branches of the US government and most likely keeping it for the next 50-100 years.

[FairOpinion]

From Rudy's speech to supporters in Oakland, CA:

"Giuliani sold himself Friday as the man who gets things done and one who is not afraid to criticize Congress for setting a timeline for a U.S. withdrawal in Iraq.

Rudolph Giuliani: "You don't display weakness in front of terrorists, you don't give them a timeline as to what you are going to do withdraw, you don't tell your enemies what you are going to do, it makes no sense."

Tom Del Becarro is the vice chair for the California Republican Party. He says national security will be a hot issue among Republicans here. "

http://abclocal.go.com/kgo/story?section=politics&id=5145761

[gpapa]

You conveniently left out some relevant comments in the article, such as:

"This momentum can not possibly continue forever for Giuliani especially with all of the negative press about him and his extremely liberal stances on social issues. I recognize that many conservatives are attracted to him for his 'electability' and that is why his numbers keep going up but eventually, Giuliani is going to hit his tipping point and the momentum is going to crash. There is no way that Giuliani's numbers are going to keep like this throughout the summer, let alone into next year."

"The question is, after his tipping point-- after his bicycle crashes into a wall -- will Giuliani have enough of a chance and enough time to rebuild his momentum to win in next year's primary? Or, when his momentum comes to a crashing halt, who else will be there to pick it up?"

[Spyder]

But, but, but... his wife was married one more time than we'd thought! Oh the horror! And the GDS (Giuliani Dysfunctional Syndrome) folk on another thread gleefully say the polls show him losing ground! /sarcasm

That said, I agree with the article and your surmise, though it's still way too early to make any solid prediction.

[dmw]

Hey y'all Have you seen the latest propaganda being posted here by one of Rudy's hack, (FO)? The bots are going giddy over it.

These guys are hilarious. I love watching them gloat about how Rudy practically has the nomination all locked up. These poor ol' Rudybots just don't understand that, what goes up, must come down.

Gotta love these liberal fools!

[x]

I don't know how much stock to put in the opinions of an intern at townhall.com, but he may have a point.

Rudy is the "24" candidate for President. It's reassuring to have a towering leader like Wayne Palmer in the White House.

But people also want "normalcy" -- whether it's really available or not. They get worn out by too much excitement and tension.

So Rudy's strength -- performing well in a crisis -- may come to be a weakness at the polls: he reminds voters too much of hard times and hard decisions, so they turn to someone more soothing and reassuring.

[TommyDale]

The dates of the quoted poll is March 12 and 15. Since then, when Fred Thompson is added to the list of choices, Rudy's number start dropping dramatically.

If I were the Giuliani supporters, I wouldn't be too quick to count the chickens.

[JHBowden]

"You don't display weakness in front of terrorists."

Pure Awesome from Giuliani. Even some of our more conservative candidates lack the courage to take on the MSM.

[shempy]

So you didn't need to excerpt this article, but you chose to do that in order to remove the portion of the article that you disagreed with (really, the main point of the article). And then you left the post with the same title so that there will be confusion once somebody posts the COMPLETE article.

Your tactics suck.

JUST TO BE CLEAR, THE AUTHOR'S MAIN POINT IS THAT RUDY IS DESTINED TO CRASH AND BURN.

From the actual article:

A lot of pundits are going to disagree with me on this but Giuliani’s current momentum is not a good thing for his campaign, especially ten months before anyone starts voting. Giuliani already has the momentum of a bicyclist at top speed in the race but it can not possibly last and the reason why goes back to Gladwell's whole philosophy of the tipping point.

This momentum can not possibly continue forever for Giuliani especially with all of the negative press about him and his extremely liberal stances on social issues. I recognize that many conservatives are attracted to him for his 'electability' and that is why his numbers keep going up but eventually, Giuliani is going to hit his tipping point and the momentum is going to crash. There is no way that Giuliani's numbers are going to keep like this throughout the summer, let alone into next year.

Howard Dean, the current Chairman of the Democratic Party, experienced both types of tipping points in his 2004 presidential campaign. Using the internet at a very early stage and creating a massive grassroots effort, Howard Dean's campaign tipped early and he went from being a second-tier candidate to the frontrunner in late 2003. His momentum continued to build until late December/ early January when his frontrunner status crashed and his campaign tipped the other way and he went from being the frontrunner to the candidate who lost to Kerry and Edwards in the Iowa caucuses.

In Giuliani's case, he already has a lot of momentum going for him and he is either at his peak or very close to it right now (he is getting to the point where the only place he can go is down). The higher Giuliani gets, the more media attention and scrutiny he gets, the more negative publicity he gets and the closer he comes to his tipping point…

The question is, after his tipping point-- after his bicycle crashes into a wall -- will Giuliani have enough of a chance and enough time to rebuild his momentum to win in next year's primary? Or, when his momentum comes to a crashing halt, who else will be there to pick it up?

[narses]

Giuliani/Clinton/Dem vs. GOP Platform Comparison
Issue	Giuliani	Clinton	Dem Platform	GOP Platform
Abortion on Demand	Supports	Supports	Supports	Opposes
Partial Birth Abortion	Supports Opposed NY ban	Supports	Supports	Opposes
Roe v. Wade	Supports	Supports	Supports	Opposes
Taxpayer Funded Abortions	Supports	Supports	Supports	Opposes
Embryonic Stem Cell Research	Supports	Supports	Supports	Opposes
Federal Marriage Amendment	Opposes	Opposes	Opposes Defined at state level	Supports
Gay Domestic Partnership/ Civil Unions	Supports	Supports	Supports	Opposes
Openly Gay Military	Supports	Supports	Supports	Opposes
Defense of Marriage Act	Opposes	Opposes	Opposes	Supports
Amnesty for Illegal Aliens	Supports	Supports	Supports	Opposes
Special Path to Citizenship for Illegal Aliens	Supports	Supports	Supports	Opposes
Tough Penalties for Employers of Illegal Aliens	Opposes	Opposes	Opposes	Supports
Sanctuary Cities/ Ignoring Immigration Law	Supports	Supports	Supports	Opposes
Protecting 2nd Amendment	Opposes	Opposes	Opposes Supports bans	Supports
Confiscating Guns	Supports Confiscated as mayor. Even bragged.	Supports	Supports Supports bans	Opposes
'Assault' Weapons Ban	Supports	Supports	Supports
Frivolous Lawsuits Against Gun Makers	Supports Filed One Himself	Supports		Opposes
Gun Registration/Licenses	Supports	Supports		Opposes
War in Afghanistan	Supports	Supports Voted for it	Supports	Supports
War in Iraq	Supports	Supports Voted for it	Supports Weak support	Supports
Patriot Act	Supports	Supports Voted for it 2001 & 2006	Opposes	Supports

"Most of Clinton's policies are very similar to most of mine." - Rudy Giuliani

Freedom is about authority. Freedom is about the willingness of every single human being to cede to lawful authority a great deal of discretion about what you do and how you do it.
Rudy Giuliani

We don't have to accept liberal Rudy. There are other options. This fellow may be the best one:







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[trisham]

A lot of pundits are going to disagree with me on this but Giuliani’s current momentum is not a good thing for his campaign, especially ten months before anyone starts voting. Giuliani already has the momentum of a bicyclist at top speed in the race but it can not possibly last and the reason why goes back to Gladwell's whole philosophy of the tipping point.

*****************

Knock yourself out, Giuliani.

[CharlesWayneCT]

I've been Hawking Gladwell's book "Tipping Point" for a month now on these threads (and his book "Blink" in the Compean/Ramos threads).

But having read the book, and listened to the CD of the author reading his book, I can say that Giuliani does not figure prominently in the Author's discussion of New York's turnaround. He does mention Giuliani's name, but spends a lot more time on the man credited with the turnaround, Police Commissioner Barrett, who Giuliani fired after Time made him man of the Year.

[KATIE-O]

I think it's wishful thinking on the Lib's part, (as well as a handful of Rudyphobes on FR) that Rudy will crash and burn. He has the support and endorsement of many high profile conservative Republicans. He has proven himself to be a strong and effective leader.

Go Rudy - '08

[The Spirit Of Allegiance]

If we have strong supporters of corporal punishment at home and in schools--and capital punishment in society--crime will drop everywhere. And Rudy isn't the only one who would be an example in this area; in fact I dare say several others would be far better choices.

Especially since several others already in this race wouldn't disarm citizens of their protective private property.

[Ciexyz]

btt