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So you didn't need to excerpt this article, but you chose to do that in order to remove the portion of the article that you disagreed with (really, the main point of the article). And then you left the post with the same title so that there will be confusion once somebody posts the COMPLETE article.

Your tactics suck.

JUST TO BE CLEAR, THE AUTHOR'S MAIN POINT IS THAT RUDY IS DESTINED TO CRASH AND BURN.

From the actual article:

A lot of pundits are going to disagree with me on this but Giuliani’s current momentum is not a good thing for his campaign, especially ten months before anyone starts voting. Giuliani already has the momentum of a bicyclist at top speed in the race but it can not possibly last and the reason why goes back to Gladwell's whole philosophy of the tipping point.

This momentum can not possibly continue forever for Giuliani especially with all of the negative press about him and his extremely liberal stances on social issues. I recognize that many conservatives are attracted to him for his 'electability' and that is why his numbers keep going up but eventually, Giuliani is going to hit his tipping point and the momentum is going to crash. There is no way that Giuliani's numbers are going to keep like this throughout the summer, let alone into next year.

Howard Dean, the current Chairman of the Democratic Party, experienced both types of tipping points in his 2004 presidential campaign. Using the internet at a very early stage and creating a massive grassroots effort, Howard Dean's campaign tipped early and he went from being a second-tier candidate to the frontrunner in late 2003. His momentum continued to build until late December/ early January when his frontrunner status crashed and his campaign tipped the other way and he went from being the frontrunner to the candidate who lost to Kerry and Edwards in the Iowa caucuses.

In Giuliani's case, he already has a lot of momentum going for him and he is either at his peak or very close to it right now (he is getting to the point where the only place he can go is down). The higher Giuliani gets, the more media attention and scrutiny he gets, the more negative publicity he gets and the closer he comes to his tipping point…

The question is, after his tipping point-- after his bicycle crashes into a wall -- will Giuliani have enough of a chance and enough time to rebuild his momentum to win in next year's primary? Or, when his momentum comes to a crashing halt, who else will be there to pick it up?

There are two things you need to understand to respond to this article appropriately--First, tipping points are bullshit. A phoney meme of the "public intellectual." The second thing is that nothing happens over night. The proverbial case in showbiz is apropos here--"After ten years of laboring in obscurity he was an overnight sensation!"

The question is, after his tipping point-- after his bicycle crashes into a wall -- will Giuliani have enough of a chance and enough time to rebuild his momentum to win in next year's primary? Or, when his momentum comes to a crashing halt, who else will be there to pick it up?

Thompson. Or maybe Romney who is planning to peak on a certain schedule. Romney has remarkable discipline and pace.

"JUST TO BE CLEAR, THE AUTHOR'S MAIN POINT IS THAT RUDY IS DESTINED TO CRASH AND BURN"

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Yes, indeed, there is just this one little problem: FACTS DON'T BARE OUT THE WISHFUL THINKING. RUDY IS STILL THE STRONG FRONTRUNNER.