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Rasmussen Poll - 2008 Republican Presidential PrimaryGiuliani 33% McCain 15% Gingrich 13%
Rasmussen ^ | 3/20/07

Posted on 03/20/2007 6:13:16 AM PDT by areafiftyone

Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R) leads Arizona Senator John McCain (R) by eighteen points in the race for the Republican Presidential nomination. Giuliani now attracts support from 33% of those likely to vote in a Republican Primary. That’s consistent with his level of support for three of the past four weeks, but down from a spike to 37% last week.

McCain slipped another point last week and is supported by just 15% of those surveyed. That is the lowest level of support measured so far for a man recently was presumed to be the frontrunner for the nomination.  Thirteen percent (13%) now support former House Speaker Newt Gingrich (R) while 10% prefer former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney (R). No other Republican attracts more than 2% support at this time.

Rasmussen Reports releases updated polling data on the Republican nominating contest every Tuesday. Results for the Democrats are updated on Mondays.

Among the 31% of Likely Primary voters who identify themselves as Very Conservative, Gingrich has a statistically insignificant lead over Giuliani. Romney is third among the Very Conservative while McCain is fourth.

Those who identify themselves as Somewhat Conservative prefer Giuliani over McCain by a 37% to 17% margin.  Among political moderates in the GOP, 42% say they would vote for Giuliani, 20% for McCain, and 6% for Romney.

A separate survey found that 50% of all Americans voters would definitely vote against Gingrich if he is on the general election ballot. Just 20% would definitely vote for him.

Giuliani is the only candidate in either party who more people would definitely vote for than against. He also currently leads all Democrats in General Election match-ups. This includes Senator Hillary Clinton, Senator Barack Obama, former Senator John Edwards, Governor Bill Richardson, and Senator Joe Biden.

McCain is essentially even with Clinton, Obama, and Edwards while leading Richardson and Biden.

Romney trails Clinton, Obama, and Edwards. Other GOP hopefuls also trail Democrats in General Election polling.

The current survey is based upon national telephone interviews with 599 Likely Republican Primary Voters conducted March 12-15, 2007. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

See a summary of all match-ups along with favorability ratings and perceptions of the candidates’ ideology. A summary is also provided for Democratic contenders.



TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: anotherworthlesspoll; clinton; electionpresident; elections; gingrich; giuliani; hillary; itsmarch2007; mccain; obama; peaked2soon; poll; rasmussen; romney; rudy; whocares
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To: areafiftyone

Youd swear that with all the excitement for thompson, you'd think tom coburn was running in the race.

Thompson was a moderate to conservative senator. He's basically a bush clone in the senate, he just speaks better. And all this talk about him sweeping the nomination seems a tad presumptious. Nobody really knows who he is, he'd likely start out at the same spot as a lot of the tier 2 candidates. Lets not forget most of the talent and money is being locked up by rudy romney and mccain.


81 posted on 03/20/2007 12:07:00 PM PDT by SDGOP
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To: TommyDale

First Thompson will have to announce and that needs to be yesterday. Every day he waits makes it more difficult for him. IF he announces, which I am doubtful about, he would have a shot at winning a few primaries but there will be no upsurge of support.

You keep confusing your wishes with objective realities. In six or seven months you will be still making excuses as to why no conservative can gain any traction.

Howard Dean NEVER had any significant lead. That campaign was hot air from day one and I, for one, told anyone who would listen that he would not be the candidate. There will be no comparable media conclave which decides to take Giuliani down as there was with Dean. He has neutralized it and become teflon like as was Reagan.

This Dean remark is totally common coming from those terrified by Rudy and totally false to boot.


82 posted on 03/20/2007 12:07:44 PM PDT by justshutupandtakeit (Defeat Hillary's V'assed Left Wing Conspiracy)
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To: SDGOP
"Were not talking about the mayor of podunk here."

Nope. We're talking about the most liberal city in the U.S., the city that leads in abortions, a city that holds harsh restrictions on the 2nd Amendment rights of its citizens, a city that holds annual homosexual parades and a city that offers safe haven to illegal border invaders.

83 posted on 03/20/2007 12:09:04 PM PDT by TommyDale (What will Rudy do in the War on Terror? Implement gun control on insurgents and Al Qaeda?)
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To: SDGOP
Lets not forget most of the talent and money is being locked up by rudy romney and mccain.

Yes it is. Romney just got a big whopper money tycoon in Florida today. Most of the candidates need to raise a ton to run. If Fred wants in he better say so soon. The same with Newt. That's why I'm convinced that its all talk to get media attention. Helps in their careers. And there is nothing wrong with that.

84 posted on 03/20/2007 12:11:48 PM PDT by areafiftyone (RUDY GIULIANI 2008 - STRENGTH AND LEADERSHIP)
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To: justshutupandtakeit
Photo Sharing and Video Hosting at Photobucket
85 posted on 03/20/2007 12:13:02 PM PDT by TommyDale (What will Rudy do in the War on Terror? Implement gun control on insurgents and Al Qaeda?)
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To: LS

We agree as do almost all those supporting Giuliani. It is not US who are stamping our feet, clinching our hands and claiming we will NOT support the nominee unless it is blah, blah, blah. WE are not the danger here.

Thompson is a good man and I have always like him. I think he is taking off more than he can crew should he decide to make a run for it but there is no doubt that there is a need for a major conservative candidate. Newt is DOA for most of the electorate unfortunately.


86 posted on 03/20/2007 12:18:51 PM PDT by justshutupandtakeit (Defeat Hillary's V'assed Left Wing Conspiracy)
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To: TommyDale

Can't refute what I have said? Cuteness doesn't do it.


87 posted on 03/20/2007 12:19:52 PM PDT by justshutupandtakeit (Defeat Hillary's V'assed Left Wing Conspiracy)
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To: justshutupandtakeit

No need to refute your comments. You are full of crap.


88 posted on 03/20/2007 12:29:39 PM PDT by TommyDale (What will Rudy do in the War on Terror? Implement gun control on insurgents and Al Qaeda?)
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To: areafiftyone

Why does the title have Newt at 10% when the article says 13?


89 posted on 03/20/2007 1:50:19 PM PDT by Bob J
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To: justshutupandtakeit

Yep. Newt always has been dead. People remember both his inability to whip Clinton and his own personal problems. That's a bad combination. We will take EITHER a flawed winner, or a virtuous loser, but not a flawed loser :)


90 posted on 03/20/2007 1:52:50 PM PDT by LS (CNN is the Amtrak of News)
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To: Bob J

An error in the title I believe. I didn't want to change the title without the Admin Moderators permission.


91 posted on 03/20/2007 1:56:37 PM PDT by areafiftyone (RUDY GIULIANI 2008 - STRENGTH AND LEADERSHIP)
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To: areafiftyone

They have to change it for you and they only will if the person who posted it asks them. Hit abuse and let them know.


92 posted on 03/20/2007 2:01:20 PM PDT by Bob J
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To: LS

Newt's problems really result from our inability to fight the Treason Media. It still runs rampant over the Truth as the fact that it converted an amazing victory in Iraq into a defeat in the minds of the sheeple.

Prior to the invasion the Treason Media was dolefully warning of the thousands of casualties in the first few days. Didn't happen. Then it IGNORES the discovery of an entirely UNKNOWN nuclear weapons research program run for Saddam in Libya.

If this war had occurred under a Democrat it would have been reported as an incredible success and one of the greatest military victories in history. We would have been reminded over and over that three times as many men were killed PRACTICING for D-Day than in four years of war in Iraq rather than sanctimoniously reporting EVERY death one by one.

Frankly I don't know how ANY Republicans ever get elected anywhere given the complete bias of the media.


93 posted on 03/20/2007 3:00:16 PM PDT by justshutupandtakeit (Defeat Hillary's V'assed Left Wing Conspiracy)
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To: TommyDale

"You are full of crap." Do you kiss your mother with a mouth like that?


94 posted on 03/20/2007 3:01:23 PM PDT by justshutupandtakeit (Defeat Hillary's V'assed Left Wing Conspiracy)
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To: justshutupandtakeit

You're right, and the resurgence of the drive-by media, despite their steadily declining viewer/readership/circulation numbers and falling stock prices shows them for what they are: fully subsidized 24-hour propaganda organs of the DNC.


95 posted on 03/20/2007 3:05:22 PM PDT by LS (CNN is the Amtrak of News)
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To: areafiftyone
"Among the 31% of Likely Primary voters who identify themselves as Very Conservative, Gingrich has a statistically insignificant lead over Giuliani. Romney is third among the Very Conservative while McCain is fourth.

Those who identify themselves as Somewhat Conservative prefer Giuliani over McCain by a 37% to 17% margin. Among political moderates in the GOP, 42% say they would vote for Giuliani, 20% for McCain, and 6% for Romney"

96 posted on 03/20/2007 6:27:05 PM PDT by FairOpinion (Victory in Iraq. Stop Hillary. Stop the Dems. Work for Republican Victory in 2008.)
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To: areafiftyone
Oh, Fred Thompson and RINO Rudy has the same position on the homosexual agenda?

When has Fred every marched in a gay pride parade with NAMBLA or stated homosexual was good and normal?

Tell us, areafiftyone, do you agree with Giuliani that homosexuality is good and normal?

And, no, Thompson hasn't filed lawsuits on behalf of illegals trying to skirt the law:

When Congress enacted immigration reform laws that forbade local governments from barring employees from cooperating with the INS, Mayor Rudy Giuliani filed suit against the feds in 1997. He was rebuffed by two lower courts, which ruled that the sanctuary order amounted to special treatment for illegal aliens and were nothing more than an unlawful effort to flaunt federal enforcement efforts against illegal aliens. In January 2000, the Supreme Court rejected his appeal, but Giuliani vowed to ignore the law.

97 posted on 03/20/2007 8:26:00 PM PDT by Ol' Sparky
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To: areafiftyone; AuntB; Calpernia

One thing to note...okay, two things.

Firstly, where did those words from Rudy on illegal immigration come from?

Secondly, considering the fact that he's running for President...why should I trust his words when they contradict his record? Isn't that an example of "pandering"?


98 posted on 03/20/2007 8:29:28 PM PDT by Ultra Sonic 007 (Vote for Duncan Hunter in 2008)
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To: tkathy
The fact that Giuliani is the only candidate in either party who more people would definitely vote for than against is very significant.

Why is it significant? Because he is -- right now anyone -- perceived as a likeable liberal, how does that make him any more useful to conservatives?

You have to pretty dense to think a liberal of either party is going to beneficial to conservatives.

99 posted on 03/20/2007 8:30:10 PM PDT by Ol' Sparky
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To: areafiftyone
I don't know why they don't include Thompson when they do include Newt.

Because if they started doing that, Giuliani wouldn't be the frontrunner for long and drive-by media and many of these pollsters want to give the illusion that Rudy is inevitable nominee.

100 posted on 03/20/2007 8:31:43 PM PDT by Ol' Sparky
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