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Giuliani Has No Real Chance With GOP Voters . . . or Does He?
The Washington Post ^ | March 4, 2007 | Dan Balz

Posted on 03/04/2007 2:13:52 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife

The 2008 presidential campaign is just weeks old, but already an article of faith within the Republican Party -- the belief that no politician who favors abortion rights and gay rights can win the GOP nomination -- is being challenged by the candidacy of former New York mayor Rudolph W. Giuliani.

...."This is the first Republican presidential primary since Sept. 11," said Ed Gillespie, ... "Rudy Giuliani is a candidate who can clearly test the proposition that a Republican who is more moderate on social issues can capture the nomination. He's testing it now."

....Whit Ayres, a Georgia-based Republican pollster, said he has been struck by the number of conservatives he has encountered who disagree with Giuliani on abortion or gay rights but are still attracted to him as a possible Republican nominee. ....

"It truly is the question in Republican presidential politics at the moment," Ayres said. "There are a lot of people with a more traditional view who think that his leading in the polls is just a mirage and that he has no real chance. I don't believe that. I think there's more to this than simply name ID. "

...A veteran Republican strategist, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to candidly assess the situation, said he is among those who long believed that a Republican with Giuliani's profile would have no chance. He still believes the former mayor faces significant obstacles but said the odds of Giuliani winning the nomination are not as remote as they once seemed.

He gave three reasons: the absence of a strong, traditional conservative in the GOP field; continuing antipathy among many social and religious conservatives toward McCain; and the prospect of Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton (D-N.Y.) becoming the next president.

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Front Page News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: duncanhunter; election; giuliani; politics
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To: Steel Wolf

So stop supporting liberals!


181 posted on 03/04/2007 10:37:42 AM PST by narses ("Freedom is about authority." - Rudolph Giuliani)
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To: incredulous joe
"I believe Guiliani really understands and respects the law."


182 posted on 03/04/2007 10:38:35 AM PST by narses ("Freedom is about authority." - Rudolph Giuliani)
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To: Eagles Talon IV; narses
Dear RINO Rudy Supporters,

I want to thank you for your wonderful support in helping to get me elected. Bill and I are so thrilled to be back in the White House again. Your active support for Rudy and getting him nominated was the key to me winning. Without your help Bill and I would not be here today.

Affectionately Yours,

President Hillary Rodman

P.S. I plan to nominate Rudy to the Supreme Court as soon as there is a vacancy. He will help us tilt the court back in our favor and assure that millions more unborn babies will never see the light of day. After all, it's every woman's right!

P.S.S. As you recall, my campaign slogan was, "We're Going to Take Things Away From You on Behalf of the Common Good" ALL YOUR POSSESIONS BELONG TO ME---SUCKER!!!! YEEHAAAAAAAA!!!!!!
183 posted on 03/04/2007 10:40:31 AM PST by dmw (Aren't you glad you use common sense, don't you wish everybody did?)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

It's very simple for me. If Giuliani is the republican nominee in November, '08, he gets my vote. I don't vote for democrats, no matter who they are, na dwill NEVER vote for a third party if it means a democrat win. Remember '92?


184 posted on 03/04/2007 10:45:58 AM PST by Trust but Verify
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To: narses
So stop supporting liberals!

Believe me, I won't, either through action or inaction. Come November after next, I'll be voting for whoever is holding the GOP nomination, and against whoever is holding the DNC nomination, and not sitting at home pouting or voting 3rd party.

If you feel the same way, then we're square.

185 posted on 03/04/2007 10:49:07 AM PST by Steel Wolf (As Ibn Warraq said, "There are moderate Muslims but there is no moderate Islam.")
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To: narses

Hilary will enjoy your support.


186 posted on 03/04/2007 10:59:39 AM PST by incredulous joe ("When everyone’s super, no one will be!" - Syndrome, from "The Incredibles")
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To: narses
We don't have to accept liberal Rudy.

We don't, but many GOP voters will, either because the MSM is in love with him, or because some in the GOP leadership like him, and the GOP voters will blindly follow them.
187 posted on 03/04/2007 11:10:59 AM PST by af_vet_rr
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To: incredulous joe

188 posted on 03/04/2007 11:12:41 AM PST by narses ("Freedom is about authority." - Rudolph Giuliani)
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To: Steel Wolf

"I'll be voting for whoever is holding the GOP nomination..."

That is where we differ. If the GOP wants my vote, they cannot give me a RINO as my choice.


189 posted on 03/04/2007 11:13:35 AM PST by narses ("Freedom is about authority." - Rudolph Giuliani)
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To: Eagles Talon IV
Where are his most current positions? Even Arnold Schwarzenegger clearly stated his positions during the recall election; to wit, his web site stated that he did indeed favor amnesty (but don't call it amnesty!) and drivers licenses for ILLEGAL aliens (but don't call 'em that!) but not then Gov. Davis' version.

As I've stated elsewhere pixels don't do it me (I don't have a TV, I cannot be swayed by images) I'd like to see substantive statements unfiltered by fans, enemies, and the MSM.

190 posted on 03/04/2007 11:19:12 AM PST by WilliamofCarmichael (If modern America's Man on Horseback is out there, Get on the damn horse already!)
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To: narses
"I'll be voting for whoever is holding the GOP nomination..."

That is where we differ. If the GOP wants my vote, they cannot give me a RINO as my choice.

If you can't grasp the logic in supporting a lesser evil against a greater one, than you really don't have the grasp of the American political process to be giving me advice on how to avoid "supporting liberalism".

Ironically, your idea of punishing the GOP by not voting and allowing the Dems to win is a "support lesser evil against greater evil" strategy, too. You just see RINOs as the greater evil, and support the Democrats (by not voting R) as a lesser evil tool to punish them with. That's all well and good, but it puts you on poor moral footing to be lecturing others.

191 posted on 03/04/2007 11:28:02 AM PST by Steel Wolf (As Ibn Warraq said, "There are moderate Muslims but there is no moderate Islam.")
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To: WilliamofCarmichael
As I've stated elsewhere pixels don't do it me (I don't have a TV, I cannot be swayed by images)

How much did that non-pixelated computer monitor set you back?

192 posted on 03/04/2007 11:29:39 AM PST by Steel Wolf (As Ibn Warraq said, "There are moderate Muslims but there is no moderate Islam.")
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To: MadIvan

Dear MadIvan,

"He spoke favourably of Ms. Ginsburg, but what he has said is that he would appoint judges in the mould of Alito and Scalia."

Certainly! Once he figured out that praise for Ms. Ginsburg wasn't flying with actual conservatives.

But then I look at his record at appointing judges in New York City, a record that he pointed at with pride. With a process that he controlled almost entirely (it's been sad to see the rudybots spin this one). And his "promises" look like ashes.

"If social conservatives make a deal with him in exchange for their support, the appropriate judges appointment can be made an element of his coalition."

I don't trust him to do what he doesn't want to do. Certainly, his wives found out that there was no margin in that, either. Mr. Giuliani will make what promises he thinks he must make to get elected (or get some sucker to marry him), and will keep those he wants to keep, and break those he would prefer to break.

I see nothing in him that suggests that he will keep promises that he'd rather break.

I don't see the glass half-empty.

I see that the glass has no bottom, and thus, even if you hold it under the faucet, it will never fill.


sitetest


193 posted on 03/04/2007 11:33:53 AM PST by sitetest (If Roe is not overturned, no unborn child will ever be protected in law.)
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To: Steel Wolf
pixilated?

That's why I don't have a TV. I couldn't get it to behave.

Computers, monitors were all free. My son-in-law bought new stuff for his business.

194 posted on 03/04/2007 11:47:15 AM PST by WilliamofCarmichael (If modern America's Man on Horseback is out there, Get on the damn horse already!)
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To: Steel Wolf
If you can't grasp the logic in supporting a lesser evil against a greater one, than you really don't have the grasp of the American political process to be giving me advice on how to avoid "supporting liberalism".
I get it, I just see NO significant difference between an evil in the GOP and an evil in the D party. In fact, since I think Clinton caused the GOP to pull together and clarify it's conservative roots which led to the 1994 GOP Revolution, I think being in the minority now and then is good for us.
You just see RINOs as the greater evil, and support the Democrats (by not voting R) as a lesser evil tool to punish them with.
Traitors ARE the greater evil.
195 posted on 03/04/2007 11:48:43 AM PST by narses ("Freedom is about authority." - Rudolph Giuliani)
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To: Drammach

"If he does get nominated, will he get the conservative vote"? Let's get real. Do we pout and get a President Clinton or Obama? The primary job of a President is foreign policy and to be Commander in Chief. Social issues are handled by the Congress and the Courts. If Rudy which he said he will, agrees to appoint strict constitutional judges, he has my vote. As far as some of his social opinions are concerned, no President has changed those issues in 60 years despite which side they were on. I am more concerned about the bad guys trying to kill us and taxes.


196 posted on 03/04/2007 12:02:05 PM PST by Old Retired Army Guy
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To: narses

Dear narses,

As well, for us, we may not choose to do evil to bring about good.

If one's two choices are truly two intrinsic evils from which one must choose the lesser, we may not choose either.

There is a difference between choosing a flawed candidate and a candidate whose candidacy is evil.

There is a difference between compromising with a less-than-perfect candidate, and capitulating to a candidate who whole-heartedly, unreservedly, and fundamentally chooses that which is profoundly intrinsically evil.

I'm okay with compromise. I won't capitulate.

(I know - in addressing this post to you, I'm preaching to the choir. ;-) )


sitetest


197 posted on 03/04/2007 12:04:18 PM PST by sitetest (If Roe is not overturned, no unborn child will ever be protected in law.)
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To: sitetest

You have the Chrysostom ability to say with ease what I would say with volumes. Thanks.


198 posted on 03/04/2007 12:06:14 PM PST by narses ("Freedom is about authority." - Rudolph Giuliani)
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To: joseph20
The sooner the Rudy question is resolved, the better off we will be as a party.>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

I can resolve that right now.

Lets have a constitutional amendment in order to change the Office of President to Mayor of the United States.

199 posted on 03/04/2007 12:16:43 PM PST by Candor7
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To: Drammach
If he does win the nomination, will Conservatives come out to vote for him?

Me too. NO!.

200 posted on 03/04/2007 12:17:50 PM PST by Candor7
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