Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Giuliani Has No Real Chance With GOP Voters . . . or Does He?
The Washington Post ^ | March 4, 2007 | Dan Balz

Posted on 03/04/2007 2:13:52 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife

The 2008 presidential campaign is just weeks old, but already an article of faith within the Republican Party -- the belief that no politician who favors abortion rights and gay rights can win the GOP nomination -- is being challenged by the candidacy of former New York mayor Rudolph W. Giuliani.

...."This is the first Republican presidential primary since Sept. 11," said Ed Gillespie, ... "Rudy Giuliani is a candidate who can clearly test the proposition that a Republican who is more moderate on social issues can capture the nomination. He's testing it now."

....Whit Ayres, a Georgia-based Republican pollster, said he has been struck by the number of conservatives he has encountered who disagree with Giuliani on abortion or gay rights but are still attracted to him as a possible Republican nominee. ....

"It truly is the question in Republican presidential politics at the moment," Ayres said. "There are a lot of people with a more traditional view who think that his leading in the polls is just a mirage and that he has no real chance. I don't believe that. I think there's more to this than simply name ID. "

...A veteran Republican strategist, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to candidly assess the situation, said he is among those who long believed that a Republican with Giuliani's profile would have no chance. He still believes the former mayor faces significant obstacles but said the odds of Giuliani winning the nomination are not as remote as they once seemed.

He gave three reasons: the absence of a strong, traditional conservative in the GOP field; continuing antipathy among many social and religious conservatives toward McCain; and the prospect of Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton (D-N.Y.) becoming the next president.

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Front Page News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: duncanhunter; election; giuliani; politics
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20 ... 121-140141-160161-180 ... 281-300 next last
To: Steel Wolf

"Guiliani is a good 2 out of 3 for America. He'll be for a strong military and GWOT prosecution, and fiscally conservative."

George Bush is pro-military, he's fighting the war on terror and he's fiscally conservative...well, okay that last one is open to debate

If these three qualities make up the nucleus of good presidential candidate that people support, why aren't President Bush's approval numbers sky high?


141 posted on 03/04/2007 6:14:04 AM PST by sergeantdave
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 114 | View Replies]

To: johnny7
Wipe the stardust from your peepers... blind infatuation is known to affect perception.

Did it champion your candidate or did the article give an overview of the state of the GOP party?

142 posted on 03/04/2007 6:19:43 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 136 | View Replies]

To: Cincinatus' Wife
Oh well, let them, if that makes them feel better or if they believe those tactics will help win me to their corner (which seems to be shrinking).

Rudy-phobes, like libertarians, seem to think the way to advance their cause is to insult the intelligence of those they need to convert. A peculiar strategy which has never worked yet, but they are persistent little pests.

143 posted on 03/04/2007 6:20:44 AM PST by hinckley buzzard
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: mariabush
...This will probably be the lowest turnout in history for both parties.

Interesting. I believe it will be a huge turnout for both parties.

144 posted on 03/04/2007 6:21:46 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 130 | View Replies]

To: Steel Wolf; MadIvan; All
Like tides that rise and fall, so goes the whims of the electorate. The art of winning elections is to understand those tides, and ride them as best as possible.

This is the second time I have seen you refer to the electorate in terms of a natural phenomenon. A few days ago you referred to it as "ever-changing winds that blow" (or something close to that). You make a seemingly-plausible and emotionally persuasive argument, but your premise is fundamentally flawed.

The "electorate" is not a natural phenomenon, composed of inanimate non-sentient objects, and totally subject to forces of which they are unaware. It is living, conscious human beings, who THINK about things, however flawed such thinking may be. You even alluded to this "thinking" in your own post, yet you persist in treating them as non-sentient objects such as tides and winds.

And because the "electorate" is composed of people, who think, they vote the way they do because they have been "persuaded" - some by logical argument and examination of facts, some by emotional appeal, some via dint of the constant MSM barrage of soundbites, etc. I would agree that the current attitudes you describe and ascribe to the electorate are pretty much correct, but they didn't arrive at those attitudes through random or cyclical natural events, they were persuaded into them, and perhaps could be persuaded otherwise. They definitely won't be, however, if we preclude a thorough discussion of the facts and don't make the attempt.

However they may choose to vote, therefore, is not a natural phemomenon, beyond human control. It is a choice, and choices can be influenced and altered. What is arousing the ire of many here are the arrogant, heavy-handed attempts of some to short-circuit that process and DEMAND that everyone else jump on their bandwagon RIGHT NOW, before we even know where the parade is going.

Both sides need to chill out. If you've made your choice, fine. Post your argument and reasoning, respectfully, then back-off and allow others to do the same. If they don't respond respectfully, ignore them. Don't dive into the mud with them. Don't respond to intimidation, and don't be guilty of it yourself.

145 posted on 03/04/2007 6:58:41 AM PST by tarheelswamprat (So what if I'm not rich? So what if I'm not one of the beautiful people? At least I'm not smart...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 114 | View Replies]

To: Cincinatus' Wife
For the life of me I cannot understand why it is so difficult for anyone to understand the popularity of Giulliani. This election is not about abortion rights or gun control anymore then any other election was. Despite how the loony left thinks abortion is first and foremost on the minds of most Americans, it is not as has been proved again and again.

No folks, In a world where relativity is a constant, what is important is determined by what we face on a daily basis. Now, today and for the discernible future, what we are facing is a threat to our very way of life and in fact our very lives. Man's greatest and most powerful instinct is to LIVE. If you believe as I do that a Democrat in the WH in 2008 will make our desire to live less likely in the near term and almost non existent in the long term, then it becomes an easy choice between a Hillary and a Rudy (if he turns out to be the candidate).

I want to win because I want to live and I want my kids and grand children to live. If Rudy is nominated I will vote for him. If McCain is nominated I will vote for him and if Gingrich is nominated I will vote for him. We can disagree during the nomination process. It is healthy and necessary for all views to be heard. That said, once this process is done and a candidate selected for our Party, I pray all of us can get behind him no matter who it turns out to be.

The alternative is simply not acceptable.
146 posted on 03/04/2007 7:19:06 AM PST by Eagles Talon IV
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Cincinatus' Wife
..if frontloaded primaries and name-recognition are going to be the dominant influences in the nominating process--

the mayor may get the nomination--and the Republican party as we know it will have died.

..but it's only March...

147 posted on 03/04/2007 7:20:13 AM PST by WalterSkinner ( ..when there is any conflict between God and Caesar -- guess who loses?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: WilliamofCarmichael
"Yes, I know that they did not fly out of New York City but I can imagine what would have happened if they had and they had been stopped on the way to the airport; to wit, "Oops, sorry sir. The mayor says we can't touch you but you really ought to touch base with the INS. Have a good day, sir."

9/11 has changed everything. Do you believe that? I do and if it changed everything it changed Giullianis' view in certain areas.

148 posted on 03/04/2007 7:22:40 AM PST by Eagles Talon IV
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 100 | View Replies]

To: Cincinatus' Wife
"I don't think there's any question those issues (abortion, etc) will come into play. The question is, will they get traction?"

What's more important? An abortion law the president can't repeal or change anyway, or staying alive? If a strong Republican majority is put in the Congress then I believe abortion and illegal immigration will be dealt with. The best we can ever hope for anyway is for abortion to become solely a States issue. That said, if we are all dead or living in terror daily, none of this matters to begin with.

149 posted on 03/04/2007 7:28:35 AM PST by Eagles Talon IV
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Cincinatus' Wife
-OR- How many HANDS is Rudy talking to..?..

Seems to be more and more as his campaign progresses progressivly..

150 posted on 03/04/2007 7:48:05 AM PST by hosepipe (CAUTION: This propaganda is laced with hyperbole....)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Cincinatus' Wife

That's not the important question. Does he click with women? Does he click with the Archie Bunker democrat who votes union on everything but the Presidential election? Those 2 groups election republican presidents.


151 posted on 03/04/2007 7:53:48 AM PST by kinghorse (I didn't question Nancy's patriotism. I questioned her judgment - Dick Cheney 2007)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: kinghorse

The republican ticket to 2008 Pres victory doesn't exist today. Every candidate is fatally flawed. Gingrich should have taken better care of his spousal and religious duties and he would be the frontrunner. But he's no Bush. Bush's love of the man upstairs keeps him in the game smiling when his enemies are slinging poo. I love that about the man. Not oblivious, rather forgiving.


152 posted on 03/04/2007 7:59:11 AM PST by kinghorse (I didn't question Nancy's patriotism. I questioned her judgment - Dick Cheney 2007)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 151 | View Replies]

To: MadIvan

As a Roman Catholic, how do you feel about electing a flagrant violator of Roman Catholic dogmas and disciplines? Rudy is apparently living in sin with wife number three. He attended Mass with her on 911 while still married to wife number two. He advocates for abortion providers and takes their blood money. Does that mean nothing to you?


153 posted on 03/04/2007 8:22:45 AM PST by narses ("Freedom is about authority." - Rudolph Giuliani)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 99 | View Replies]

To: farmer18th

As long as my account still works, I will! Thanks.


154 posted on 03/04/2007 8:25:46 AM PST by narses ("Freedom is about authority." - Rudolph Giuliani)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 124 | View Replies]

To: narses
I am not a priest nor saint. My relationship with God is my concern. His relationship with God is his. I do not intend to sit in judgment of his soul, nor would I presume to have the authority to do so.

In so far as the election is concerned, as my concern is the defense of Western Civilisation, I back what I believe to be the best bet to defend it against its enemies, so that I have the capacity to live according to the precepts of my faith and my beliefs in liberty. No, he is not perfect - but then again, even Ronald Reagan was divorced.

Ivan

155 posted on 03/04/2007 8:25:55 AM PST by MadIvan (I aim to misbehave.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 153 | View Replies]

To: MadIvan

Sad. Ronald wasn't a Catholic. Guiliani will do as much harm to the faith as Kennedy and Pelosi have. And as much damage to our country. You mention being British. Unlike your system, we can't get rid of a liar we elect with relative ease. No "deal" with a liar will ever work. Sorry, Rudy will never get my vote.


156 posted on 03/04/2007 8:29:07 AM PST by narses ("Freedom is about authority." - Rudolph Giuliani)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 155 | View Replies]

To: narses
Guiliani will do as much harm to the faith as Kennedy and Pelosi have. And as much damage to our country.

I don't agree with you. But it would be preferable to see you build up your candidate than to tear someone else's down. In the end, votes need to gravitate towards something other than a vacuum.

No "deal" with a liar will ever work. Sorry, Rudy will never get my vote.

I don't accept that he is a liar. I have long accepted that he would not get your vote. The purpose of arguing with you is not to turn your vote, but to show both sides of the argument to anyone undecided who is reading.

Ivan

157 posted on 03/04/2007 8:31:20 AM PST by MadIvan (I aim to misbehave.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 156 | View Replies]

To: Jim Robinson
to: MadIvan

** Get lost. **


WTG Jim!!

158 posted on 03/04/2007 8:40:10 AM PST by Condor51 (Rudy makes John Kerry look like a 'Right Wing Gun-Nut Extremist'.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 64 | View Replies]

To: MadIvan
"But it would be preferable to see you build up your candidate than to tear someone else's down."

I have no candidate at this time. Nor do FACTS 'tear down' anything but ignorance.

"I don't accept that he is a liar."

Did he lie to NARAL when he took their money and supported their agenda? Or did he lie to his supporters when he didn't quite say he'd appoint judges that would get rid of Roe - v - Wade?

He lied. Time and again. He breaks laws, time and again.


159 posted on 03/04/2007 8:49:03 AM PST by narses ("Freedom is about authority." - Rudolph Giuliani)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 157 | View Replies]

To: Eagles Talon IV

"Now, today and for the discernible future, what we are facing is a threat to our very way of life and in fact our very lives."

Yes. It is called LIBERALISM. Rudy reeks of it. We need a conservative with real strength, not a corrupt and dishonest liar who pretends.


160 posted on 03/04/2007 8:50:45 AM PST by narses ("Freedom is about authority." - Rudolph Giuliani)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 146 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20 ... 121-140141-160161-180 ... 281-300 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson