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David Warren, The two cultures
ottawa citizen ^ | feb 11 2007 | david warren

Posted on 02/17/2007 1:07:07 PM PST by andrewwood

The more I think about “global warming”, in light of the most recent United Nations report, the more confident I become in averring that it is a fraud, a political stunt, a criminal imposture, that every intelligent journalist should be helping to expose. We need more reporting on the circular assumptions built into the IPCC’s ludicrous computer models, on their use of misleading and conveniently changing baseline years, and on the trends within their own trends. (For instance, they have quietly reduced their middle-range prediction of temperature rise in the coming century by more than one-third; their mean sea-level rise prediction by more than one-half, since the last IPCC report in 2001. Yet this was not the headline.)

We have, I confidently predict, a repeat of the “ozone layer” imposture. The ozone layer is like a cloud in the upper atmosphere, that thickens and thins, disappears and reappears, constantly. But by selective readings of it, a scare was put about that, “The ozone layer is shrinking!” That controversy has itself blown over, because there was nothing to it. Likewise, the extrapolation of long-term trends from short-term temperature variations will blow over. The studies only misstate a truism: that the earth’s climates are in constant flux. (It was warmer in Europe in the 13th century, than the IPCC now predicts it will become by the 22nd. Was that caused by uncontrolled CO2 emissions from rampant industrialization in the earlier Middle Ages?)

The good news is, that it should not take long for the latest environmental scare to join the “ozone layer”, “global winter”, the Club of Rome forecasts, and many other crocks on the shard-heap of history. The bad is, it will be succeeded by more Chicken-Little expostulations, with the same propagandist theme: “Unless the planet is delivered immediately into the iron embrace of the environmental bureaucracies, we’re all going to die!”

Once upon a time, there were two modes of journalism, called tabloid and broadsheet. The distinction was clear. The first (tabloid), aimed at the more ignorant and credulous section of the population, was shamelessly sensationalist, and indifferent to its own track record. The second (broadsheet), aimed at the more intelligent and sceptical -- businessmen, especially, with money on the line. It cultivated greyness and sobriety, and was fixated on reputation. Tabloids were for fun, broadsheets were for information.

In my own lifetime as a journalist I have watched this distinction evaporate, and the unrestricted triumph of the tabloid ideal.

But at the same time, there has been a swing, among the class of people who staff the media. Where before they were generally short on academic qualifications, but long on street smarts, now we have a broad creamy froth of journalism-school graduates with zero street-smarts, but thorough indoctrination in the art of attitudinizing. Or to put it another way, the political outlook has swung dramatically from right to left.

Nevertheless, so long as our (human) race can stay out of the trees, there will be a demand for good solid information and lively but responsible analysis. These have not disappeared, but gone largely underground, or more precisely, into the aether of the Internet. People who feel the need to know what is actually going on, are increasingly by-passing the “mainstream media” and going directly to the best sources.

This is not something that pleases me. I should prefer to be proud of my own vocation and trade.

So far as I can make out, there has been similar “progress” in the scientific world. The academic researcher, like the broadsheet beat reporter, was once a rather grey man who feared overstatement, but could give you a straight answer to a straight question, even if it was, “I don’t know.” The best were (in both cases), broadly grounded. That is, a researcher in some arcane area of, say, climatology, would have a good general science background, including the history required to contextualize his own work. He was therefore not naive.

The decay of standards is not subtle. The academic science world, persisting on tax money, has been intellectually flatlining. It becomes increasingly a closed camp of ideologues whose job security depends on their avoidance of apostasy. In a word, science is being swamped by an almost religious scientism. Whereas serious, open-minded research has retreated almost entirely into the corporate research labs, where a different ethos prevails.

This is the environmental scare that should worry us. That we are becoming, increasingly, the prey of sensationalism in the service of scientism.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events; Philosophy
KEYWORDS: 296; climatechange; globalwarming; junkscience; unitednations

1 posted on 02/17/2007 1:07:09 PM PST by andrewwood
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To: andrewwood
A great article!

Another headline you don't see: "IPCC Reports Show Al Gore Distorts and Exaggerates". Gore has convinced many people that a 20 ft rise in sea level is inevitable (unless we return to our caves) -- while the IPCC consensus figure is only 17 inches. IPCC says a 20 ft rise is highly unlikely -- about the same as the odds of the planet being wiped out by an asteroid.
2 posted on 02/17/2007 1:23:20 PM PST by USFRIENDINVICTORIA
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To: andrewwood

Back in 1989 I remarked to my cousin who was fuming over some erroneous "fact" in Popular Science that today's scientists had assumed the mantle of priests and rebuke was not tolerated; I was only mildly jesting.


3 posted on 02/17/2007 1:29:54 PM PST by Old Professer (The critic writes with rapier pen, dips it twice, and writes again.)
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To: andrewwood
David Warren ping.

Warren's description of the corruption of intellectual standards in Journalism and Academic Science is trenchant.

I would add one other observation. All the Journalists I have know personally were innumerate and scientifically illiterate. These Journalists also seemed incapable of true critical thinking as their Journalistic methodology was hopelessly tainted by the Adorno/Gramsci School of Cultural Marxism.
4 posted on 02/17/2007 1:33:51 PM PST by ggekko60506
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To: USFRIENDINVICTORIA

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1589390/posts


5 posted on 02/17/2007 1:34:12 PM PST by Old Professer (The critic writes with rapier pen, dips it twice, and writes again.)
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To: andrewwood
every intelligent journalist

You mean both of them?

6 posted on 02/17/2007 1:34:31 PM PST by irv
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To: andrewwood
Once upon a time, there were two modes of journalism, called tabloid and broadsheet. The distinction was clear. The first (tabloid), aimed at the more ignorant and credulous section of the population, and shamelessly sensationalist, and indifferent to its own track record. The second (broadsheet), aimed at the more intelligent and sceptical -- businessmen, especially, with money on the line. It cultivated greyness and sobriety, and was fixated on reputation. Tabloids were for fun, broadsheets were for information.

The distinctions remain exactly the same today, except the names have changed: The first, formerly "tabloid", is now "mainstream network and newspaper" (aimed at the more ignorant and credulous section of the population, and shamelessly sensationalist and indifferent to its own track record) and the second, formerly "broadsheet", is now "internet and talk radio" (aimed at the more intelligent and sceptical, cultivating greyness and sobriety and fixated on reputation).

7 posted on 02/17/2007 1:41:02 PM PST by Lancey Howard
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To: Old Professer
Yeah, I should stop using that comparison -- or say that there is far less of a chance of Gore's scenarios happening than a killer asteroid hitting.

It wasn't that long ago that certain Hollywood movies had people more worried about asteroids than global warming. Those movies certainly made a more plausible action flick than "The Day After Tomorrow".

There are two key reasons that ecofascists want us to worry about GW, rather than asteroid attacks:
1) Humanity can't be made to feel guilty about asteroids; and
2) Protection from asteroids requires all of the resources of an advanced technological society -- the ecofanatics want us to return to our caves instead of continuing to progress.
8 posted on 02/17/2007 1:51:58 PM PST by USFRIENDINVICTORIA
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To: USFRIENDINVICTORIA
17 mm, not inches. An inch is about 25 mm.
Al Gores claim that the ice fields are melting is also a HUGE bold faced lie. Sat. imagery and other studies show that the polar ice caps and Greenlands glaciers have gained mass and total area in size. There are other factors that influence sea levels, which include continental rise and fall, which has to do with the constant fluxuations of pressures with the earth, which aren't very well understood.

People tend to think of the earth as a solid, hard rock floating in space, but it's actually a soft glob of jelly with a hard crust. It's constantly fluxuating because of the gravitational pulls from the moon, and the sun as it travels in it's orbit around it.

9 posted on 02/17/2007 2:04:44 PM PST by Nathan Zachary
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To: USFRIENDINVICTORIA
"2) Protection from asteroids requires all of the resources of an advanced technological society -- the ecofanatics want us to return to our caves instead of continuing to progress.

That's an understatement, especially when you see stuff like this:

Greenpeace's UK Triumph
"A British court has handed a major defeat to pro-nuclear lobbyists by declaring that the process by which the Labour government planned to introduce ten new nuclear power plants was flawed and illegal.
The judicial review challenge mounted by Greenpeace UK is an unprecedented triumph against an autocratic and arrogant government that is well known to make decisions in private and then fakes a consultation process later.
“I think it’s the arrogance of this government. You know they make up their mind and even when they say they’re going to have a full public consultation - the exercise is just a sham,” John Sauven, Director of Greenpeace, told Off-Grid...

The challenge had centred on the process that led up to the publication of the government’s Energy Review Report last July. Alistair Darling, trade and industry secretary, told parliament, on the basis of the report, that nuclear power had to be part of Britain’s energy supply over the next 40 years.

Britain’s 23 nuclear power stations supply around 20 per cent of the country’s electricity. All but one is due to close by 2023. The Energy Review – published in July – stated that new nuclear power stations would make a “significant contribution” to meeting energy policy goals.

These idiots truely do want people to return to caves, and graze in the fields like cattle (even that would be regulated) if you add the ambitions of anti animal eating vegans to the mix.

10 posted on 02/17/2007 2:28:50 PM PST by Nathan Zachary
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To: andrewwood

The global warming movement has become a pseudo-religion. If you want evidence of this, visit the website for Al Gore's movie, where it encourages visitors to go our and teach "the TRUTH" (their emphasis). They are convinced that they know, and others don't. Like good gnostics, they are sure that knowledge will cure us.

Of course, the warming is due to the sins of mankind, and we must repent, and be punished, particularly America. We must do penance by lowering our standard of living, and stop all this enjoyment, and acknowledge our misdeeds. If we do not repent, a horrible punishment awaits us, and time is short, so we must act now! Truly, the end is near!

People who leave religion are always looking for a substitute, and this is just one of them.


11 posted on 02/17/2007 2:36:55 PM PST by docbnj
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To: andrewwood; Killing Time; Beowulf; Mr. Peabody; Mrs. Don-o; RW_Whacko; honolulugal; gruffwolf; ...

FReepmail me to get on or off

Click graphic for full GW rundown

Ping me if you find one I've missed.

12 posted on 02/17/2007 3:06:19 PM PST by xcamel (Press to Test, Release to Detonate)
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To: Nathan Zachary
There's a table on page 13 of the IPCC "summary" report (a summary of a not yet written report) that shows a range of predicted sea level rises on the basis of various scenarios.

The predicted rise is 18 cm to 59 cm (7 inches to 23.2 inches). The average of the top end of the estimates from each of these scenarios is IPCC's best guess -- that works out to about 43 cm -- or 17 inches. (More reasonable would have been a average of mid point estimates.)

I couldn't figure out how to copy the table here, but you can see it here: http://www.ipcc.ch/SPM2feb07.pdf

I agree with all of your other points. Your description of the earth is a great metaphor.
13 posted on 02/17/2007 6:11:51 PM PST by USFRIENDINVICTORIA
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To: irv

This should now be the quintessential example of an oxymoron along with "journalistic integrity."

Excellent article. My favorite slightly hypebolic desciption of our local tabloid, the Boston Globe: "The only facts in the Globe are the ball scores and I sometimes question them."


14 posted on 02/18/2007 5:23:05 AM PST by bjc (Check the data!!)
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To: Nathan Zachary

So it's no more nuclear for the Brits. Yet, without fanfare, the natural gas export lines in the north sea have recently been reversed, making the big island a net importer of natural gas.


15 posted on 02/18/2007 6:26:28 AM PST by bricks4all2
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To: USFRIENDINVICTORIA

Yes, that made great headlines in the Times-Colonist. For a while there, I had dreams of living on Rockland heights waterfront:)


16 posted on 02/23/2007 1:59:58 PM PST by andrewwood (andrewwood)
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