Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Records show January the hottest ever, thanks to El Niño and global warming, scientists say
ap on San Diego Union - Tribune ^ | 2/15/07 | Seth Borenstein - ap

Posted on 02/15/2007 6:35:24 PM PST by NormsRevenge

WASHINGTON – It may be cold comfort during a frigid February, but last month was by far the hottest January ever.

The broken record was fueled by a waning El Niño and a gradually warming world, according to U.S. scientists who reported the data Thursday. Records on the planet's temperature have been kept since 1880.

Spurred on by unusually warm Siberia, Canada, northern Asia and Europe, the world's land areas were 3.4 degrees Fahrenheit warmer than a normal January, according to the U.S. National Climatic Data Center in Asheville, N.C. That didn't just nudge past the old record set in 2002, but broke that mark by 0.81 degrees, which meteorologists said is a lot, since such records often are broken by hundredths of a degree at a time.

“That's pretty unusual for a record to be broken by that much,” said the data center's scientific services chief, David Easterling. “I was very surprised.”

The scientists went beyond their normal doublechecking and took the unusual step of running computer climate models “just to make sure that what we're seeing was real,” Easterling said.

It was.

“From one standpoint it is not unusual to have a new record because we've become accustomed to having records broken,” said Jay Lawrimore, climate monitoring branch chief. But January, he said, was a bigger jump than the world has seen in about 10 years.

The temperature of the world's land and water combined – the most effective measurement – was 1.53 degrees Fahrenheit warmer than normal, breaking the old record by more than one-quarter of a degree. Ocean temperatures alone didn't set a record.

In the Northern Hemisphere, land areas were 4.1 degrees Fahrenheit warmer than normal for January, breaking the old record by about three-quarters of a degree.

But the United States was about normal. The nation was 0.94 degrees Fahrenheit above normal for January, ranking only the 49th warmest since 1895.

The world's temperature record was driven by northern latitudes. Siberia was on average 9 degrees Fahrenheit warmer than normal. Eastern Europe had temperatures averaging 8 degrees Fahrenheit above normal. Canada on average was more than 5 degrees warmer than normal.

Larger increases in temperature farther north, compared to mid-latitudes, is “sort of the global warming signal,” Easterling said. It is what climate scientists predict happens and will happen more frequently with global warming, according to an authoritative report by hundreds of climate scientists issued this month.

Meteorologists aren't blaming the warmer January on global warming alone, but they said the higher temperature was consistent with climate change.

Easterling said a weakening El Niño – a warming of the central Pacific Ocean that tends to cause changes in weather across the globe – was a factor, but not a big one. But Kevin Trenberth, director of climate analysis at the National Center for Atmospheric Research, said El Niño made big changes worldwide that added up.

Temperature records break regularly with global warming, Trenberth said, but “with a little bit of El Niño thrown in, you don't just break records, you smash records.”

As much of the United States already knows, February doesn't seem as unusually warm as January was.

“Even with global warming, you're not going to keep that cold air bottled up in Alaska and Canada forever,” Easterling said.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: climatechange; elnino; elnio; globalwarming; hottest; january; lyingabouttheclimate; scientists
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20 ... 81-100101-120121-140141-157 last
To: Old Professer
There was a global warming meeting that was canceled
last week due to Snow! Isn't that a knee slapper.
141 posted on 02/16/2007 2:06:49 PM PST by Coffee_drinker (The best defense is a strong pre-emptive strike.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 138 | View Replies]

To: CSM

Back atcha neighbor...looks like we've got a heat wave ahead. High 39 degrees on Tuesday!


142 posted on 02/16/2007 3:06:40 PM PST by OldBlondBabe
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 125 | View Replies]

To: Old Professer
"Kathmandu?"

I Googled searched it this morning and yes Kathmandu is the place.

143 posted on 02/16/2007 3:38:29 PM PST by Spunky ("Everyone has a freedom of choice, but not of consequences.")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 138 | View Replies]

To: NormsRevenge
We keep hearing how "the debate is over", "the science is settled", etc. Yet look at how much was missing from climate models in the early 1990's -- these were the models that generated the predictions that justified the Kyoto agreement.

BTW, this chart is from the UN IPCC itself. http://www.grida.no/climate/ipcc_tar/vol4/english/images/wg1figts-box3.gif


144 posted on 02/16/2007 4:16:02 PM PST by USFRIENDINVICTORIA
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: NormsRevenge
Jeez, this award is going to get worn out......


145 posted on 02/16/2007 4:22:37 PM PST by ChildOfThe60s (If you can remember the 60s......you weren't really there)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Bold Peasant

Shift key?


146 posted on 02/16/2007 6:49:17 PM PST by GVNR (In the end, living is a fatal condition.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 97 | View Replies]

To: firebrand

You are exactly right, the seasons have been shifting for a number of years now. It gets hot later in the summer and cold later in the winter. I think we can fix the the whole thing by having spring start 21 April, summer about 21 July, fall about 21 Oct and winter 21 Jan.....see it all fits now. Just you and me and an idea! You think we should charge someone for solving the global warming problem?


147 posted on 02/16/2007 7:10:54 PM PST by pepperdog
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: Bold Peasant

Are you series?


148 posted on 02/16/2007 7:16:50 PM PST by pepperdog
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 70 | View Replies]

To: metmom
You mean someone zotted the bird? You know cats love birds.
149 posted on 02/16/2007 7:22:07 PM PST by pepperdog
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 116 | View Replies]

To: pepperdog

He was series as a bolt of lightning. zzzzzzzzt!


150 posted on 02/16/2007 8:13:12 PM PST by metmom (Welfare was never meant to be a career choice.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 148 | View Replies]

To: pepperdog

Yeah, but I don't know who.


151 posted on 02/16/2007 8:13:44 PM PST by metmom (Welfare was never meant to be a career choice.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 149 | View Replies]

To: Bold Peasant
Why are most conservative anti-science?

First - My post has nothing to do with science. I simply stated that records have only been kept since 1880. That's only 127 years of earth's history.

Second - What makes you think most conservatives are anti-science?

Third - What's the point of your question?

152 posted on 02/16/2007 9:20:51 PM PST by mtg
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 70 | View Replies]

To: Bold Peasant

Most Republicans would agree with you that science and religion are compatible. No issue there.


153 posted on 02/16/2007 10:05:51 PM PST by June Cleaver (in here, Ward . . .)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 97 | View Replies]

To: ChildOfThe60s

Where can I find a URL to that picture? It's priceless.


154 posted on 02/17/2007 6:22:05 AM PST by JusPasenThru (Just another angry military veteran.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 145 | View Replies]

To: NormsRevenge
I just ran the numbers for my area.

Yeah... January was warmer than normal: +5.6F

So far, the past four weeks - Jan-Feb : -6.96F

It appears that we're going to make up for some of that abnormally warm air... which, of course, is why it is known as abnormal.
155 posted on 02/17/2007 10:08:13 AM PST by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: JusPasenThru

Right click on the picture and select properties.


156 posted on 02/17/2007 11:10:01 AM PST by ChildOfThe60s (If you can remember the 60s......you weren't really there)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 154 | View Replies]

To: AFPhys

Same here.

Accuweather has everything one needs for each month and its history. Though pointless to show to a GW believer.


157 posted on 02/17/2007 11:13:26 AM PST by ChildOfThe60s (If you can remember the 60s......you weren't really there)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 155 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-20 ... 81-100101-120121-140141-157 last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson