Wet winter forecast has come up dry(Global warming to blame for bad forecasting)

LA Times ^ | 2/2/07 | Hector Becerra, Times Staff Writer

[Tarpon]

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration on Thursday dramatically downgraded its forecast for a winter of warm El Niño rains, the latest twist in a year of weird weather across Southern California. Federal weather officials had been saying for months that the region would have a wet winter, but the Southland hasn't recorded significant rain since May. NOAA said the latest weather and ocean temperature data now show that El Niño will have "minimal effects" across California and the rest of North America, following the lead of other forecasters, who in recent weeks said El Niño was fizzling.

[Tarpon]

Here is the thread from April when the computer weather wizards had it all figured out Scientist forecast super El-Nino

Let's see, that's ten months and the forecast model changed prediction from super wet to super dry. My those computer models sure are accurate. I will bet they can forecast the temperature of the Earth and the height of the ocean 50 years out. Anyone want to bet?

I need to check, how did the 2006 hurricane predictions turn out, supposedly it was going to much worse than 2005, according to all the computer models and all the experts.

Be kind, I haven't tried posting before, this was just to juicy to pass up.

[PhiKapMom]

We have been wetter and colder than normal here in OK! In fact I am tired of seeing ice and sleet!

[ukie55]

Is there anything that can't be blamed on globull warming?

[Reaganesque]

It is currently -9 degrees F here in Minneapolis with a wind chill of -20 to -30. I could sure go for some global warming right about now.

[USFRIENDINVICTORIA]

Good post -- first or otherwise.

[x_plus_one]

Just like astrologers who predict the future after it just happened.

[Reaganesque]

"The problem with forecasting El Niño is that it's like shooting craps," said William Patzert, a climatologist for the Jet Propulsion Laboratory in La Cañada Flintridge. "The dice are loaded with this global warming thing, but we don't know exactly how they're loaded."

So, he admits they can't reliably tell us what's going to happen in the next few weeks and months but if we don't do anything about Global Warming, we'll all surely die in 10 years.

[hadaclueonce]

These are the same forecasters that cannot tell us what the weather will be next week? Now they tell me that half inch of ice that I scraped off my car in Austin two weeks ago was casused by Global warming?

Being in the electric utility operations, weather forecasts are critical. I saw a decline in accurate weather forecast at the time when ENRON was trading "weather futures." We joked that someone had "paid off the forecasters." Now I am wondering if we had guessed right.

[fantom]

Temps rising on mars. Bushes fault..

[ProtectOurFreedom]

Close to 60 here in Los Altos. I'm pulling weeds in the yard and rose garden today. Of course, we have to put up with an idiot governor, light bulb bans, new proposed bans on my fireplace, bans on coal fired power plants, and a slew of other infringements. But 60 F is pretty nice this time of year.

[Landru]

"The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration on Thursday dramatically downgraded its forecast for a winter of warm El Niño rains..."

HA!!
I'll bet.

Clowns don't know what they're having for dinner tonight, consistently wrong forecasting weather a mere 48 hours out (while never held accountable). Pout, stomp their feet & hold their breath because we laugh 'em outa the room when they project meteorological events 10+ years into the future, all the while drawing an obscenely large paycheck given their track record.

That does it.

...I wanna be a weatherman.

[Bommer]

Lump that in with the dumbass forcast that predicted last years "record" hurricane forcast.

[cripplecreek]

They predicted a snowy winter with "normal" temperatures here in the midwest. We don't have much snow but it's a little hard to measure with it falling sideways at 40 mph.

[neverhillorat]

Denver sure has had a global warming winter. Global warming destroys common sense

[Ditter]

The wet forecast wasn't wrong they were just wrong about who was going to get it. Texas got California's rain.

[i_dont_chat]

I'm never saying "Global Warming" again.

Instead, I am going to use the phrase "Universal Warming". Followed by the statement: "Even Planet Mars is warming -- don't you know."

[mhx]

Beautiful sunny winter. They forget that last year we had a ridiculously large amount of rain.

[cripplecreek]

I'm calling the true believers members of the Peoples Church of Global warming and calling Al Gore thier Jim Jones just because I know it yanks thier chains.

[I got the rope]

Light bulb bans? What's that about?

[Ole Okie]

"Even Planet Mars is warming -- don't you know."

Splendid tag line. I'm going to steal part of it.