"The problem with forecasting El Niño is that it's like shooting craps," said William Patzert, a climatologist for the Jet Propulsion Laboratory in La Cañada Flintridge. "The dice are loaded with this global warming thing, but we don't know exactly how they're loaded." So, he admits they can't reliably tell us what's going to happen in the next few weeks and months but if we don't do anything about Global Warming, we'll all surely die in 10 years.