Look familiar? :-)
Posted on 02/02/2007 4:47:11 PM PST by PhiKapMom
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
New York, Feb 2 -
To:
Team Rudy
From:
Brent Seaborn, Strategy Director
Date:
February 2, 2007
Re:
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
Over the last month or two there has been a good deal of public opinion polling on the 2008 Republican primary race. I thought it would be helpful to take a step back and take a closer look at how voters – particularly Republican primary voters – feel about Rudy Giuliani and why we think we are well-positioned heading in to the primary season.
Americans Have a Highly Favorable Opinion of Mayor Giuliani
Entering the 2008 primary season, Rudy Giuliani is uniquely positioned among potential Republican candidates because of his extremely high favorability ratings. Recent public opinion polling shows Mayor Giuliani with 61% approval among adults across the country – according to the ABC News/Washington Post poll (Jan. 16-19, 2007). The well respected, bipartisan Battleground Poll (Jan 8-11, 2007) shows the Mayor with 65% favorability among likely voters. More importantly, Mayor Giuliani shows an 81% favorable rating among Republicans and only 10% with an unfavorable opinion.
According to the Battleground poll, Mayor Giuliani also has surprisingly high favorability ratings beyond the base:
In an even more recent poll, Gallup (Jan. 25-28, 2007) finds Mayor Giuliani also leads among Republicans on 7 of 10 key issues including terrorism, the economy, healthcare and fighting crime. He also leads on 11 of 15 key candidate attributes – including “better understands the problems faced by ordinary Americans”, “would manage government more effectively” and what I believe to be the single most important factor – “is the stronger leader.”
In sum, while we fully expect these polls to tighten in the months and weeks to come, Republican voters genuinely know and like Rudy Giuliani.
The Mayor Performs Well in Opinion Polls
The Mayor’s exceptionally strong approval ratings also translate in to an advantage on Republican primary ballot tests. In 11 of 13 ballot tests in respected national public opinion polls [Fox News, Newsweek, Time Gallup, CNN, NBC/Wall Street Journal, ABC/Washington Post] since last November, Mayor Giuliani has a lead – in fact, his lead is on average, more than 5-points over the next closest candidate. And his ballot strength began to trend upward after the 2006 midterm elections.
Mayor Giuliani Leads in Key 2008 Primary States
Mayor Giuliani also leads in a series of other states that will likely prove critical in the 2008 Republican primary:
|
State |
Mayor Giuliani |
Closest Competitor |
Source |
| California | 33% | 19% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 11-17 |
| Florida | 30% | 16% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 4-9 |
| Illinois | 33% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-14 |
| Michigan | 34% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 4-7 |
| Nevada | 31% | 25% (McCain) | ARG - Dec. 19-23, ‘06 |
| New Jersey | 39% | 21% (McCain) | Quinnipiac – Jan. 16-22 |
| North Carolina | 34% | 26% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-15 |
| Ohio | 30% | 22% (McCain) | Quinnipiac - Jan. 23-28 |
| Pennsylvania | 35% | 25% (McCain) | ARG Jan. 4-8 |
| Texas | 28% | 26% (McCain) | Baselice Jan. 17-21 |
Mayor Giuliani’s favorable public opinion stems not only from his extraordinary leadership in the aftermath of the 9/11 attacks and in the uncertainty that followed, but also from a remarkably strong record of accomplishments in fighting crime and turning around New York City’s economy in the 1990’s.
Americans are anxious for fresh Republican leadership on a range of issues. Our voters are drawn to the leadership strength of a candidate during an election. Therefore, as we move forward with exploring a run for President and as we continue to share the Mayor’s story of strong leadership and Reagan-like optimism and vision, we hope to see continued growth in our foundation of support.
"The people at this forum are conservatives."
That is what I thought too, but I get confused sometimes when I see a number of them supporting liberal republicans like Rudy. If Rudy isn't a liberal, or at the very least, a RINO, then I guess I don't understand the definition of what it means to be a conservative.
!
Not really. I just find it humorous that this is where Rudy has led you - to using classic liberal methods of nondebate. Straight out of the Dem playbook, you might say.
Very true! Some of these folks you are right would never make it in a real campaign. I have gone up to doors to hand out literature and been told where I can go in a not a nice way. I always say "Thank You for your Time" and that makes them madder.
What gets me is when they post those long standard posts more than once on a thread too! I find some of the pictures funny!
Narses dear, this lawyer, who is paid to parse words, thinks that the particular words you are now have in your copy and paste repertoire, in context make rather obvious that Rudy was trying to sell Roberts in his tete a tete with his interlocutor Colmes. Rudy was making the case that Roberts' views on abortion should not being a show stopper to his confirmation. Some of your cut and pastes I think actually are reassuring to me. This issue IS of concern to me, and your copy and pastes are making the case that Rudy is not going to go off the Federalist Society reservation in selecting SCOTUS nominees. Keep it up! You are doing good work!
I was out watching my kid play tennis, so I missed the early part of the thread -- but I haven't seen any colorful charts in a few pages. Are the anti-Rudy forces giving up on charts? If they need more I'm sure they can get some bash charts leftover from Al Gore's 2000 Campaign.
Maybe Rudy can be his own First Lady.
These are not the tactics of Conservatives.
Look familiar? :-)
I don't think that will persuade "deepest Red America" to vote for Hillary or Obama or Edwards.
LOL! Unintended consequence or result.
No, they are not.
You could underbid them, you know? Make a tidy profit in volume...you're planning to require a VAST NUMBER of people to wear them (just like the good old days).
The objective is not to get them to vote for the Dem. The objective is to get them to not want to vote, period.
And you don't give the Dems the hammer to hit them with.
That it was, but it doesn't matter to these people.
ROFLOL
Once again, you're showing your acute political sensibilities, aren't you? Now don't be shy; we all know what an wonderful judge of people you are.
Rudy hasn't led me anywhere.
*grin*
Thank you!
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