Posted on 02/02/2007 4:47:11 PM PST by PhiKapMom
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
New York, Feb 2 -
To:
Team Rudy
From:
Brent Seaborn, Strategy Director
Date:
February 2, 2007
Re:
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
Over the last month or two there has been a good deal of public opinion polling on the 2008 Republican primary race. I thought it would be helpful to take a step back and take a closer look at how voters – particularly Republican primary voters – feel about Rudy Giuliani and why we think we are well-positioned heading in to the primary season.
Americans Have a Highly Favorable Opinion of Mayor Giuliani
Entering the 2008 primary season, Rudy Giuliani is uniquely positioned among potential Republican candidates because of his extremely high favorability ratings. Recent public opinion polling shows Mayor Giuliani with 61% approval among adults across the country – according to the ABC News/Washington Post poll (Jan. 16-19, 2007). The well respected, bipartisan Battleground Poll (Jan 8-11, 2007) shows the Mayor with 65% favorability among likely voters. More importantly, Mayor Giuliani shows an 81% favorable rating among Republicans and only 10% with an unfavorable opinion.
According to the Battleground poll, Mayor Giuliani also has surprisingly high favorability ratings beyond the base:
In an even more recent poll, Gallup (Jan. 25-28, 2007) finds Mayor Giuliani also leads among Republicans on 7 of 10 key issues including terrorism, the economy, healthcare and fighting crime. He also leads on 11 of 15 key candidate attributes – including “better understands the problems faced by ordinary Americans”, “would manage government more effectively” and what I believe to be the single most important factor – “is the stronger leader.”
In sum, while we fully expect these polls to tighten in the months and weeks to come, Republican voters genuinely know and like Rudy Giuliani.
The Mayor Performs Well in Opinion Polls
The Mayor’s exceptionally strong approval ratings also translate in to an advantage on Republican primary ballot tests. In 11 of 13 ballot tests in respected national public opinion polls [Fox News, Newsweek, Time Gallup, CNN, NBC/Wall Street Journal, ABC/Washington Post] since last November, Mayor Giuliani has a lead – in fact, his lead is on average, more than 5-points over the next closest candidate. And his ballot strength began to trend upward after the 2006 midterm elections.
Mayor Giuliani Leads in Key 2008 Primary States
Mayor Giuliani also leads in a series of other states that will likely prove critical in the 2008 Republican primary:
|
State |
Mayor Giuliani |
Closest Competitor |
Source |
| California | 33% | 19% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 11-17 |
| Florida | 30% | 16% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 4-9 |
| Illinois | 33% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-14 |
| Michigan | 34% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 4-7 |
| Nevada | 31% | 25% (McCain) | ARG - Dec. 19-23, ‘06 |
| New Jersey | 39% | 21% (McCain) | Quinnipiac – Jan. 16-22 |
| North Carolina | 34% | 26% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-15 |
| Ohio | 30% | 22% (McCain) | Quinnipiac - Jan. 23-28 |
| Pennsylvania | 35% | 25% (McCain) | ARG Jan. 4-8 |
| Texas | 28% | 26% (McCain) | Baselice Jan. 17-21 |
Mayor Giuliani’s favorable public opinion stems not only from his extraordinary leadership in the aftermath of the 9/11 attacks and in the uncertainty that followed, but also from a remarkably strong record of accomplishments in fighting crime and turning around New York City’s economy in the 1990’s.
Americans are anxious for fresh Republican leadership on a range of issues. Our voters are drawn to the leadership strength of a candidate during an election. Therefore, as we move forward with exploring a run for President and as we continue to share the Mayor’s story of strong leadership and Reagan-like optimism and vision, we hope to see continued growth in our foundation of support.
Hey - you know how they're all upset about Rudy and gun control?
Didn't Reagan sign the Brady Bill?
From Admin Moderator | 01/18/2007 8:14:50 PM PST repliedIf you are right, I will comply but I will also expect others to do so.If you post on a thread other posters have a right to respond to your comments.
Admin Moderator, what say you?
if Hillary wins in 2008, the abortion debate in the US - is over for a generation. Roe will never be overturned, so the pro-life movement can just pack it up for the next 30 years. look at the makeup of the SCOTUS, who will retire, who is getting old. its pretty simple math.
It's a wonder to behold. I cannot explain it or understand it.
After what I have seen the last few days--I wonder if there will be anybody left alive...
And forum rules also specify that if you mention a poster on a thread, you ping them.
I am trying to tell narses about that basic moderation guideline of not posting to folks who have said don't post to them or freepmail them. YOU raised that subject on this thread. Since you are the subject, I ping you out of basic FR courtesy.
Apparently, you can't be bothered to just accept it as such and have to attack.
And that is exactly why I asked you to stop posting to me.
And you're an old coot! LOL
C'mon, have a little respect for hoots, will ya!
Did you also know that Rudy is a winner of the Ronald Reagan Freedom Award? He joins the ranks of Margaret Thatcher, Billy Graham, and Bob Hope.
Once again, what charity was Rudy there for?
Same deal if rudy wins, too.
Why give up half the battle without even trying for a conservative?
Reagan signed the Brady Bill? WHO KNEW!!!!
We had to do a no confidence vote so I could open the convention as the VC. He didn't plan precinct meetings -- nothing and I got it dumped in my lap four days before the statewide precinct meetings and had to delay ours in order to get them advertised.
I cannot wait until 18 Feb when I get my normal life back. Anyone thinking of becoming a County Party official needs to freep mail me to get the lowdown -- my advice DON'T!
Well, too bad; your old pal, The Spammer, narses, just proved I CAN post to you whenever I want to.
So prepare for me to respond whenever the hell I feel like it.
Isn't that grand? I know he was deeply honored to receive that award.
And Reagan liked him and trusted him enough to appoint him as his #3 person in DOJ.
See Post 50 and 113.
You're an embarassment to Ronald Reagan and conservatives.
Imagine Reagan signing gun legislation. It's so shocking I'm stunned he wasn't drummed out of the party by the perfect conservatives.
Btw, did you also know that Rudy is a winner of the Ronald Reagan Freedom Award?
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