Posted on 02/02/2007 4:47:11 PM PST by PhiKapMom
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
New York, Feb 2 -
To:
Team Rudy
From:
Brent Seaborn, Strategy Director
Date:
February 2, 2007
Re:
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
Over the last month or two there has been a good deal of public opinion polling on the 2008 Republican primary race. I thought it would be helpful to take a step back and take a closer look at how voters – particularly Republican primary voters – feel about Rudy Giuliani and why we think we are well-positioned heading in to the primary season.
Americans Have a Highly Favorable Opinion of Mayor Giuliani
Entering the 2008 primary season, Rudy Giuliani is uniquely positioned among potential Republican candidates because of his extremely high favorability ratings. Recent public opinion polling shows Mayor Giuliani with 61% approval among adults across the country – according to the ABC News/Washington Post poll (Jan. 16-19, 2007). The well respected, bipartisan Battleground Poll (Jan 8-11, 2007) shows the Mayor with 65% favorability among likely voters. More importantly, Mayor Giuliani shows an 81% favorable rating among Republicans and only 10% with an unfavorable opinion.
According to the Battleground poll, Mayor Giuliani also has surprisingly high favorability ratings beyond the base:
In an even more recent poll, Gallup (Jan. 25-28, 2007) finds Mayor Giuliani also leads among Republicans on 7 of 10 key issues including terrorism, the economy, healthcare and fighting crime. He also leads on 11 of 15 key candidate attributes – including “better understands the problems faced by ordinary Americans”, “would manage government more effectively” and what I believe to be the single most important factor – “is the stronger leader.”
In sum, while we fully expect these polls to tighten in the months and weeks to come, Republican voters genuinely know and like Rudy Giuliani.
The Mayor Performs Well in Opinion Polls
The Mayor’s exceptionally strong approval ratings also translate in to an advantage on Republican primary ballot tests. In 11 of 13 ballot tests in respected national public opinion polls [Fox News, Newsweek, Time Gallup, CNN, NBC/Wall Street Journal, ABC/Washington Post] since last November, Mayor Giuliani has a lead – in fact, his lead is on average, more than 5-points over the next closest candidate. And his ballot strength began to trend upward after the 2006 midterm elections.
Mayor Giuliani Leads in Key 2008 Primary States
Mayor Giuliani also leads in a series of other states that will likely prove critical in the 2008 Republican primary:
|
State |
Mayor Giuliani |
Closest Competitor |
Source |
| California | 33% | 19% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 11-17 |
| Florida | 30% | 16% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 4-9 |
| Illinois | 33% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-14 |
| Michigan | 34% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 4-7 |
| Nevada | 31% | 25% (McCain) | ARG - Dec. 19-23, ‘06 |
| New Jersey | 39% | 21% (McCain) | Quinnipiac – Jan. 16-22 |
| North Carolina | 34% | 26% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-15 |
| Ohio | 30% | 22% (McCain) | Quinnipiac - Jan. 23-28 |
| Pennsylvania | 35% | 25% (McCain) | ARG Jan. 4-8 |
| Texas | 28% | 26% (McCain) | Baselice Jan. 17-21 |
Mayor Giuliani’s favorable public opinion stems not only from his extraordinary leadership in the aftermath of the 9/11 attacks and in the uncertainty that followed, but also from a remarkably strong record of accomplishments in fighting crime and turning around New York City’s economy in the 1990’s.
Americans are anxious for fresh Republican leadership on a range of issues. Our voters are drawn to the leadership strength of a candidate during an election. Therefore, as we move forward with exploring a run for President and as we continue to share the Mayor’s story of strong leadership and Reagan-like optimism and vision, we hope to see continued growth in our foundation of support.
Note the personal attack against you @ post 65
I would hardly call that a personal attack. Since I WAS personally attacked on FR about a month ago, I think I recognize some light hearted humor compared to a true, cruel personal attack. You need to get over yourself. Although, this post re: personal attacks was at least original, not your usual spam and stuff you are saving and posting against Rudy.
They run the funeral homes too, gave my mom and dad one hell of a sendoff, LOL! I understood that they owed my dad a 'favor' from the 30's! La Familia!
Married?.. I support Newt but he will never be elected..
America is going socialist..
Conservatives are generally socialists..
Big government people from both partys..
Called moderates.. not moderate at all.. but Conserva-nazis..
Nazis were also socialists.. and democrats..
I think you are confused about Duncan Hunter and you seem to be showing little respect for President Bush's military service. I'll just let it go at that.
It must have been someone else; my apologies.
"Why we are at war. ONLY a crossdressing babykiller can win. Vote Rudy"
That's right. Being realistic we know the President is CiC and has full and sole authority over military decisions. We also know that no President can stop abortion, abortions will never be outlawed, and that crossdressing for a charity event before a person is President has no affect on what kind of President that person will be. Glad to see you are finally on our side.
Read the article, "Gun Owners of America Legislative Alert -- Oppose McCarthy Gun Control Bill, H.R. 297", posted 01/23/2007.
He's anti-gun. Done.
Don't forget GUN-GRABBER.
I have to go back and check. I was tied up trying to get details for the County Convention nailed down today and forgot to check! Thanks for the reminder.
On Feb 18th, I am no longer the Vice Chair of the County Party and am celebrating so I have more time to devote to other campaigns like this one! Our Chairman went MIA and won't help so I got stuck!
the numbers you are tossing up there are "peanuts". a wedding gift, some furniture, a decorative badge. the bulk of that article is just a hyped up liberal media hit piece.
Although I have no strong attachment at present, I must say that Rudy is the genuine article.
He saved New York by cleaning it up and making it a place where people were not molested on the streets. He then rose to the challenge of 9/11.
People here like to take shots at him to advance their own agenda but the narrow agendas in this primary will not prevail.
You write very well, and have made some excellent points about homosexuals and abortion.
I don't believe its going anywhere. Read the article
Democrat Gun Owners Say, "We Want Our Party Back!" from 1/29/2007.
Thanks for the compliment.
Corruption. Fined for same. And now partners with your crossdressing babykiller. Sorry, it is ugly and will trash his prospects.
SPIFFS chart should be here soon, but I have force field SPAM SHIELD humor for that one!
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