Posted on 02/02/2007 4:47:11 PM PST by PhiKapMom
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
New York, Feb 2 -
To:
Team Rudy
From:
Brent Seaborn, Strategy Director
Date:
February 2, 2007
Re:
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
Over the last month or two there has been a good deal of public opinion polling on the 2008 Republican primary race. I thought it would be helpful to take a step back and take a closer look at how voters – particularly Republican primary voters – feel about Rudy Giuliani and why we think we are well-positioned heading in to the primary season.
Americans Have a Highly Favorable Opinion of Mayor Giuliani
Entering the 2008 primary season, Rudy Giuliani is uniquely positioned among potential Republican candidates because of his extremely high favorability ratings. Recent public opinion polling shows Mayor Giuliani with 61% approval among adults across the country – according to the ABC News/Washington Post poll (Jan. 16-19, 2007). The well respected, bipartisan Battleground Poll (Jan 8-11, 2007) shows the Mayor with 65% favorability among likely voters. More importantly, Mayor Giuliani shows an 81% favorable rating among Republicans and only 10% with an unfavorable opinion.
According to the Battleground poll, Mayor Giuliani also has surprisingly high favorability ratings beyond the base:
In an even more recent poll, Gallup (Jan. 25-28, 2007) finds Mayor Giuliani also leads among Republicans on 7 of 10 key issues including terrorism, the economy, healthcare and fighting crime. He also leads on 11 of 15 key candidate attributes – including “better understands the problems faced by ordinary Americans”, “would manage government more effectively” and what I believe to be the single most important factor – “is the stronger leader.”
In sum, while we fully expect these polls to tighten in the months and weeks to come, Republican voters genuinely know and like Rudy Giuliani.
The Mayor Performs Well in Opinion Polls
The Mayor’s exceptionally strong approval ratings also translate in to an advantage on Republican primary ballot tests. In 11 of 13 ballot tests in respected national public opinion polls [Fox News, Newsweek, Time Gallup, CNN, NBC/Wall Street Journal, ABC/Washington Post] since last November, Mayor Giuliani has a lead – in fact, his lead is on average, more than 5-points over the next closest candidate. And his ballot strength began to trend upward after the 2006 midterm elections.
Mayor Giuliani Leads in Key 2008 Primary States
Mayor Giuliani also leads in a series of other states that will likely prove critical in the 2008 Republican primary:
|
State |
Mayor Giuliani |
Closest Competitor |
Source |
| California | 33% | 19% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 11-17 |
| Florida | 30% | 16% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 4-9 |
| Illinois | 33% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-14 |
| Michigan | 34% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 4-7 |
| Nevada | 31% | 25% (McCain) | ARG - Dec. 19-23, ‘06 |
| New Jersey | 39% | 21% (McCain) | Quinnipiac – Jan. 16-22 |
| North Carolina | 34% | 26% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-15 |
| Ohio | 30% | 22% (McCain) | Quinnipiac - Jan. 23-28 |
| Pennsylvania | 35% | 25% (McCain) | ARG Jan. 4-8 |
| Texas | 28% | 26% (McCain) | Baselice Jan. 17-21 |
Mayor Giuliani’s favorable public opinion stems not only from his extraordinary leadership in the aftermath of the 9/11 attacks and in the uncertainty that followed, but also from a remarkably strong record of accomplishments in fighting crime and turning around New York City’s economy in the 1990’s.
Americans are anxious for fresh Republican leadership on a range of issues. Our voters are drawn to the leadership strength of a candidate during an election. Therefore, as we move forward with exploring a run for President and as we continue to share the Mayor’s story of strong leadership and Reagan-like optimism and vision, we hope to see continued growth in our foundation of support.
hehee!
The only problem is there's zero evidence that he is a fiscal, domestic or foreign policy conservative or that he would appoint strict constructionist judges.
Before you regurgitate the pablum about "strict constructionists" he spooned out the other day explain why I should believe an avid supporter of Roe and McCain-Feingold regarding "constructionism".
And did you know President Reagan appointed Sandra Day O'Connor and Anthony Kennedy?
Really?
Was Reagan a crossdressing gun grabber who supports partial birth abortion to the point he offers to pay for his children to have them?
..that's a pretty serious allegation
Are you saying Duncan Hunter was on the take like Randy Cunningham?
The answer is YES. They've just recently put forth some new gun control measures.
If dems are anything, they are unashamed and unapologetic. They, unlike a bunch of wimpy Repuplican turds, mainly in the Senate, and mainly "moderates" or "RINOs", WILL push gun control, and a northeast-corridor liberal RINO with an anti-gun track record like rudy WILL sign their legislation into law.
Our 2nd Amendment rights are too important to take a chance on him.
Let's run someone with conservative credentials across the board, or AT LEAST on LIFE and Death and Constitutional issues that SHOULD be important to ALL Americans.
--On Barry Goldwater: Giuliani described John Kennedy as "great and brilliant. Barry Goldwater as an "incompetent, confused and sometimes idiotic man." New York Daily News, May 13, 1997
--On President Bill Clinton: Shortly before his last-minute endorsement of Bob Dole in the 1996 presidential election, Giuliani told the Post's Jack Newfield that "most of Clinton's policies are very similar to most of mine." Rudy! An Investigative Biography of Rudolph Giuliani, Wayne Barrett.
--The Daily News quoted Giuliani as saying March 1996: "Whether you talk about President Clinon, Senator Dole.... The country would be in very good hands in the hands of any of that group." An Investigative Biography of Rudolph Giuliani, Wayne Barrett.
No. But Bush didn't fight in Vietnam, while John Kerry did. Haven't you heard? And John McCain was a POW, and that makes him more knowledgeable than almost anybody. But not Wesley Clark -- he was wounded in 'nam, and later became supreme commander of NATO-- his military experience dwarfs everyone elses.
See how stupid this line of reasoning is? Ideas matter. Unlike surrender monkies in our own party like Brownback and Hunter, Giuliani recognizes we need to stay on offense against the Revolutionary Islamists. Iran, for example, may get the nukes for their apocalypse in the next few years if we pick the wrong person. If we nominate a complete putz like Hagel or Hunter, we'll be stuck with the Dems, which entails added bonuses -- the GITMO terrorists back in circulation, French veto over American policy, stabbing Israel in the back and so forth.
Rebut the Kerik problem PKMom. If you can. You have conceded Ruy is a RINO on guns, gays and abortion. Now let's talk corruption.
"Unlike surrender monkies in our own party like ...Hunter,..."
LOL, Hunter is a "surrender monkie(sic)"?????? Way funny.
Next lie please. And Rudy is a RINO. Clear and certain.
" If only you worried about terrorists as much as you did gays."
Excellent point! I wish I were as eloquent as you. There used to be a site called Gay Patriot. There's the LCRs.
"Liberals don't consider NG or reserves to be 'service'."
Well they should. There are a bunch of them putting it on the line in Iraq right now to defend this country.
I like that picture
I"m with you!
I agree. Does Rudy?
--On President Bill Clinton: Shortly before his last-minute endorsement of Bob Dole in the 1996 presidential election, Giuliani told the Post's Jack Newfield that "most of Clinton's policies are very similar to most of mine." Rudy! An Investigative Biography of Rudolph Giuliani, Wayne Barrett.
Did rudy go up the stairs in one of the towers to save people, as others were running down to safety?
Did rudy even go into the ruins and try to pull survivors out?
No, no, and NO.
So, what DID rudy do that makes you LOVE and REVERE him so much, and talk of him as if he were a hero?
Get back to me on this when you got something.
I have had thoughts over the years what kind of job he would have done at DOJ--he was one tough sonofagun as a prosecutor...
No evidence he's a fiscal conservative? He cut taxes 22 times as Mayor of NYC and turned NYC's deficit into a surplus by the end of his first term.
No evidence he's a domestic conservative? He's for school choice, pro free market, pro law and order, and cut welfare roles by over 600,000 and Mayor, ect.
No evidence he's a foreign policy conservative? You must be living under a rock. He threw Arafat out of a NYC building in 1995 when Clinton invited Arafat to the US for the 50th anniversary of the UN declaring Arafat is a terrorist and should be treated as such. He's been wholeheartedly a supporter of the WOT, Iraq and confronting Islamic fascism. He for a pro-American foreign policy and is pro-Israel.
Do you believe in litmus test for judges?
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