Posted on 02/02/2007 4:47:11 PM PST by PhiKapMom
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
New York, Feb 2 -
To:
Team Rudy
From:
Brent Seaborn, Strategy Director
Date:
February 2, 2007
Re:
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
Over the last month or two there has been a good deal of public opinion polling on the 2008 Republican primary race. I thought it would be helpful to take a step back and take a closer look at how voters – particularly Republican primary voters – feel about Rudy Giuliani and why we think we are well-positioned heading in to the primary season.
Americans Have a Highly Favorable Opinion of Mayor Giuliani
Entering the 2008 primary season, Rudy Giuliani is uniquely positioned among potential Republican candidates because of his extremely high favorability ratings. Recent public opinion polling shows Mayor Giuliani with 61% approval among adults across the country – according to the ABC News/Washington Post poll (Jan. 16-19, 2007). The well respected, bipartisan Battleground Poll (Jan 8-11, 2007) shows the Mayor with 65% favorability among likely voters. More importantly, Mayor Giuliani shows an 81% favorable rating among Republicans and only 10% with an unfavorable opinion.
According to the Battleground poll, Mayor Giuliani also has surprisingly high favorability ratings beyond the base:
In an even more recent poll, Gallup (Jan. 25-28, 2007) finds Mayor Giuliani also leads among Republicans on 7 of 10 key issues including terrorism, the economy, healthcare and fighting crime. He also leads on 11 of 15 key candidate attributes – including “better understands the problems faced by ordinary Americans”, “would manage government more effectively” and what I believe to be the single most important factor – “is the stronger leader.”
In sum, while we fully expect these polls to tighten in the months and weeks to come, Republican voters genuinely know and like Rudy Giuliani.
The Mayor Performs Well in Opinion Polls
The Mayor’s exceptionally strong approval ratings also translate in to an advantage on Republican primary ballot tests. In 11 of 13 ballot tests in respected national public opinion polls [Fox News, Newsweek, Time Gallup, CNN, NBC/Wall Street Journal, ABC/Washington Post] since last November, Mayor Giuliani has a lead – in fact, his lead is on average, more than 5-points over the next closest candidate. And his ballot strength began to trend upward after the 2006 midterm elections.
Mayor Giuliani Leads in Key 2008 Primary States
Mayor Giuliani also leads in a series of other states that will likely prove critical in the 2008 Republican primary:
|
State |
Mayor Giuliani |
Closest Competitor |
Source |
| California | 33% | 19% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 11-17 |
| Florida | 30% | 16% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 4-9 |
| Illinois | 33% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-14 |
| Michigan | 34% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 4-7 |
| Nevada | 31% | 25% (McCain) | ARG - Dec. 19-23, ‘06 |
| New Jersey | 39% | 21% (McCain) | Quinnipiac – Jan. 16-22 |
| North Carolina | 34% | 26% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-15 |
| Ohio | 30% | 22% (McCain) | Quinnipiac - Jan. 23-28 |
| Pennsylvania | 35% | 25% (McCain) | ARG Jan. 4-8 |
| Texas | 28% | 26% (McCain) | Baselice Jan. 17-21 |
Mayor Giuliani’s favorable public opinion stems not only from his extraordinary leadership in the aftermath of the 9/11 attacks and in the uncertainty that followed, but also from a remarkably strong record of accomplishments in fighting crime and turning around New York City’s economy in the 1990’s.
Americans are anxious for fresh Republican leadership on a range of issues. Our voters are drawn to the leadership strength of a candidate during an election. Therefore, as we move forward with exploring a run for President and as we continue to share the Mayor’s story of strong leadership and Reagan-like optimism and vision, we hope to see continued growth in our foundation of support.
*Snicker* I've seen him in drag...his gams look better than hillerys cankles. A man in drag won't play in Peoria or the South. Something about that doesn't instill confidence in his manliness.
But even in my lifetime I saw a third party candidate win 5 states in the general
Southern conservative democrats were irate with the Great Society and Johnson's prosecution of the Viet Nam War.
They still viewed the GOP as the Northeastern rich man's party--at that time they had no where to go.
History has shown us that they eventually came into the Republican party.
And Perot was not a legitimate candidate-never elected to any office--an autocratic demagogue, playing on the discontent of many emotion driven people and exploiting a true American hero in James Stockdale.
But my point is -- if enough people are upset about the right issues, feeling pushed away from their current party--in an information society, a new legitimate third party can and may be born...
But my point is -- if enough people are upset about the right issues, feeling pushed away from their current party--in an information society, a new legitimate third party can and may be born...
I found this site linked below
Wallace was only 50,000 votes shy of sending it to the House. And you are right, the race element was all through that campaign--it just wasn't the only one.
You're welcome.
I think that graphic I plagerized from you. :)
"You are right Rudy is being real, what you see is what you get. I've said on FR many times, I respect Rudy more than Romney because he is honest about who he is.
I agree.
Moreover, Rudy reminds of Mr. "Teflon," Ronald Reagan in that, like Regan, he don't give a rat's @ss what the opposition is saying, and, like Reagan, he doesn't appease anyone. The wind is on his back and sailing toward the White House.
I would begin sending a small donation.
"And take the dress issue and shove it
LOL!
The worth of a country is the worth of its people.
I did, and not much came up.
So what, the liberals at madcowprod.com don't like him?
If you want me to see a specific article, which one ?
Nobody here is the least bit surprised that you don't give a damn about this country; it's the $$ that matters to you.
Yeah, right. As if you know anything about that.
Called anyone a "homophobe" yet tonight?
'scuse... bookmark...
Not really necessary to point one out tonight, as you're already here.
I agree. Rudy, like Reagan, is the real deal. And it shines through.
I still like Tony Snow
Well, why don't you try to get Tony Snow to run?
Look, Tony Snow has a better chance - he would be a better candidate
And if Newt and Rudy really care about our country they will get behind an effort to get him to run
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