Posted on 01/29/2007 7:42:58 AM PST by Reagan Man
(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - John McCain is the top presidential contender for Republican Party sympathizers in the United States, according to a poll by SRBI Public Affairs released by Time. 30 per cent of respondents would support the Arizona senator in a 2008 primary.
Former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani is second with 26 per cent, followed by former House of Representatives speaker Newt Gingrich with 14 per cent, and former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney with five per cent.
Support is lower for Kansas senator Sam Brownback, former New York governor George Pataki, Colorado congressman Tom Tancredo, Nebraska senator Chuck Hagel, former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee, and former Virginia governor Jim Gilmore.
On Jan. 26, Pataki discussed his views on the Iraq war, saying, "Giving a reasonable deadline (to the Iraqi government) is not unfair on our part when you look at the length of time we have already been in Iraq. (...) Sending more American troops into Baghdad is unnecessary to achieve the core victory over al-Qaeda in Iraq."
In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.
Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.
Polling Data
Now I’m going to read a list of candidates who might be running for the Republican Party presidential nomination in 2008. If the Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, listen carefully to the names and then tell me which candidate you would be most likely to vote for.
John McCain 30%
Rudy Giuliani 26%
Newt Gingrich 14%
Mitt Romney 5%
Sam Brownback 3%
George Pataki 2%
Tom Tancredo 1%
Chuck Hagel 1%
Mike Huckabee 1%
Jim Gilmore 1%
Other 1%
Unsure 14%
Won’t vote 1%
Source: Schulman, Ronca, & Bucuvalas (SRBI) Public Affairs / Time Methodology: Telephone interviews with 441registered American voters who are Republicans or lean Republican, conducted on Jan. 22 and Jan. 23, 2007. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
Newt in 3rd place. Woohoo!
What? No Condi? (sarcasm)
I sure wish these things would start registering my man Duncan Hunter. (Of course this one is kinda old already - conducted 22&23)
I am looking forward to catching the fresh data from weekend polls.
Where's Duncan Hunter?
Go Newt!
This is a marathon... Let's see what happens on month 6 or month 10... :)
I guess they figured Hunter had about as much chance as Condi?
McCain's a Republican? When did this happen?
Duncan Hunter doesn't even make the list? And Hagel scores in the poll but no Hunter anywhere on there? What the hell is wrong with the GOP?
Forget about that, where are the Republicans ?
Around the same time the Giuliani and Romney snuck in and pinned an R on their lapel.
Which Republican would you most likely vote for?
(Hint - They like Rudy. Go figure.)
I should add the 'other' 14% had better wake up.
Just wait though... Hunter will start registering more and more and this thing is kind of oldish already...
Jan 22&23
Right now ALL polls are about three things. Name recognition, name recognition and name recognition.
I will tell you, this shoots to hell the belief that Republicans are more knowledgeable. Has conservatism EVER had a home in the GOP? Hunter has been one of the most outspoken on media treason with the WOT, one of the few Republicans with the cajones to take the rats on and he may not be the biggest name but he has been Chairman of the Armed Services committee and been on his share of political shows so what is the deal? Yet here Brownback, Pataki, Hagel are ahead according to this? Gag.
Its a week old poll. Duncan Hunter just got his campaign into first gear. Lets see what happens in the next several months. What caught my eye was Newt in 3rd place, ahead of Romney.
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