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Republicans 2008: Giuliani 28%, McCain 20%
Angus Reid Global Monitor ^ | 1/20/2007 | Staff

Posted on 01/19/2007 2:35:59 PM PST by Dark Skies

Rudy Giuliani is still the preferred presidential hopeful for Republican Party sympathizers in the United States, according to a poll by Rasmussen Reports. 28 per cent of respondents would support the former New York City mayor in a 2008 primary.

Arizona senator John McCain is second with 20 per cent, followed by former House of Representatives speaker Newt Gingrich with 14 per cent, and former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney with eight per cent.

Earlier this month, Gingrich questioned the GOP’s reliance on its conservative base, saying, "Ronald Reagan understood that arguments should be made where we have huge advantages with virtually all Americans. He was brilliant at avoiding base-narrowing appeals and emphasizing base-broadening appeals. A base-motivation party inherently, in the long run, drives away the non-base."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

Republican Presidential Primary Contenders

Rudy Giuliani........28%

John McCain........20%

Newt Gingrich......14%

Mitt Romney.........8%

Source: Rasmussen Reports
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 454 likely Republican voters, conducted from Jan. 8 to Jan. 11, 2007. Margin of error is 5 per cent.


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: 2008; elections; gingrich; giuliani; gorudygo; mccain; rudy
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To: Dark Skies
That's why Rudy's gonna win.

I pray to God, for the sake of my country, Rudy is not the republican candidate. We need a conservative, not a gun grabbing asspirate loving baby hooverer type.

61 posted on 01/19/2007 5:19:26 PM PST by Fierce Allegiance ("Campers laugh at clowns behind closed doors.")
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To: EagleUSA

Newt is not nearly as "Conservative" as you seem to think he is.


62 posted on 01/19/2007 5:21:32 PM PST by nopardons
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To: TitansAFC

Three states that Dubya won but Newt wouldn't win are:

Nevada
New Mexico
Ohio

add Colorado and maybe even Florida. Newt is a poor national candidate.


63 posted on 01/19/2007 5:22:49 PM PST by HitmanLV (Rock, Rock, Rock and Rollergames! Rockin' & Rolling, Rockin' with Rollergames!)
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To: Dark Skies
We're doomed.

At least a President Hillary! will once again unite the Republican party in a common cause.

Viva La Revolution!

64 posted on 01/19/2007 5:24:34 PM PST by metalurgist (Believe in my God or I will kill you! The cry of all religious extremists.)
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To: khnyny

Socialist is too wrong a word but Rudy is no friend of limited government, even in his rhetoric. If president, we can pretty much guarantee that he'd bring in national health insurance.


65 posted on 01/19/2007 5:25:09 PM PST by Austin Willard Wright
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To: nopardons

Newt is not nearly as "Conservative" as you seem to think he is.
------
Einstein was right - everything is relative. And there is alot more to getting elected. But the Repubs and America will lose BIG in 2008 if the Repub candidate is not a fighter. Someone who will stand up against Hitlery or who ever, and expose the socialists for what they are.


66 posted on 01/19/2007 5:27:41 PM PST by EagleUSA
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To: TitansAFC
I think you have it backwards....Rudy/Newt.

Rudy has the star power plus ability to raise cash that Newt lacks.

Plus Rudy is even more articulate then Newt and thats saying a lot. Lastly Newt says he won't make a decision till Sep....by then Rudy could have a ground game and 20 mill raised.
67 posted on 01/19/2007 5:31:05 PM PST by Blackirish (David Dinkins:"Rudy as President is kind of frightening.My question will be, will I move to Bermuda")
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To: HitmanLV
Maybe New Mexico. Nevada is trending more and more GOP right now.

Not Ohio. I saw an opinion poll on the news while I was there just two weeks ago that had her at 27% approval. Recently, either Rasmussen or Zogby (I'll look) had her polling at something like 31% approval in Ohio.

I would venture to say that Hitlery would not win Ohio against any Republican. Now, Edwards or Obama winning it might be possible.

No way, no how Hitlery wins Ohio against any Republican. Not without such a national trend that it wouldn't matter who the GOP put up - a trend which isn't going to happen.

No way Hitlery beats a Newt/Rudy ticket. You have this strange idea in your head that Hitlery can sell herself as warm and fuzzy. She can't. Newt won millions of hearts and minds when he sold the Contract with America; he disappeared after that and his numbers tanked. When he's out there selling his ideas every day - as he would be in a campaign - he's a champion and a proven winner.
68 posted on 01/19/2007 5:34:26 PM PST by TitansAFC (Pacifism is not peace; pacifists are not peacemakers.)
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To: Blackirish

BTTT


69 posted on 01/19/2007 5:34:43 PM PST by JHBowden (President Giuliani in 2008! Law and Order. Solid Judges. Free Markets. Killing Terrorists.)
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To: Austin Willard Wright
Rudy Giuliani inherited a $2.3 billion dollar budget deficit and turned it into a multi-billion dollar surplus, while cutting taxes and delivering balanced budgets. He cut the number of full-time city workers by more than 20,000 – excluding teachers, firefighters, and police officers – while slowing the growth of government spending to below the rate of inflation.

Too bad the current administration is not as fiscally conservative as Rudy
70 posted on 01/19/2007 5:36:44 PM PST by Blackirish (David Dinkins:"Rudy as President is kind of frightening.My question will be, will I move to Bermuda")
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To: TitansAFC
Since the Clintons and the MSM easily whipped Newt, long ago and Newt has been traveling around WITH Hillary, lately, pimping her revamped HILLARY CARE, you evidently are going with nothing but "feelings" and NO facts.

Newt has "mojo"? What are YOU on? LOL

Newt is "absent from the news"? He's been all over every single cable show and lots of talk radio shows for YEARS; he's been on Sean's radio show, O'Reilly's T.V. show, and Sean's T.V. show, all in one day/night, OFTEN, and that's when he isn't pushing a book and NOTHING much is going on in the news. He's almost more exposed than Paris Hilton; for crying out loud.

Rudy will NOT take VEEP; Newt might. But a ticket with two guys who have had six wives between then and Newt's adultery record is far worse than Rudy's, is NOT a winning ticket!

71 posted on 01/19/2007 5:37:49 PM PST by nopardons
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To: TitansAFC

I live in Nevada and the GOP brand is damaged. Dubya couldn't win an election for dog catcher right now. Of course, he isn't running in 2008 but the GOP will need a strong candidate to win SW voters in 2008.

The GOP brand name is severely damaged in Ohio and I can easily see them going dem in 2008, especially if the GOP fields a weak candidate.

I think Newt is a better behind the scenes guy these days. He was savaged in 1995 and never really recovered. He comes across as a smug, unlikeable man to most people.

Don't hitch your wagon to Newt's star.


72 posted on 01/19/2007 5:37:56 PM PST by HitmanLV (Rock, Rock, Rock and Rollergames! Rockin' & Rolling, Rockin' with Rollergames!)
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To: zarf; Jim Robinson
"Conservatives marginalize themselves because they're politically stupid."

Jim.......is this still a Conservative forum? Why do you tolerate people like this? Do you really need the money that bad?

73 posted on 01/19/2007 5:38:03 PM PST by Godebert
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To: HuntsvilleTxVeteran

Mine too; but, Haley is NOT going to run and will NOT allow himself to be drafted.


74 posted on 01/19/2007 5:39:07 PM PST by nopardons
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To: Godebert

Godbert.....still running to Mommy.....


Try standing your ground and debating the merits.


75 posted on 01/19/2007 5:40:26 PM PST by Blackirish (David Dinkins:"Rudy as President is kind of frightening.My question will be, will I move to Bermuda")
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To: Godebert
If Giuliani wins the GOP nomination Barack Hussein Obama will be the next president of the United States of America. I'm not sure which of those two leftist schmucks is more disgusting.

A coin flip would be pretty accurate...

76 posted on 01/19/2007 5:41:06 PM PST by Sir Francis Dashwood (LET'S ROLL!)
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To: Fierce Allegiance
What did you put in your lemonade...strychnine?
77 posted on 01/19/2007 5:41:24 PM PST by nopardons
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To: Blackirish

I say Newt/Rudy because people like me won't support Rudy as President.

The debate happens here every day between the only-Rudy-and-none-else folks and the never-Rudy folks. Surely you can see Rudy is incapable of uniting the party behind him. And I refuse to believe for one second that he's going to be able to sell an unpopular war to a bunch of squishy voters who want out of Iraq yesterday, much less in numbers enough to overcome the loss on the right, both in votes and grassroots efforts.

Rudy will lose too much of the base, and might get Perot-ed.

I certainly wouldn't vote for the man right now for President.

The more the right learns about Rudy, the more his numbers drop. He's been dropping in every primary state - take Iowa, for example:

Early August 2006:
Giuliani 39%
http://community.livejournal.com/southern_hope/71993.html




Late September/early October, 2006:
Giuliani 30%
http://desmoinesregister.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20060823/NEWS09/608230368/1001

"Giuliani, who has visited Iowa once since 2004, is also viewed as favorable by two-thirds of the poll's respondents, the highest rating among the eight Republicans listed as potential candidates in the survey.

However, two-thirds said they would be unlikely to support a candidate whose position on abortion differed from theirs, a potential problem for Giuliani, who supports abortion rights.

Seventy percent of the poll's respondents identified themselves as "pro-life," a term associated with opposition to abortion rights, compared with 30 percent who called themselves "pro-choice." shorthand for supporting abortion rights."

I think there may be something to the CW that says that some of the people answering "Giuliani" in these polls aren't aware of his positions on social issues, and his support will erode once that becomes more widely known.




Mid December 2006:
Giuliani 26%
http://time-blog.com/real_clear_politics/2006/12/new_2008_iowa_poll.html



Mid January 2007:
Giuliani 19%
http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1236


78 posted on 01/19/2007 5:42:37 PM PST by TitansAFC (Pacifism is not peace; pacifists are not peacemakers.)
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To: khnyny

Churchill was not an "improbable" leader, he was a "born" leader with a long history of leadership and vision (and sometimes failure) way before he became a PM.

If you're looking for Churchillian character among current crop of GOP contender, look at Newt - he's a fervent admirer of Churchill and knows and quotes his history well, as he does most history... He can also articulate history and ideas and vision well and forcefully, which is what GOP needs more than anything now.


79 posted on 01/19/2007 5:43:40 PM PST by CutePuppy (If you don't ask the right questions you may not get the right answers)
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To: Blackirish

You have a problem take it up with the management. I'm not interested in talking with homosexual activists such as yourself.


80 posted on 01/19/2007 5:44:02 PM PST by Godebert
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