Posted on 01/17/2007 7:55:38 AM PST by seanmerc
Political analyst Dick Morris used a baseball analogy out of season to summarize what he considers the bleak prospects for Republican victory in the 2008 presidential election.
"I think you’ll see one of the minor leaguers win it [the GOP nomination],” Morris told Fox News Channel.
Morris thinks the leading Republican candidates – Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich – are "too flawed” to win the hearts and votes of conservatives in the early primaries.
"The top four candidates for the Republican nomination can’t win,” Morris said. "Rudy Giuliani, John McCain . . . Romney with all of the flip-flops on abortion and Newt Gingrich, who I don’t think gets into it.”
That leaves a cast of lesser-known Republicans in line for a surprise run toward the nomination.
"I think that the Republican nominee is going to be one of these minor leaguers: [Tom] Tancredo, [Mike] Huckabee, [Sam] Brownback, [Jim] Gilmore from Virginia, Duncan Hunter from California,” Morris said. "It’s like the pitching rotation is all going to be injured at the World Series and the Triple –A pitching staff, one of them is going to pitch the opening game.”
Morris suggests the GOP will face Hillary Clinton in "the big game,” despite all of the buzz surrounding Sen. Barack Obama.
"Obama serves the function of keeping Al Gore out of the race,” Morris said. "He just sucks up too much of the anti-Hillary vote, but he won’t win.”
Morris said Obama’s showing in the primaries may boost Hillary to victory in the general election.
"Hillary will run a vigorous race against Obama, probably a nasty race,” he said. "She defeats him, then reaches out to African-American voters and puts Obama on as vice president.
"I have said from the very beginning, Hillary is the Democratic nominee and she is the next president of the United States.”
"In January 1999, George W Bush, had just won reelection as Governor of Texas, and was at that point one of the "minor leaguers" in terms of the GOP nomination for President in 2000."
The son of a President and Governor of the second most populous state in the Union is never a minor league candidate.
Oh please -- Hillary would become a devout Muslim and wear black from head to toe if it would get her the Presidency.
Fixed.
"As much as I dislike Dick Morris, he is quite perceptive on this one."
Morris is good at after-action analysis but he is one of the world's worst prognosticators.
I interpreted that as an audition for the VP slot. Hillary is going to try and win the nomination as a center-right Dem. She knows a leftist can not win a national election. Byah is a center-right Dem. (when not answering to a leftie Dem caucus.)
First, Paul isn't a conservative.
Second, if my grandmother had wheels, she'd be a wagon.
Third, neither Tancredo nor Paul will get more than 3% of primary voters in ANY primary. They are totally irrelevant.
Fourth, Hunter, a 26+ year House member with no experience in the leadership, will manage to get no more than 15% in any primary.
Fifth, split votes don't happen in the primary system. When a candidate loses IA and NH, he either loses all money and support or drops out formally.
But other than that, your scenario is totally realistic.
Dick Morris is a weathervane. Never rely on anything he has to say.
But Hillary is trying. I believe Obama's "run" is being pushed by Clintonites who want him to get scrutiny that would ordinarily be shown to Hillary. The same with Viltax. Putting an Iowa governor in the race effectively takes Iowa off the table. With the accelerated primary season, she never has to do "retail campaigning" and her campaign can be wholly composed of prepared television commercials.
We'll have to agree to disagree. I'm sticking with Hunter. Have you decided already to give up on 2nd Amendment and pro-life issues this time around?
I agree. I just think that Huckabee can communicate and that might make him a slight edge up. This is all assuming of course that Morris is right and Romney/Giuliani/McCain all fail. I doubt that proposition very seriously, however.
If Hillary wins, it will be because the old media will have covered her favorably 24 X 7 for the three + years leading up to the general election and the sheeple population just sucked it up and nodded their collective heads like so many bobblehead dolls. (oh my, they've been doing that since the '04 election)
We are in serious deep doodoo here, folks.
A figurehead who is commander in chief and can conduct wars?
bush -vp
bush -vp
bush
clinton
clinton
bush
bush
.....
Clinton, Hillary Rodham (2009-2017)
Bush, John Ellis "Jeb" (2017-2025)
Clinton, Chelsea (2025-2033)
Bush, Barbara (2033-2041)
Bush, George Prescott (2041-2049)
Bush, Jeb Jr. (2049-2057)
Why not? They have some very big names working with them, and even though I usually disagree with them, they put out very intriguing articles and position papers, many of which are used by legislators in crafting bills.
"As much as I dislike Dick Morris, he is quite perceptive on this one."
Actually, I'm not so sure. Morris is a foolish guy and I don't think that he's necessarily right about this. I don't know if Obama will win the Dem nod, but I think he sure could. But win the general? I don't think he could.
Whoever the next President is gets to sign off on the "merger" and end our sovereignty, so you can bet that the nominee of both parties will be carefully vetted and chosen so as to not matter one iota which one the voters pick.
Since you apparently don't consider yourself a conservative and you don't like conservatives, and you're prone to bashing conservatives --- you shoudn't have any problem with Hillary winning becase, like you, she's not conservative.
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