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Why Hawks Win
Foreign Policy ^ | January/February 2007 | Daniel Kahneman, Jonathan Renshon

Posted on 01/11/2007 11:32:40 PM PST by america4vr

Why are hawks so influential? The answer may lie deep in the human mind. People have dozens of decision-making biases, favor conflict rather than concession. A look at why tough guys win more than they should. . National leaders get all sorts of advice in times of tension and conflict. But often the competing counsel can be broken down into two basic categories. On one side are the hawks: They tend to favor coercive action, are more willing to use military force, and are more likely to doubt the value of offering concessions. When they look at adversaries overseas, they often see unremittingly hostile regimes who only understand the language of force. On the other side are the doves, skeptical about the usefulness of force and more inclined to contemplate political solutions. Where hawks see little in their adversaries but hostility, doves often point to subtle openings for dialogue.

As the hawks and doves thrust and parry, one hopes that the decision makers will hear their arguments on the merits and weigh them judiciously before choosing a course of action. Don’t count on it. Modern psychology suggests that policymakers come to the debate predisposed to believe their hawkish advisors more than the doves. There are numerous reasons for the burden of persuasion that doves carry, and some of them have nothing to do with politics or strategy. In fact, a bias in favor of hawkish beliefs and preferences is built into the fabric of the human mind.

Social and cognitive psychologists have identified a number of predictable errors (psychologists call them biases) in the ways that humans judge situations and evaluate risks. Biases have been documented both in the laboratory and in the real world, mostly in situations that have no connection to international politics.

(Excerpt) Read more at foreignpolicy.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Foreign Affairs; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: foreignpolicy; military; neoconservatives
Why Hawks Win? because they're on the morally superior side? Because they're right? Because they're on the side of God?
1 posted on 01/11/2007 11:32:42 PM PST by america4vr
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To: america4vr

Because we be BAD.


2 posted on 01/11/2007 11:34:29 PM PST by dighton
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To: dighton
Because we be BAD. No sir. It's Because we be BAAAAAD.
3 posted on 01/11/2007 11:38:03 PM PST by america4vr
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To: america4vr

Well if it is in the fabric of the human mind, then why do doves exist to give advice at all? Please, hawks win because "the world is governed by the aggessive use of force" as Rush would say.

If there are any aggressors at all, then there have to be hawkish people to stop them because dovish people are, well,....dovish. By the author's own admission, no one listens to doves, so why is dialogue even an option?


4 posted on 01/12/2007 12:01:00 AM PST by Time4Atlas2Shrug (Use them bootstraps, cowboy.)
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To: Time4Atlas2Shrug
Because doves want you to believe that acquiescence works.
5 posted on 01/12/2007 12:23:53 AM PST by america4vr
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To: america4vr

We must harness the power of embryonic stem cells to pacify the mind of the theo-con.

/moonbat mode off


6 posted on 01/12/2007 1:07:41 AM PST by canadianally
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To: canadianally

Hawks eat doves.


7 posted on 01/12/2007 1:16:50 AM PST by kinoxi
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To: america4vr
Why Hawks Win


8 posted on 01/12/2007 12:07:29 PM PST by Donald Rumsfeld Fan ("Fake but Accurate": NY Times)
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