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CA: Balancing budget trickier this year
SFGate.com ^ | 1/7/07 | Lynda Gledhill

Posted on 01/07/2007 11:44:34 AM PST by NormsRevenge

Sacramento -- When he presents his proposed budget next week, Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger will have to maneuver around a sluggish economy and a series of his own spending promises in overcoming a $5.5 billion deficit.

The Republican governor has repeatedly said he will not raise taxes but is also planning a major initiative in health care and faces a growing prison crisis that will likely cost the state money.

Unlike previous years, the state's housing market is not likely to provide a fiscal windfall that will alleviate the need to make major cuts to balance the budget or pay for new programs.

"A strong housing market brought the state holiday gifts for four years now, but that time is up," said Ed Leamer, director of the UCLA Anderson Forecast. "That was the time to get the budget balanced. Now everything is going to be more difficult because the problem of the lingering deficit has not been resolved."

Schwarzenegger does have options to erase the deficit without making huge cuts. The state has $3.2 billion in surplus from the current budget year that can be carried forward. The state could also choose to delay some of the payments of its deficit recovery bonds, which voters approved in 2004.

Neither move, however, would help the state with its long-term deficit as it continues to spend more than it takes in. ...

The slowdown in the housing market leads to a sluggish construction industry and a decline in property taxes. Sales tax revenue can also decrease because people are buying fewer products, either for their new houses or for making improvements on their current homes, said Ryan Ratcliff, an economist with the UCLA group.

"It's hard to see any of that being big sources of money in 2007," he said.

(Excerpt) Read more at sfgate.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Politics/Elections; US: California
KEYWORDS: balancing; budget; calbudget; california; trickier

1 posted on 01/07/2007 11:44:35 AM PST by NormsRevenge
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"A strong housing market brought the state holiday gifts for four years now, but that time is up," said Ed Leamer, director of the UCLA Anderson Forecast. "That was the time to get the budget balanced. Now everything is going to be more difficult because the problem of the lingering deficit has not been resolved."

---

The Golden Goo$e had a little assist from the GooGle Goo$e as well but you can't count on it again.


2 posted on 01/07/2007 11:46:15 AM PST by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi ......)
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To: NormsRevenge

"I prom-is, ass govana I will get ow fiskl hows baack in oda."

Well he almost made it. The odor never left.

Now we're in the perfect position to take on nationalized health care at the state level.

Too bad this guy isn't eligable to run for President. He's a shining example of what it takes to be a Republican these days.


3 posted on 01/07/2007 12:09:30 PM PST by DoughtyOne (Victory will never be achieved while defining Conservatism downward, and forsaking it's heritage.)
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To: NormsRevenge
I just left California and didn't want to wait for the economy to implode. The Golden State is living beyond its means.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

4 posted on 01/07/2007 12:19:45 PM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: goldstategop

Good luck to you in your new stomping ground.


5 posted on 01/07/2007 12:20:35 PM PST by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi ......)
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To: goldstategop

Dang! When did that happen?
You're even flyin' the Colorado flag now!
Good luck to you!


6 posted on 01/07/2007 12:22:33 PM PST by calcowgirl ("Liberalism is just Communism sold by the drink." P. J. O'Rourke)
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To: calcowgirl
Christmas Eve. The only way I could come back to California is as a tourist. I have no regrets about my departure.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

7 posted on 01/07/2007 12:26:23 PM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: NormsRevenge
Thanks. I think things in California will get worse before they get bettter. Worst case scenario: what's left of the middle class gets wiped out by an Argentine-style economic meltdown.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

8 posted on 01/07/2007 12:29:08 PM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: goldstategop; NormsRevenge; calcowgirl

Well, now you're gonna hafta change you're name, cause all they mine in Colorectal is saltpeter!!! (snort!)


9 posted on 01/07/2007 12:33:53 PM PST by SierraWasp (There is no one else in the hollow "center" with Arnold, except, of course... ARNOLD!!!)
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To: SierraWasp; goldstategop

lol.. I was gonna ask about a name change being in order too.

I may have to change to GoldarnStateGOP in honor of ya, goldstategop. ;-)


10 posted on 01/07/2007 12:36:25 PM PST by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi ......)
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To: goldstategop

http://www.cripple-creek.co.us/gold.html


11 posted on 01/07/2007 2:02:48 PM PST by Mojave
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