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Expert predicts 14 named storms in 2007 ("above average activity")
AP on Yahoo ^ | 12/8/06 | AP

Posted on 12/08/2006 11:21:08 AM PST by NormsRevenge

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To: Names Ash Housewares

Exactly right. If they keep predicting it sooner or later they will hit it.


21 posted on 12/08/2006 11:31:15 AM PST by sgtbono2002 (The fourth estate is a fifth column.)
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To: Names Ash Housewares

Spot on. I wish these guys would just shut up. I for one, am tired as well of these weather forecasters saying, "There's a high chance of rain next tuesday" -- and then it doesn't rain. Look, if you can't be right, don't say it.


22 posted on 12/08/2006 11:31:58 AM PST by OldGuard1
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To: NormsRevenge

Same wine, different vintage.


23 posted on 12/08/2006 11:32:33 AM PST by hophead
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To: NormsRevenge

I am stating right now, for the record that with 365 coil tosses, it will land on heads at least 14 times.


24 posted on 12/08/2006 11:32:57 AM PST by edcoil (Reality doesn't say much - doesn't need too)
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To: sgtbono2002

"The forecast for tonight. Dark. Continued darkness throughout the night, followed by widely scattered light in the morning." - The Hippy Dippy Weatherman

He was right!


25 posted on 12/08/2006 11:33:19 AM PST by massgopguy (I owe everything to George Bailey)
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To: Names Ash Housewares
Eventually they will be right if they keep saying it year after year.

A broken clock displays the correct time twice each day, which is a much better accuracy rate than any weather "expert" can achieve.

26 posted on 12/08/2006 11:34:46 AM PST by vox humana
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To: Petronski

Part of an interview with Prof. William Gray
"You don’t believe global warming is causing climate change?

G: No. If it is, it is causing such a small part that it is negligible. I’m not disputing that there has been global warming. There was a lot of global warming in the 1930s and ’40s, and then there was a slight global cooling from the middle ’40s to the early ’70s. And there has been warming since the middle ’70s, especially in the last 10 years. But this is natural, due to ocean circulation changes and other factors. It is not human induced.

That must be a controversial position among hurricane researchers.

G: Nearly all of my colleagues who have been around 40 or 50 years are skeptical as hell about this whole global-warming thing. But no one asks us. If you don’t know anything about how the atmosphere functions, you will of course say, “Look, greenhouse gases are going up, the globe is warming, they must be related.” Well, just because there are two associations, changing with the same sign, doesn’t mean that one is causing the other.

With last year’s hurricane season so active, and this year’s looking like it will be, won’t people say it’s evidence of global warming?

G: The Atlantic has had more of these storms in the least 10 years or so, but in other ocean basins, activity is slightly down. Why would that be so if this is climate change? The Atlantic is a special basin? The number of major storms in the Atlantic also went way down from the middle 1960s to the middle ’90s, when greenhouse gases were going up.

Why is there scientific support for the idea?

G: So many people have a vested interest in this global-warming thing—all these big labs and research and stuff. The idea is to frighten the public, to get money to study it more. Now that the cold war is over, we have to generate a common enemy to support science, and what better common enemy for the globe than greenhouse gases?"


27 posted on 12/08/2006 11:34:47 AM PST by Dr. Bogus Pachysandra ("Don't touch that thing")
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To: NormsRevenge

If anybody's bookmarking, I'm going for 10% less activity than last year and no landfall of hurricane intensity above 100MPH.


28 posted on 12/08/2006 11:35:44 AM PST by Old Professer (The critic writes with rapier pen, dips it twice, and writes again.)
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To: NormsRevenge

What were this guy's predictions for 06?


29 posted on 12/08/2006 11:35:57 AM PST by The Old Hoosier (Right makes might)
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To: The Old Hoosier
Check my post #27. Didn't Dr. Gray just testify in the Inhofe(sp) hearings. I don't believe he's a bad guy, as so many here seem to be insinuating. He completely discounts man-made global warming
30 posted on 12/08/2006 11:40:14 AM PST by Dr. Bogus Pachysandra ("Don't touch that thing")
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To: NormsRevenge

And I predict monkeys will fly out of said experts' butts in 2007. Why not - it has almost the same level of probability.


31 posted on 12/08/2006 11:48:33 AM PST by Rummyfan (Iraq: Give therapeutic violence a chance!)
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To: Mr. Lucky

Algore is deeply disappointed.


32 posted on 12/08/2006 11:55:11 AM PST by pissant
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To: pissant

Dr, William Gray quote:

"The words "global warming" provoke a sharp retort from Colorado State University meteorology professor emeritus William Gray: "It's a big scam."


33 posted on 12/08/2006 12:04:31 PM PST by Dr. Bogus Pachysandra ("Don't touch that thing")
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To: Dr. Bogus Pachysandra
I thought this was one of the guys who are on our side! Isn't he? I believe he's very anti-global warming. Gotta go check..........

Not really. This professor simply will not sign onto the idea that global warming is causing more and bigger hurricanes. He says there is no research to indicate such a relationship and the envirowackos wanted his head on a platter for not towing the party line. In reality, the professor is right, there is no evidence of a global warming-hurricane activity link. Common sense says that since hurricanes get their energy from warm ocean surface waters that the warmer the water, the stronger and more common the storms will be. That is a fallacy because there are many factors that determine the size and number of storms. If not all the criteria are met, you have a year like this one where upper level shear prevented storm formation. Since the effect of global warming is unknown on upper level shear, it may creat more shear and inhibit more storms. So it is possible that global warming could reduce the number of storms. But that is just speculation because there is no research data to indicate one way or the other.

34 posted on 12/08/2006 12:06:03 PM PST by doc30 (Democrats are to morals what an Etch-A-Sketch is to Art.)
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To: Howlin; All

I'm gonna consult my ouija board for the weather predictions from now on.


35 posted on 12/08/2006 12:06:09 PM PST by Carolinamom ("I don't have time to be fingerpointing." ---President George W. Bush)
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To: NormsRevenge

I have a 20 sided die, can I play in this game too?


36 posted on 12/08/2006 12:08:06 PM PST by Abathar (Proudly catching hell for posting without reading the article since 2004)
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To: Howlin
A surprise late El Nino contributed to the calmer June-to-November hurricane season this year...those conditions are likely to dissipate before the next season...


37 posted on 12/08/2006 12:22:23 PM PST by NautiNurse (Action speaks louder than words but not nearly as often.)
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To: NormsRevenge
The list:
Akaka
Boxer
Chuckie
Dodd
wEbb
Feinstein
haGel
Hillary!
Inouye
Jeffords
Kerry
Leahy
Murray
Nelson
38 posted on 12/08/2006 12:32:35 PM PST by quark
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To: NormsRevenge

I live 15 miles from Crystal River and everytime a heavy rain comes their flooded along with the main drag highway 19 nothing new move along.


39 posted on 12/08/2006 12:32:35 PM PST by bikerman (Democrats the cut and run party.)
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To: Names Ash Housewares
This is deja vu are over again. They predicted a lot last year and few if any materialized.
40 posted on 12/08/2006 12:44:58 PM PST by Uncle Hal
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