[oceanview]

NJ that is?

that leaves Steele as our only possible chance at a pickup.

all the others, we have to defend - MT, VA, MI, RI

[Alberta's Child]

MI is a Democratic seat.

[prov1813man]

Notice they call the dims early and us as a last resort.

[cookcounty]

"that leaves Steele as our only possible chance at a pickup.

all the others, we have to defend - MT, VA, MI, RI"

No, Michigan is currently held by Stabenow (D), who in 2000 was down by 17 pointa in the last poll before the election---and won. Michigan is a hard state to predict. With Engler, they also severely underestimated the Republican in, was it, '96?