all the others, we have to defend - MT, VA, MI, RI"
No, Michigan is currently held by Stabenow (D), who in 2000 was down by 17 pointa in the last poll before the election---and won. Michigan is a hard state to predict. With Engler, they also severely underestimated the Republican in, was it, '96?
I meant Missouri, I made a mistake with the state code.