Posted on 11/07/2006 4:29:51 PM PST by LS
All right, folks. Guess I have to do it again around here and hand out the chill pills.
1) It is absolutely clear to me that we have won this. We will keep the Senate, and I'm 90% sure we keep the House. We'll probably gain a seat, maybe two in the Senate.
2) I know this from the turnout numbers, just as I did in 2004. The fact is, forget Indies. They don't vote in high numbers. It's all about the two parties, and who gets out their base.
We have done that today beyond my wildest expectations. The info we have from the Hotline on turnout is overwhelming, and in virtually every key state, we have exceeded Dem turnout by 2, 3, 4, or 6%.
As I predicted, we are seeing a Dem UNDERVOTE. They are underperforming, esp. in key states such as OH. However, they are underperforming far worse than even I dreamed. We are looking at 20% in Cuyahoga County! Brown and Strickland couldn't get elected dog catcher with that level of support.
SO HERE IS WHAT TO EXPECT: THE MEDIA IDIOTS HAVE THEIR TEMPLATES. THEY WILL BE VERY SLOW TO COME AROUND. IT WILL BE A LONG NIGHT, BECAUSE THEY WON'T BELIEVE THEIR EYES.
They may even "call" a few House races, maybe a Senate race, based on some ridiculously low "exit poll" and have to recant later. Be patient. The turnout numbers suggest we absolutely cannot lose.
bttt
I think these polls showing overwelming wins for the Dem gov/senate candidates just encouraged the DimRATS to stay home in bed today instead of getting up to vote.
placemark
The voter turnout numbers posted on hotline, and all over FR today. With this level of turnout (more than 60%, or higher than 2004 [!]), it's damn near impossible for the GOP to lose many races. Moreover, we are seeing evidence everywhere of Dem underperformance.
Looking at FOX... I think LS may have just jumped the gun big time.
Also, hard to do exit polls on absentee ballots.
If we make gains, I will have to watch all the shows the rest of the week just to revel in it. I don't have that kind of time. (what to wish for)
If you're right I'll be sure not to walk near any tall buildings tomorrow.
How are you receiving the data on "Turnout Numbers"? Is it solid info or speculation?
I think you are being optimistic
I think that we have done a good job with turnout, so let's hope for the best.
Lots of interesting stuff going on, but I am sticking to the Food Network and selected threads here. I don't need all of the hand-wrinigng and angst from our weenie pundits.
I propose we band together for a true conservative network with selected Freepers doing commentary. It would be outside the Beltway, normal people news, and it would be far more literate and funny....plus NO missing blondes or car chases!
Bookmark for tommorrows celebration!!!
Exactly.
You posted numbers that you typed into a reply box.
According to our paper, both Ohio (next door) and Indiana, you had to have a photo ID, signature match etc etc. It will prevent a lot of the dead from voting and the living from voting twice.
Thank you for your reply. Regards.
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