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Warning: What to Expect
Self | 11/7/06 | LS

Posted on 11/07/2006 4:29:51 PM PST by LS

All right, folks. Guess I have to do it again around here and hand out the chill pills.

1) It is absolutely clear to me that we have won this. We will keep the Senate, and I'm 90% sure we keep the House. We'll probably gain a seat, maybe two in the Senate.

2) I know this from the turnout numbers, just as I did in 2004. The fact is, forget Indies. They don't vote in high numbers. It's all about the two parties, and who gets out their base.

We have done that today beyond my wildest expectations. The info we have from the Hotline on turnout is overwhelming, and in virtually every key state, we have exceeded Dem turnout by 2, 3, 4, or 6%.

As I predicted, we are seeing a Dem UNDERVOTE. They are underperforming, esp. in key states such as OH. However, they are underperforming far worse than even I dreamed. We are looking at 20% in Cuyahoga County! Brown and Strickland couldn't get elected dog catcher with that level of support.

SO HERE IS WHAT TO EXPECT: THE MEDIA IDIOTS HAVE THEIR TEMPLATES. THEY WILL BE VERY SLOW TO COME AROUND. IT WILL BE A LONG NIGHT, BECAUSE THEY WON'T BELIEVE THEIR EYES.

They may even "call" a few House races, maybe a Senate race, based on some ridiculously low "exit poll" and have to recant later. Be patient. The turnout numbers suggest we absolutely cannot lose.


TOPICS: Editorial; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: democrats; election; imdrunk; realclearamateur; republicans; returns; roveyoudumbass; thisguyhasnoclue; toast; wasteofbandwidth; whothhellisthisguy
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To: BeHoldAPaleHorse

I understand that sentiment.


621 posted on 11/07/2006 8:54:27 PM PST by LS
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To: DarthVader

You're right...but I never thought we'd abandon the troops again. I'm supposed to go and do a flag ceremony for Veterans Day, and have a meal with vet friends on the 13th. I don't think my heart will be in it. The electorate may have deluded themselves into thinking they were voting for change in Iraq, but what they really did was stab the troops in the back.


622 posted on 11/07/2006 8:57:04 PM PST by Mr. Silverback (People who say there are jobs Americans won't do haven't seen "Dirty Jobs.")
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To: BeHoldAPaleHorse; LS
And so do I, BeHold ...
623 posted on 11/07/2006 8:57:24 PM PST by Pegita ('Tis so sweet to trust in Jesus, just to take Him at His Word ...)
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To: Republicanus_Tyrannus
So Joe Public and Jane Worker come home at night, tired and cranky, and expect that the people on the news are as decent and truthful as themselves - so they rely on them to fulfill THEIR duty and report what is actually happening.

With all due respect, that is a load of bullsh**.

Joe Public and Jane Worker are the same disloyal, feckless, spiteful, and ungrateful bastards who sent me to Vietnam, and then threw Baggies full of s*** at me when I came home. They are the same ones who say they "support the troops but oppose the war" and talk down to my son, my nieces, and my nephews who wear the uniform. They are the ones who elected the Congress that voted to cut and run in 1974, and they have now elected the next cut-and-run Congress in 2006. They have chosen to squander the lives of our children and waste their heroic sacrifice. The only thing I can say good about them is that they only sacrificed 3,000 of our children to no end instead of 52,000. This country has shown itself to be truly unworthy of its defenders. Joe Public and Jane Worker deserve the jihadist attacks on America that will inevitably follow our withdrawal from Iraq. Joe Public and Jane Worker: f*** you, you're on your own dealing with al-Qaeda. My family will not contribute one more drop of our blood to your defense. We will no longer do your dirty work. You've always hated us. Fine. We hate you, too.

624 posted on 11/07/2006 8:59:42 PM PST by BeHoldAPaleHorse ( ~()):~)>)
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To: BeHoldAPaleHorse
Oh dear BeHoldAPaleHorse, I thank you. You did a great thing. You and your family did the right thing.

I share your disgust with the American voter; but don't ever think that people like me don't exist. There are those that appreciate you and your family and respect your service.

625 posted on 11/07/2006 9:00:52 PM PST by NordP (America: There are more Patriots than Punks!)
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Comment #626 Removed by Moderator

To: Mr. Silverback
I recall Dick Cheney's remarks to George Stephie if the election did not go well ... what about Iraq?

"Full steam ahead," said the Vice President. And I believe him. Sometimes we're like kids ... we have to be protected from ourselves. I think this is one of those times ... thank God the adults are still in charge.
627 posted on 11/07/2006 9:02:08 PM PST by Pegita ('Tis so sweet to trust in Jesus, just to take Him at His Word ...)
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To: Mr. Silverback
It's gonna get worse: Tony Snow just made some comment about working with "moderate" members of the other party to get "comprehensive immigration reform."

Sure, let's bring the troops home, cause we'll need them to fight al-Qaeda coming over the border.

628 posted on 11/07/2006 9:02:14 PM PST by LS
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To: Mr. Silverback

They are commiting national suicide and don't even realize it. Another 9/11 is coming and it will shake this country to its foundation.


629 posted on 11/07/2006 9:03:08 PM PST by DarthVader (Conservatives aren't always right , but Liberals are almost always wrong.)
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To: Mr. Silverback

They are commiting national suicide and don't even realize it. Another 9/11 is coming and it will shake this country to its foundation.


630 posted on 11/07/2006 9:03:14 PM PST by DarthVader (Conservatives aren't always right , but Liberals are almost always wrong.)
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To: Mr. Silverback

They are commiting national suicide and don't even realize it. Another 9/11 is coming and it will shake this country to its foundation.


631 posted on 11/07/2006 9:03:15 PM PST by DarthVader (Conservatives aren't always right , but Liberals are almost always wrong.)
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To: LS

My God, Larry, what the heck do I tell my son who wants to go to the Air Force Academy? What do I tell the Vietnam guys at the local restaurant when I go in for my vets day dinner?


632 posted on 11/07/2006 9:04:05 PM PST by Mr. Silverback (People who say there are jobs Americans won't do haven't seen "Dirty Jobs.")
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To: Mr. Silverback

"Incoming!!!" How do I know? I have to go to a ceremony at the chapel on Fri. too.


633 posted on 11/07/2006 9:04:58 PM PST by LS
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To: Mr. Silverback
My God, Larry, what the heck do I tell my son who wants to go to the Air Force Academy?

One word: don't.

Unless, of course, he relishes the idea of having baggies full of s*** thrown at him.

634 posted on 11/07/2006 9:06:24 PM PST by BeHoldAPaleHorse ( ~()):~)>)
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To: NordP
I believe a lot of people who voted Democrat, so that there would be a 'change', are going to be shocked when they see what that change actually is. They will wonder why on earth the Democrat House is gearing up to impeach President Bush. They won't understand it, though they'll get plenty of justifications from the MSM.

I'm still hopeful, though, that the actual vote counts will show that we didn't lose the House or Senate, but came pretty dang close! I also hope that the Republican Congressmen and women will start governing and budgeting a lot more wisely than they have done for the last few years. Maybe a close call will shock them into some sense!

635 posted on 11/07/2006 9:06:59 PM PST by SuziQ
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To: LS
I'm so disgusted with the Republican party right now and the voters of this country, I can't believe. I won't be surprised when the next terrorist attack comes. It won't be a 9/11--it'll be a damned Hiroshima. And we deserve it for not paying attention.
636 posted on 11/07/2006 9:07:07 PM PST by Uncle Vlad (You cannot protect the peoples' civil liberties if you refuse to protect the people.)
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To: BeHoldAPaleHorse
Our Troops lost tonight.......but they are the best of this generation and will overcome this slap in the face by the American people just as us Vietnam Vets did.

To think our nation would ELECT those that OUR ENEMY openly said they wanted to win, is beyond my comprehension.

God Bless our Troops!!

637 posted on 11/07/2006 9:09:20 PM PST by PISANO
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To: SuziQ

You're right, but usually by the time they figure that out, it takes us six more years to get back to where we were. Everyone knew Clinton was a dangerous sex freak after two years, but he managed to hold on, didn't he?


638 posted on 11/07/2006 9:10:09 PM PST by LS
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To: smokehill

With the Dems in charge of the House, they won't have that much affect on Iraq. The President, however, will have to make nice to people he has up to now pretty much ignored.


639 posted on 11/07/2006 9:14:08 PM PST by bnelson44 (Proud parent of a tanker! (Charlie Mike, son))
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To: bnelson44
With the Dems in charge of the House, they won't have that much affect on Iraq.

Appropriations bills start in the House. If there's no money for staying the course, but money for cutting and running, then cutting and running is what we will do, just like we did in 1975.

640 posted on 11/07/2006 9:16:32 PM PST by BeHoldAPaleHorse ( ~()):~)>)
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