Warning: What to Expect

Self | 11/7/06 | LS

[LS]

All right, folks. Guess I have to do it again around here and hand out the chill pills.

1) It is absolutely clear to me that we have won this. We will keep the Senate, and I'm 90% sure we keep the House. We'll probably gain a seat, maybe two in the Senate.

2) I know this from the turnout numbers, just as I did in 2004. The fact is, forget Indies. They don't vote in high numbers. It's all about the two parties, and who gets out their base.

We have done that today beyond my wildest expectations. The info we have from the Hotline on turnout is overwhelming, and in virtually every key state, we have exceeded Dem turnout by 2, 3, 4, or 6%.

As I predicted, we are seeing a Dem UNDERVOTE. They are underperforming, esp. in key states such as OH. However, they are underperforming far worse than even I dreamed. We are looking at 20% in Cuyahoga County! Brown and Strickland couldn't get elected dog catcher with that level of support.

SO HERE IS WHAT TO EXPECT: THE MEDIA IDIOTS HAVE THEIR TEMPLATES. THEY WILL BE VERY SLOW TO COME AROUND. IT WILL BE A LONG NIGHT, BECAUSE THEY WON'T BELIEVE THEIR EYES.

They may even "call" a few House races, maybe a Senate race, based on some ridiculously low "exit poll" and have to recant later. Be patient. The turnout numbers suggest we absolutely cannot lose.

[beyond the sea]

At least I'm acting.

[vrwcagent0498]

I agree with you.

Don't listen to any news tonight.

Wait till the Fat Lady sings in the morning. Or longer, if the Rats don't like the outcomes.

[Tolerance Sucks Rocks]

Then on the other hand, if it turns out to be a good night, Chrissie and Olbermann might be worth watching.

I wonder, what will they say. There they go again, those damned idiots, voting against their own self-interest!

[LS]

Guess we'll see. We're winning the Dem seat in GA, and within 3 on the other; Allen now ahead, but it all depends on the precincts.

I didn't have Hostetler a "goner" but I did say we had to win two of the three IN seats to keep it under 10. And I'm not giving up on Northup until every vote is counted.

[prairiebreeze]

Dutifully taking my chill pill, LS. Thanks, good reminders all.

It ain't over till it's over.

[My2Cents]

Everyone uses the same exit polls.

[beyond the sea]

Hang in their dude...we're going to hold both House and Senate. I have a strong intuitive feeling about this and when that happens I'm right about 90% of the time. I make no guarantees, but it looks to me like we'll still control congress tomorrow.---

God, I'll buy you a car if you are correct.

****

Well............ maybe.

;-)

[Tolerance Sucks Rocks]

"I just knew it! Breaking news - the Dems are filing a lawsuit to keep CERTAIN polling places open past 7:30."

All the dead voters must be sleeping in...

[Big Horn]

You could be right. I sure hope so as I am getting nervous.

[bnelson44]

If exit polls came out accurately, this would be the first time in a number of elections. Normally exit polls favor the Dems by something like 6%

[snarkytart]

How many in your worst scenario do you see the Dems picking up in the house??

[woofie]

This man is smiling and my bunions hurt....that usually means something

[bnelson44]

No comment

[dawn53]

Perky Katie already "pronounced" his loss. How that's possible, I don't know, but I heard her at 8 say they were calling the race for the Dem candidate.

[beyond the sea]

Rick Is my Senator. And I consider him the best MAN in the Senate. He is the Churchill of out time.

He will be our President in 2009 (hopefully).

[Texas Songwriter]

expected fifty per cent plus turn-out this year...but the reality is more shocking! Republicans to add to their majorities in both Houses.

I am absolutely not seeing this. Tell us why you say this. If it is just hopeful thinking please label as such.

[MeanFreePath]

National Review is projecting 29 Dem pick-ups in the House.

I don't know what information this original post was based on, but, unfortunately, wishin' don't make it so...

[vrwcagent0498]

ROFLMAO!

[Petronski]

UNIFIED LIVE THREAD

[Caipirabob]

Dutifully taking my chill pill, LS. Thanks, good reminders all.

FREEPER STRENGTH!!!

FIGHTS:

* DIM VOTER FRAUD

* FALSE EXIT POLLS

* PREMATURE DU VICTORY THREADS

* NANCY BOY RINOS CONCEEDING EARLY LIKE THOSE PRISSY-PANTS BELTWAY GIRLS