Senate '06 Predictions Challenge (Reward for Best Predictons)

Self | 11/1/06 | Self

[NYC Republican]

I haven't seen this type of thing posted yet, so... here goes... hopefully the mods will be cool with it.

I'd like to have a challenge, whoever predicts the closest to the actual results gets a $500 prize- cash, from yours truly.

Here's how it works... The first 200 posters (one per person) that submit their predictions are in the contest.

You have to make a prediction on the Senate balance of power (the Ind would be in the D column), and as a tie breaker, you would make a prediction on each of the following races, including percentages for each candidate.

PA - Santorum (R-I) vs. Casey (D)

TN - Corker (R) vs. Ford (D) - open seat

MT - Burns (R-I) vs. Tester (D)

VA - Allen (R-I) vs. Webb (D)

RI - Chaffee (R-I) vs. Whitehouse (D)

MO - Talent (R-I) vs. McCaskill (D)

NJ - Kean (R) vs. Menendez (D)

Here are the rules:

- First, the best score on the Senate's balance of power.

- Tie-breaker is whomever gets the most Senate races correct.

- Next tie-breaker is overall point spread - cumulative, in all races (can you tell I'm a football fan?). I'll do all of the stats...

- First 200 predictions will be tallied.

- Must be in by Sunday night.

- Winner gets $500.

- If the GOP maintains both houses, then I'll give an additional $300 to the 2nd place winner and $200 to the 3rd place finisher... I'll be THAT happyh

Please try to keep it in the same format, makes my job easier.

Any questions?

[sonic109]

I sure hope Menendez looses in NJ . He is THE all time biggest crook out there. Old time Hudson County good old boy . How the hell can people vote for a guy that has the feds chasing him for being a thief ? He's such a slime ball fraud.

[TeleStraightShooter]

Senate - Rep 54 Dem 44 Soc 1 Lib 1

Santorum 46 Casey 54

Corker 52 Ford 45

Burns 51 Tester 49

Allen 51 Webb 49

Chaffee 47 Whitehouse 48

Talent 51 McCaskill 46

Kean 50 Menendez 47

[IslandJeff]

Absolutely. If nothing else, I've understated Mike's numbers. She's playing defensive politics right now, with sleazy ads about HIS record as CEO of Safeco Insurance. When an incumbent does that, it's time to watch out.

[I Hired Craig Livingstone]

My projection of the new Senate: 50-50.

Casey 53% over Santorum 45%
Corker 50% over Ford 48%
Tester 49% over Burns 49%
Webb 50% over Allen 48%
Whitehouse 52% over Chaffee 47%
Talent 50% over McCaskill 48%
Menendez 52% over Kean 47%

You're a very generous guy!

I actually think that Burns is going to pull off the stunner and win, but I figure Freepers are going to lean optimistic so my best bet for the prize is to shoot low. :-)

[WhiteGuy]

Here are the rules:

- First, the best score on the Senate's balance of power.

- Tie-breaker is whomever gets the most Senate races correct.

- Next tie-breaker is overall point spread - cumulative, in all races (can you tell I'm a football fan?). I'll do all of the stats...

- First 200 predictions will be tallied.

- Must be in by Sunday night.

- Winner gets $500.

- If the GOP maintains both houses, then I'll give an additional $300 to the 2nd place winner and $200 to the 3rd place finisher... I'll be THAT happyh


Please try to keep it in the same format, makes my job easier.


Any questions?



Here is mine:

dewine is a jerk off.

that's all.

[NYC Republican]

34 predictions so far

[IslandJeff]

You the Man. That was a fun exercise.

[Anitius Severinus Boethius]

Senate - R 54 D 46

Santorum 48 vs. Casey 51

Corker 52 vs. Ford 47

Burns 49 vs. Tester 50

Allen 52 vs. Webb 46

Chaffee 47 vs. Whitehouse 52

Talent 52 vs. McCaskill 47

Kean 50 vs. Menendez 49

[NYC Republican]

Thanks. I'll send out a recap on Monday, including composite results based on everyone's predictions.

[no dems]

What is surprising to me is that everyone is picking Burns to win. I hope you are all correct.

[IslandJeff]

Thanks again, Sir. What put you up to this? Awfully generous of you.

You must be, lemme guess, Rudy Giuliani? ;-)

[no dems]

If you are 100% correct, we're all going to give you a kiss. (On the cheek.)

[NYC Republican]

I just wanted to lighten things up a bit here. Prior to the Kerry thing, there was so much gloom and doom... also, I really wanted to know what people THOUGHT would happen, not just what they WANTED to happen.

[no dems]

This is the only post I've seen that has Kean Jr. winning.

[IslandJeff]

(blushing) - what makes this hard is separating folks to whom I've contributed from folks who will/should win.

You just like my tagline.

[no dems]

Here is mine:

dewine is a jerk off.

that's all.

That's not a "question".

[no dems]

You just like my tagline.

Yes I do; but I hope it's LYNN Cheney.

[IslandJeff]

GMTA. It's what I meant.

[TakeChargeBob]

Senate - R 57 D 41 I 2 Lieberman & Sanders

Santorum 50 Casey 49

Corker 54 Ford 46

Burns 50 Tester 49

Allen 55 Webb 45

Chaffee 46 Whitehouse 53

Talent 52 McCaskill 48

Kean 50 Menendez 49

Bouchard & Steele will win
Chaffee - good riddance

Thank you Kerry and thank you GOTV

[princess leah]

Senate R - 53 D - 46 I - 1

Santorum 51 Casey 50
Corker 50 Ford 48
Burns 46 Tester 49
Allen 48 Webb 47
Talent 50 McGaskill 49
Kean 45 Menendez 51