Posted on 11/01/2006 6:50:13 PM PST by NYC Republican
I haven't seen this type of thing posted yet, so... here goes... hopefully the mods will be cool with it.
I'd like to have a challenge, whoever predicts the closest to the actual results gets a $500 prize- cash, from yours truly.
Here's how it works... The first 200 posters (one per person) that submit their predictions are in the contest.
You have to make a prediction on the Senate balance of power (the Ind would be in the D column), and as a tie breaker, you would make a prediction on each of the following races, including percentages for each candidate.
PA - Santorum (R-I) vs. Casey (D)
TN - Corker (R) vs. Ford (D) - open seat
MT - Burns (R-I) vs. Tester (D)
VA - Allen (R-I) vs. Webb (D)
RI - Chaffee (R-I) vs. Whitehouse (D)
MO - Talent (R-I) vs. McCaskill (D)
NJ - Kean (R) vs. Menendez (D)
Here are the rules:
- First, the best score on the Senate's balance of power.
- Tie-breaker is whomever gets the most Senate races correct.
- Next tie-breaker is overall point spread - cumulative, in all races (can you tell I'm a football fan?). I'll do all of the stats...
- First 200 predictions will be tallied.
- Must be in by Sunday night.
- Winner gets $500.
- If the GOP maintains both houses, then I'll give an additional $300 to the 2nd place winner and $200 to the 3rd place finisher... I'll be THAT happyh
Please try to keep it in the same format, makes my job easier.
Any questions?
Senate - R 56 D 46
Santorum 46 Casey 54
Corker 55 Ford 45
Burns 51 Tester 48
Allen 47 Webb 53
Chaffee 47 Whitehouse 53
Talent 51 McCaskill 49
Kean 45 Menendez 55
Senate - R 56 D 46
Santorum 46 Casey 54
Corker 55 Ford 45
Burns 51 Tester 48
Allen 47 Webb 53
Chaffee 47 Whitehouse 53
Talent 51 McCaskill 49
Kean 45 Menendez 55
A bump so I can find this thread when I win tomorrow.
If Talent wins, it looks like I nailed it...
Since there can only be one winner, the 2nd tie-breaker went into effect...
austinwillardwright- you nailed it, with a net cumulative difference of 0. Amazing... Alter- you were at -3, AntiGuv, you were at 5.
If this holds at 49/51, AWW- please freepmail me and we'll discuss how I'll get the money to you.
Thanks all for entering the contest.
I don't know who will win the contest, but I sure guessed wrong.
Totally shocked by the results.
Back to folding proteins and trying to save humanity.
That's unbelievable. You should submit this thread to one of the networks...you could be their new election analyst.
Thanks but it was pretty much a shot in the dark. I was lowballing the official polls because everyone else was so optimistic. I figured that I had a better chance if I broke from the pack. I had no idea that I was right! I haven't won anything since I was ten years old and got a free bike after finding an easter egg that someone else threw away!
$500 Cash was mailed to you today, in bubble wrap (so it's not too obvious). Enjoy. Again, awesome job of picking the contests!
I was surprised that you didn't enter this contest... You're usually pretty pragmatic and realistic, did you expect the final turnout to go D?
After repeated e-mails (all of which were ignored), he has refused to acknoledge it (not even a thank you!), except here, on another thread... http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1741583/posts?page=29#29
Hate to say it, but next time I try to do something nice for others, I'll remember his being ungrateful and think twice.
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