Posted on 11/01/2006 6:50:13 PM PST by NYC Republican
I haven't seen this type of thing posted yet, so... here goes... hopefully the mods will be cool with it.
I'd like to have a challenge, whoever predicts the closest to the actual results gets a $500 prize- cash, from yours truly.
Here's how it works... The first 200 posters (one per person) that submit their predictions are in the contest.
You have to make a prediction on the Senate balance of power (the Ind would be in the D column), and as a tie breaker, you would make a prediction on each of the following races, including percentages for each candidate.
PA - Santorum (R-I) vs. Casey (D)
TN - Corker (R) vs. Ford (D) - open seat
MT - Burns (R-I) vs. Tester (D)
VA - Allen (R-I) vs. Webb (D)
RI - Chaffee (R-I) vs. Whitehouse (D)
MO - Talent (R-I) vs. McCaskill (D)
NJ - Kean (R) vs. Menendez (D)
Here are the rules:
- First, the best score on the Senate's balance of power.
- Tie-breaker is whomever gets the most Senate races correct.
- Next tie-breaker is overall point spread - cumulative, in all races (can you tell I'm a football fan?). I'll do all of the stats...
- First 200 predictions will be tallied.
- Must be in by Sunday night.
- Winner gets $500.
- If the GOP maintains both houses, then I'll give an additional $300 to the 2nd place winner and $200 to the 3rd place finisher... I'll be THAT happyh
Please try to keep it in the same format, makes my job easier.
Any questions?
Senate - R 53 D 47
Santorum 49 Casey 50
Corker 52 Ford 47
Burns 50 Tester 48
Allen 52 Webb 47
Chaffee 49 Whitehouse 50
Talent 50 McCaskill 48
Kean 47 Menendez 50
Oh man, I hope you are right in your predictions.
I'll give one of my "as I see it right now" predictions. This is a good CW prediction, with a couple of outliers (as there always will be). I'll probably be thinking totally different by Sunday, but it's worth my work now:
PA: Santorum 46, Casey 54
TN: Corker 53, Ford 45
MT: Tester 50, Burns 49
VA: Allen 49, Webb* 49 (do I have to pick who wins?)
RI: Chafee 48, Whitehouse 51
MO: Talent 50, McCaskill 49
NJ: Kean 46, Menendez 52
For the off list races:
OH: DeWine 44, Brown 55
MD: Cardin 50, Steele 49
MI: Bouchard 47, Stabenow 52
AZ: Kyl 53, Pederson 46
MN: Kennedy 44, Klobuchar 54
WA: McGavick 44, Cantwell 54
NE: Ricketts 44, Nelson 55
NV: Ensign 56, Carter 42
CT: Lieberman 49, Lamont 42, Republican 8
There is a "wave" coming, alright, but not one the media would have us believe. The GOP GOTV machine again surprises and vexes the pundits, while the RAT GOTV is moribund. Santorum survives; the only GOP incumbent to lose is Chafee.
Senate - R 53 D 47
Santorum 45 Casey 55
Corker 54 Ford 46
Burns 50.5 Tester 49.5
Allen 52 Webb 48
Chaffee 47 Whitehouse 53
Talent 52 McCaskill 48
Kean 50.5 Menendez 49.5
DeWine 44 Brown 56
Steele 51 Cardin 49
Upset special Michigan.
Bottomline: A wash. No change.
Senate - R 53 D 47
Santorum 48 Casey 52
Corker 52 Ford 48
Burns 51 Tester 48
Allen 54 Webb 46
Chaffee 49 Whitehouse 50
Talent 50 McCaskill 49
Kean 50 Menendez 49
If Cantwell is that close the dems will steal it, ask Rossi.
marking
Senate - R 52 D 48
Santorum 48 Casey 52
Corker 51 Ford 49
Burns 51 Tester 48
Allen 53 Webb 46
Chaffee 48 Whitehouse 52
Talent 51 McCaskill 48
Kean 50.5 Menendez 49
All races democrats lose, will be challenged in courts for usual garbage: voters intimidation, disfranchise, but no one will bring up the dead people that voted democrats. Politicians that vowed to resign if democrats will not win majority, will NOT keep their campaign promise and quit.
This thread is for you...
Santorum wins
Chafee wins
Burns wins
DeWine wins
Allen wins
Corker wins huge
Steele wins
Kean wins in a squeaker
Bouchard loses in a squeaker
McGavick loses in a squeaker
GOP net gains 2 seats.
"Santorum has been all over the media yesterday. Outraged at Casey's support of Kerry."
His wife was on FNC earlier (F&F IIRC) regarding a claim that has come out about kids being homeschooled and cyberschooled while PA was paying for it yet they lived in DC part time - she explained it well, including that they had paid $100k in taxes in PA. He was on w E.D. just a little while ago - did a good job. I'm praying for him - it makes me ill thinking this good man has to fight so hard and may not be re-elected (I'm thinking that he will pull it out in the end).
Encouraging when looking at every prediction...no matter how big or small...Reps hold the Senate...I'm praying and getting out the vote!
R-53 D-47
Casey 51 Santorum 48 ?Corker 53 Ford 46 ?Burns 50 Tester 49 ?Allen 53 Webb 46 ?Chafee 52 Whitehouse 47 ?Talent 52 McCaskill 47 ?Menendez 50 Kean 49 ??Blowout Bonus: ? ?Steele 54 Cardin 45
That's not a "question".
Yeah, I know.............it was my prediction,
seemed funny at the time......
Blowout Bonus:
Steele 54 Cardin 45
AMEN!
Senate - R 53 D 47
Santorum 47 Casey 52
Corker 52 Ford 47
Burns 51 Tester 48
Allen 50 Webb 49
Chaffee 47 Whitehouse 52
Talent 51 McCaskill 48
Kean 46 Menendez 53
Dear NYC Republican,
Why aren't you asking about Maryland's Senatorial race?
The completely biased Baltimore Sun has Mr. Steele within six percent, and that's before the dramatic endorsment from Wayne Curry, et. al.
Here's a link to a thread on the latest Sun poll:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/1730799/posts?page=15#22
sitetest
I forgot all about that race... That and Ohio
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