If you follow the polling links you will see that according to most recent polling data the Democrats are in good shape to pick up between 16 - 18 seats, depending upon how NC-11, CT-4, and PA-6 go.
1 posted on
10/28/2006 12:50:45 PM PDT by
StJacques
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To: StJacques
Here the problem. RCP's projections are all based on Junk polling. So Garbage in/Garbage out. For example the ONLY poll on MN 6, a primarily RED district polls Reps and Dems EVEN. Utter garbage.
68 posted on
10/28/2006 3:34:51 PM PDT by
MNJohnnie
(EeevilCon, Snowflake, Conservative Fundamentalist Gun Owning Bush Bot Dittohead reporting for duty!)
To: StJacques
Curious. You always put the most favorable possible spin on Democrat chances in your posting. What do you do for a living that qualifies you to make forecasts on the out come of Elections?
I don't hear an observer reading your stuff, I hear a partisan cheerleader. Be here Nov 8th to defend your posting. Don't vanish like all your Democrat predecessors always do the day after the election.
69 posted on
10/28/2006 3:40:01 PM PDT by
MNJohnnie
(EeevilCon, Snowflake, Conservative Fundamentalist Gun Owning Bush Bot Dittohead reporting for duty!)
To: StJacques
I followed the polling links and they do not show your 18 seat forecast at all. How is it you see something no one else can reading the data?
Suspect your are confusing what you HOPE with reality.
70 posted on
10/28/2006 3:42:38 PM PDT by
MNJohnnie
(EeevilCon, Snowflake, Conservative Fundamentalist Gun Owning Bush Bot Dittohead reporting for duty!)
To: StJacques
If you look at the republicans in the "toss-up column" you will find many with a slight lead, and particularly so in the non-partisan polling results for likely voters. While the results for each "toss-up republican" showing a lead may be within margin of error to justify a toss-up, collectively to have so many republicans with a lead (however so slight) still tells me something.
You can't just cut the tossup column in half giving 8 to each party. Dems can at best only get a small handful from that toss-up column.
To: StJacques
It is difficult to describe how utterly meaningless the polls on the House are.
RCP is a compilation of junk polls. 60 percent of Americans think their local rep is good while they think most congressional members are bad.
Most peoople do not know right now who there local house member is.
The idea that someone now knows who is going to win the House is absolute bogus hysteria.
The overwhelming empirical probability is that incumbants will win-- period.
That is all we know.
77 posted on
10/28/2006 4:01:11 PM PDT by
lonestar67
(Its time to withdraw from the War on Bush-- your side is hopelessly lost in a quagmire.)
To: StJacques
Better cut back on the alcohol intake, you are starting to see things that are not there.
85 posted on
10/28/2006 4:12:32 PM PDT by
MNJohnnie
(EeevilCon, Snowflake, Conservative Fundamentalist Gun Owning Bush Bot Dittohead reporting for duty!)
To: StJacques
..let's wait until the last 48 hrs. to really look at polls...
86 posted on
10/28/2006 4:13:55 PM PDT by
WalterSkinner
( ..when there is any conflict between God and Caesar -- guess who loses?)
To: StJacques
So, if we carry all the toss-ups and get half the "lean Dems," we GAIN seats?
152 posted on
10/29/2006 9:44:04 AM PST by
LS
(CNN is the Amtrak of News)
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