AZ-1 Renzi(R)-45 Simon(D)-32; 10/20-10/22

Northern Arizona University ^ | 10/27/06

[Ravi]

Polling Data Poll Date Sample Renzi (R)* Simon (D) Und. Spread N. Ariz. Univ. 10/20 - 10/22 497 LV 45(Renzi) 32(Simon) 21(Undecided) RT Strategies/CD 10/08 - 10/10 983 LV 46(Renzi) 50(Simon) 4(Undecided)

[Ravi]

This is good news. I think this poll discounts RT Strategies whoever they are. They flooded us with polls the last few weeks that were generally not favorable to Repubs. It seems when a local pollster goes head to head with these guys, it seems the Repub always seems to poll better. I wouldn't trust RT strategies much. Their poll is put up only as a comparison as it was done two weeks ago. I don't see how Renzi has gained 17 points in two weeks - more than likely RT was underpolling his strength to begin with as I suspect they are doing with other Repubs. IMO.

[oneamericanvoice]

Love this October surprise!

[aft_lizard]

21% undecided with an incumbant? Good thing he is polling in the 40s so he doesnt need to have a huge break his way.

[FlingWingFlyer]

Simple Simon's "campaign ads" are despicable. The only problem Renzi has is that some sexual deviant in Flagstaff keeps "tipping off" the Feds that Renzi has committed some sort of crime. The allegations are phony as hell but when they are made in the last few days before an election, they can really hurt. Simon is from Cleveland (go figure) and is a shyster "lawyer" who used to be the president of the aCLU.

[Ros42]

I heard on the news last night about a "land deal" controversy with Renzi now. Wonder what's next. LOL

[catholicfreeper]

Well this poll is good news. There is a liberal blog in Arizona I sort of follow and they thought this race had become real close last week. I was sort of concerned

[Migraine]

This Simon is one of the scariest butches I have ever seen on TV. Renzi is a good man. Hope he beats the panties off her.

[FlingWingFlyer]

That's the scandal I was talking about. The Justice Department said that they had just "received a tip" about this land deal. Now they are trying to learn who the pixie was that leaked it to the "media." Just more lies from the DemocRATS trying to influence the election.

[Welike ike]

Right Ravi. RT Strategies/constituent Dynamics is being discredited by many as being worthless and their automated polls a joke.

This a new group with no previous election experience out of Seattle.

They also are funded by George Soros.

[Welike ike]

In the IL 10, RT/CD poll had Military man Mark Kirk(R) only two points ahead of lame candidate Dan Seals who the DNC will not even fund.

Seals own (D) internal poll shows him 17% behind Kirk.

RT/CD is a Soros group trying to make perception reality.

[Seattle Conservative]

Found this on rcp. The blog below refers to this race as #42, but the list actually shows it as #37 (maybe updated after this post was done):

October 25, 2006
AZ-1: Reports of Renzi Investigation
Yesterday, just two weeks before the election, Rick Renzi in AZ-1 hired a lawyer after reports surfaced that the feds are looking into his involvement in a land swap deal from a couple of years ago. Renzi's new lawyer, former Arizona Attorney General Grant Woods, told the Arizona Republic he's been unable to confirm any investigation so far and that neither Renzi nor any of the folks in his "circle" have been contacted by the feds.

Renzi is currently #42 on RCP's list of the 50 most competitive House races in the country. He may be headed higher, depending on how this plays out.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/blog/2006/10/az1_reports_of_renzi_investiga.html

[Arizona Carolyn]

Except according to this morning's paper, the suprise is on the other foot -- they are trying to smear Renzi at the 11th hour.... don't forget Soros and Dean are all over AZ this year trying to turn our state blue.

[Arizona Carolyn]

The latest victim of SOROS and Citizens for Ethics and Responsibility is Rick Renzi .... they are claiming he was going to help a friend with $4.5 million dollar deal by putting in some legislation that he never put in -- unlike Harry Reid who did do special favors and made $1.5 Million.... according to our local paper this morning Renzi is in trouble and this far, left wing, ACLU, whacko may pick up as a result.....

Don't forget Flagstaff is very liberal, so it's the votes he gets from the Navajo (Joe Shirley normally recommends they vote dem), Prescott and Sedona.... Prescott has grown very fast and mostly with migrants from Southern California...