[mainepatsfan]

I think this is the first report I've seen that doesn't just assume that GOP voters are going to stay home in large numbers.

[goresalooza]

The dims cannot tell the nation's voters how THEY FEEL on any issue.

So why oh why do we need to let them tell US how WE FEEL on issues?

They are clueless loozas. I don't buy a damn thing the losing lamestream media "tells us" anymore. Nothing. Vote the rats out, it's Prozac and Jack Daniels time for them already.

[Caipirabob]

Now deprived of her "rightful position" Speaker Pelosi was unavailable for comment...

[Gondring]

Who cares about this article? All that matters are the votes in November!

Oops...that's what we're supposed to say when we don't like the article!

[timer]

In this land of political punditry, is there anyone who keeps score? To wit, there are true prophets and false prophets. Various groups give congressmen/senators ratings from 1% to 99% supportive of our position, so why not a rating service on CNN and others who predict certain election outcomes? Thus when they make their AUTHORITATIVE predictions you can immediately see their batting average by going to a website and its ratings for said pundit.

[GOPJ]

Sweet!

[Raycpa]

---

     ​​​​​Election 2004: Congress

---

Polls listed chronologically. All data are from nationwide surveys of Americans 18 & older.

    
► STATE POLLS -- including election trial heats, and job ratings for the President, governors and members of Congress -- can be found in the subscriber area of our web site. INFO

						.
						.

George Washington University Battleground Poll conducted by the Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Snell Perry & Associates (D). Oct. 31-Nov. 1, 2004. N=1,000 likely voters nationwide. (Rolling sample, as of 9/13/04.) MoE ± 3.1.
					.
". . . If the election for Congress were being held today, and you had to make a choice, would you be voting for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate in your district?" If undecided: "And which party's candidate do you lean toward at this time?" Options rotated
					.
		Republican	Democrat	Unsure
		%	%	%
	10/31 - 11/1/04	47	44	9
	10/27-28 & 31/04	46	43	11
	10/25-28/04	44	44	12
	10/18-21/04	42	46	12
	10/11-14/04	40	44	16
	10/4-7/04	42	43	15
	9/27-30/04	42	46	12
	9/20-23/04	43	44	13
	9/13-16/04	41	45	14
					.
	8/15-17/04	43	46	11
	6/20-23/04	41	49	11
	3/28-31/04	39	46	14
	9/03	42	43	15	​​​​​

 

CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll. Oct. 29-31, 2004. N=1,866 registered voters nationwide (MoE ± 3); 1,573 likely voters (MoE ± 3).
					.
"If the elections for Congress were being held today, which party's candidate would you vote for in your congressional district: the Democratic Party's candidate or the Republican Party's candidate?" If undecided: "As of today, do you lean more toward the Democratic Party's candidate or the Republican Party's candidate?" Options rotated. In 10/29-31/04 poll, respondents who had already voted were asked which party's candidate they voted for.
					.
		Republican	Democrat	Other (vol.)/ Undecided
		%	%	%
					.
	Among likely voters:
	10/29-31/04	47	48	5
	10/22-24/04	50	47	3
	9/3-5/04	48	46	6
	7/30 - 8/1/04	47	47	6
	1/04	50	45	5
					.
	Among registered voters:
	10/29-31/04	45	49	6
	10/22-24/04	47	49	4
	9/3-5/04	44	48	8
	7/30 - 8/1/04	44	49	7
	1/04	46	45	9
	11/03	47	46	7

 

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). Oct. 29-31, 2004. N=1,014 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.1.
						.
"What is your preference for the outcome of the upcoming congressional elections: a Congress controlled by Republicans or a Congress controlled by Democrats?"
						.
		Republicans	Democrats	Unsure
		%	%	%
	Among likely voters:
	10/29-31/04	43	44	13
	10/16-18/04	44	44	12
						.
	Trend, among registered voters:
	9/17-19/04	42	46	12
	9/17-19/04	42	46	12
	6/25-28/04	42	44	14
	5/1-3/04	41	44	15
	3/6-8/04	42	45	13
						.
	Among ALL adults:
	1/04	42	43	15
	12/03	42	42	16

 

Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. Oct. 27-29, 2004. N=1,005 registered voters nationwide (MoE ± 4); 882 likely voters (MoE ± 4).
						.
"If the election for U.S. CONGRESS were being held TODAY, would you vote for the Republican Party's candidate or the Democratic Party's candidate for Congress in your district?" If "Other" or "Undecided": "As of TODAY, do you LEAN more toward the Republican or the Democrat?" Options rotated
						.
		Republican	Democrat	Other (vol.)/ Undecided		.
		%	%	%		.
	Among likely voters:
	10/27-29/04	49	44	7		.
	10/21-22/04	47	46	7		.
	10/14-15/04	46	44	10		.
						.
	Among registered voters:
	10/27-29/04	46	45	9		.
	10/21-22/04	45	45	10		.
	10/14-15/04	43	46	11		.
	7/29-30/04	41	51	8		.
	3/18-19/04	42	49	9		.

 

Democracy Corps Poll conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D). Oct. 26-28, 2004. N=1,503 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 2.5.
					.
"Again, thinking about the elections in November, if the election for U.S. Congress were held today, would you be voting for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate in your district where you live?"
					.
		Republican	Democrat	Other (vol.)	Not Sure
		%	%	%	%
	10/26-28/04	45	48	1	5
	10/26-27/04	45	47	2	6
	10/24-25/04	42	51	1	6
	10/20-21/04	44	49	1	6
	10/17-18/04	46	48	1	5
	10/14-16/04	45	49	1	5
	10/10-11/04	45	48	1	6
	10/3-5/04	45	49	1	6
	10/3-5/04	45	49	1	6
	9/26-28/04	46	47	2	5
	9/19-21/04	45	48	1	6
	9/12-14/04	44	48	1	7
	9/6-9/04	45	46	2	7
	8/2-5/04	41	51	2	6
	7/10-13/04	42	49	1	8
	6/14-17/04	44	48	1	8
	5/10-13/04	44	46	1	9
	4/19-22/04	45	47	0	8
	3/16-21/04	45	47	1	7
	2/10-15/04	42	49	0	8
	1/13-18/04	43	48	1	9
	10/03	42	48	1	9
	9/03	42	47	1	11
	8/03	39	45	1	15
	7/03	45	44	2	10
	6/03	44	43	1	11
	5/03	45	43	1	11
	1/03	43	44	1	11

 

Associated Press-Ipsos poll conducted by Ipsos-Public Affairs. Oct. 18-20, 2004. N=1,330 registered voters nationwide. MoE ± 2.5.
					.
"And if the election for Congress were held today, would you want to see the Republicans or Democrats win control of Congress?"
					.
		Republicans	Democrats	Neither (vol.)	Not Sure
		%	%	%	%
	Among likely voters:
	10/18-20/04	46	47	4	3
	10/4-6/04	44	48	5	3
	9/20-22/04	49	46	3	2
	9/7-9/04	49	46	3	2
					.
	Trend, among registered voters:
	9/7-9/04	47	45	5	3
	8/3-5/04	44	48	6

[Disturbin]

Pat B on the Mclaughlin Group the other day:

"The GOP WILL LOSE the House"

LOL!

[concerned about politics]

Pardon our hubris, but we just don't see it.

I think it's all just a democrat wet dream, too. People will vote as they always have.
We'll keep both the House and Senate. The media created fantasy is just that - a fantasy.

[Cookie123]

The Democrats are doing in this election what they do in every election. The mainstream media is used relentlessly in the weeks leading up to an election to "predict" a disastrous downfall for the Republicans. The idea is to use the media to brainwash conservatives into thinking that it is a waste of time to go out and vote. And with an incumbent Republican President sitting in the White House there's always going to be plenty of stuff for them to throw mud at. This would be the case even if 9/11 had never happened, if Iraq never happened, and if Mark Foley were a paragon of virtue. I'm amazed that more R's haven't figured this out. If they do pull off a victory, even a slim one, the sleeze party will accuse them of voter fraud.

[Nasher]

I hope all the Moonbats don't hear about this. The longer they grasp their delusions of a DemocRat sweep, the greater the meltdown will be the following Wednesday.

[BLS]

I hope this is what happens and not just wishful thinking.

[1L]

Don't forget that a big part of the RAT media's intent here is not only to try and sway the election, but to also allege that it was rigged when the RATS don't win.

All these simple minded idiots are going to say, "hey, we heard all these polls saying the RATs were going to trounced, so Bush must have stolen another election."

[blinachka]

This is nice...but it only means that every eligible vote MUST go out and VOTE on Election Day to ensure that the GOP retains it's majority. Prove Barron's correct by VOTING!!!

[Big Guy and Rusty 99]

I was talking to my brother-in-law, chuxster s, and it came down to the same thing:

They have used this same tactic in 2000, it didn't work.
They have used this same tactic in 2002, it didn't work.
They have used this same tactic in 2004, it didn't work.

why would it work now? wishful thinking? that and a dollar will buy you a bag of chips, but it won't win you any elections.

[G Larry]

Ok, but Barron's hasn't predicted anything correctly in 20 years.

[samm1148]

I wonder if they finally surveyed, by party, who is registered and who claims they are likely to vote in this election? I've not seen that little number.